消息面;周一(10month19day)亚洲时段,美元指数窄幅震荡,交投于93.75Nearby, most of the gains from last week have been held, and the severe COVID-19 situation in Europe and the distant new stimulus plan in the United States have provided support for the US dollar; Spot gold is still available1900Near the checkpoint, there are oscillations and goldETF持仓下降,需要提防短线下行风险;crude oil市场,中国9月份原油进口增加给油价提供支持,但三季度GDPThe growth rate is slightly lower than expected, and the demand outlook in Europe is shrouded in dark clouds due to the pandemic. The momentum of oil price increases is insufficient, so it is necessary to be cautious of short-term downward risks.
技术面;周线来看MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉,金价受到10周均线的压制,后市略微偏向震荡下行,20周均线支撑目前在1885.59Nearby,9月低点支撑在1848.89附近,若跌破该支撑,则增加中线看空信号。何勤认为日线均线交织,短线走势缺乏明确方向,KDJSlightly dead fork,MACD红色柱萎缩,后市略微偏向震荡下行,上周低点支撑在1882.50Nearby,100The daily moving average is supported by1873.31附近,若跌破该支撑,则增加中线看空信号。综合分析操作上何勤建议以反弹做空为主,回调低多为辅,上方关注1925-1930One line of resistance, pay attention below1890-1885一线支撑。(有需要现货黄金foreign exchangeFor guidance, please add Teacher He Qin on WeChat:hq99937)
Interpretation of the Latest Crude Oil Market
Message: Monday(10month19日)美油触及逾一周高点,欧佩克+担心,第二波新冠疫情长时间持续,以及利比亚产量的跃升,可能会在明年造成石油市场的过剩。OPEC+周一的联合技术委员会(JTC)会议将评估疫情加速的影响。疫情在整个欧洲相当快速地蔓延,北美疫情也反弹,这可能会拖累石油需求复苏。美国的石油钻井平台数量增加12Seat, to205座,这一增幅可能进一步推低油价。除了临近的美国大选,第四季度中国原油进口的不明朗前景为石油市场增加了另一个不确定性,直至2020end of the year.
原油技术面来看,原油上周整体延续前一周震荡回升,价格依托5日均线回踩震荡上行,价格在上周连续回踩39关口均获企稳震荡回升,短线底部区域39关口下方得到进一步夯实,日线级别连续两个交易日均以探底回升长下引线报收,何勤从短线技术形态上来看多头强势突破即将呼之欲出,目前日线级别布林带上轨42区域阻力依旧存在,操作上高位追多需谨慎,继续以震荡区间对待为主;原油上周行情虽然说在努力冲高,但是仍然受制于上方强压力,整体虽说还是在高位附近震荡运行,何勤认为只要行情没有有效站上42美金上方,依然是震荡行情,当前重要阻力位41.50位置,原油多次在此位大幅度回踩,趋势既然偏空一些,综合来看,今日短线操作思路上何勤建议以回调低多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方短期重点关注41.5-42Frontline resistance, short-term focus below39-39.5Frontline support. If you need guidance on spot gold and foreign exchange, you can add Teacher He Qin on WeChat:hq99937)