鹏程点金黄金为何暴跌？10.23Gold trend analysis1910下继续看空

Pengcheng DianjingoldWhy did it plummet?10.23Gold trend analysis1910下继续看空
　　交易是做减法，不是加法，最终的盈利不是你赚了多少，而是应该在盈利减去亏损之后你还剩下多少。什么行情都想抓，往往意味着什么行情都抓不住。如果想要以专业交易为生，就不要从兴趣的角度来看待问题。运气可以护你一时，但不会佑你一世，不要把运气错当成你交易的能力。

　　黄金为何大幅跳水？
　　周四晚间，现货黄金短线跌10美元，日内下跌1%，并在初请数据公布后进一步下跌；晚间美国9月成屋销售总数出炉，录得654Ten thousand households, creating2006year5月以来最高水平，现货黄金15分钟内波动超9The US dollar has fallen1900Gateway, minimum to1894.39dollar/ounce.
　　此前，市场对美国大选前达成新一轮刺激计划的预期持续升温，打压美元指数，叠加英国脱谈判将重启提振英镑压制美元，故美元指数跌至92.55附近，创9月以来新低，疲软美元和通胀预期升温提振金银大幅反弹至一周高位。
　　周四晚间，刺激计划最新动态显示，美国众议院议长佩洛西新冠肺炎援助法案能在大选前于众议院获得通过。
　　但对于后市，目前共和党和民主党在某些议题的措辞上仍存在分歧。鉴于达成协议可能有助于特朗普连任，因此尽管冒着疏远一些选民的风险，民主党也保持谨慎。
　　此外，佩洛西周三表示与努钦的分歧正逐渐缩小，有可能与努钦就应对新冠疫情冲击的刺激方案达成协议，但可能无法赶在11month3日前让国会两院通过法案。
　　目前来看，刺激法案能否通过、什么时候通过、规模将是多少对金价都有影响。市场对是否能够在大选前达成刺激计划，仍需保持谨慎，持续关注美国大选和刺激计划的进展，预计贵金属价格短期将维持震荡。
　　此外，需要注意的是，长期以来，推动黄金和白银走势的最重要因素之一是美国的实际利率走低（尤其是5年期实际收益率）。在过去两个月里，实际利率逐渐回升，这使得金银在短期内承压。
　　并且，随着经济复苏预期升温，投资者押注长期债券收益率将走出低迷，10Year30年美债收益率有望抬头，这可能会进一步施压金价。


　　10.23Gold trend analysis
　　黄金昨日高位滑落收低，将周初上涨空间尽数回吐，最高1925.60.Lowest dip to1894.80.It almost reached the starting and low points of the week. Near the end of the week, there was a fluctuation near the low point of the parallel line and the daily line closed at a low point. During the harvest of the daily chart, Yin swallows both Yang, and structurally it appears to be weakening. Of course, the low rebound of the US dollar has a certain suppressive effect. Today's weekly closing work, after exploring high and falling at the beginning of the week, touched10At present, the suppression of the weekly trend suggests that today's closing should be at10Below the weekly line. And below, there is competition1890-1894The gains and losses of the low point, if the weekly chart closes at a low point, will continue a weak downward trend next week.

Short line chart:4小时一波洗盘式的探高回落，回归箱体震荡区间下轨。局部仍处于宽幅震荡区间，只是波动基数大了点。卡到区间上下轨操作。超短线应对即可。目前4Hours are accompanied by a bottoming up needle and thread. It was supported by both the Bulling Road and the low points at the beginning of the week. The continuation of the strength of today's Asian market is not obvious.KThe line shape may seem weak, but I dare not be overly bearish for the time being even if it has not fallen below the low point of the range. Mainly due to the high frequency of repeated dish washing this week. If the European market remains stable after opening1894Above the low point, a short-term rebound is not ruled out to regain lost ground again. If treated as a weak market, the premise is that if the European market can fall below1894.那么亚盘的阻力点就在1910。此处是弱势延续的激进空点。弱势反弹不能高，反弹高了就会走成震荡。
Operational1908-1910Short selling, stop loss7US dollars, stop profit view1894Take a break and take a look
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