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futures市场就好比一个战场,这个战场有如春秋战国时期的中国,多个势力集团在这个战场上为了自己的利益而分分合合、你砍我杀,他们有强有弱,强者如春秋五霸或战国七雄,而弱者如各城邦小国。而你就好比是其中的一个势力,你的资金就是你的士兵,士兵的多少就是你在这个市场上发言权大小的决定因素。中国古代兵书说,战争胜负要看天时、地利、人和,期货市场上的各种基本面因素就好比天时、地利,而期货市场上多头或空头其内部力量就是人和因素。 |
有了对期货本质的认识,我们做期货时就应该如同在战场上作战一样,以一个统帅的思维模式来要求自己。要有严格的纪律、要做大量的研究分析、要关注其他参与者、要做好资金管理,最后也是最重要的是,要不断地学习。 |
很多交易者对行情研究很少而仅凭对市场的感觉进行交易,这也是不对的。对基础面进行研究是直接研究战场上各种因素的变化,而技术分析则是间接地去感受战场上各种因素的变化,对多空势力的研究则是对战场上人的因素的研究。我们不可能知道市场上主力具体持有多少仓位,下一步会怎么做。但是我们可以通过观察行情的变化特点来分析市场主力的操作特点,也可以通过分析持仓来大体了解市场主力的构成情况。我们要落实资金管理的重要法则,即少操作、不满仓操作、学会止损。成功的人都在不断地学习,只有不断学习的人才会不断地成功。大多数参与期货投资的人也像笔者一样,不是智力超群的那一种,那就更要不断学习,只有不断学习才能站稳脚跟。 |
Crude oil has given short orders within the day. Currently, short positions are strong, and it is recommended to bring a good stop loss when entering the market. However, today's contract delivery will be strong and even. It is not recommended to enter the market before the contract delivery. The next step is to replace it with a new one12Number contract, let's take a look12The analysis of the contract shows that the short position of crude oil is now stronger than the long position of yesterday, and the line has also broken through yesterday's low point, with the line supporting the daily middle track39.80Nearby, but bears are too strong. It is recommended to continue the pullback and pay attention38.80Consider taking a long position for nearby support positions, and suggest a small pullback for short positions before entering the market with light positions. |
Strategy: It is recommended to40.60Nearby entry empty order, loss41.20Above, look at the target39frontline |
Suggest using38.80Multiple orders entering nearby, resulting in losses38.20Below, look at the target41frontline |
【10.15gold分析策略】(12Contract) |
Short orders given within the golden day, within1907The empty orders entering the market are currently close to the target level and have dropped to the lowest point1893Now, below1888It is a stop profit target, and the strategy remains unchanged in the evening. Short the trend, do not chase quickly, wait for a rebound, suppress entry is the most appropriate, and maintain the same intraday perspective. |
Strategy: Suggest a rebound1913to1915Line pressure position, loss1920Above, a stable entry at a high level can be achieved1902Leave the area nearby first, and long-term orders can be held until1888All leave the venue. |
铜日内给出3.0680的空单,今日最高反弹至3.0685一线压力,但是行情较小,进场的朋友继续持有,目标不变,没进场的等待反弹初始进场点位进场即可,保持日内观点不变。 |
Strategy: It is recommended to3.0620to3.0680Nearby entry empty order, loss3.0820, look at the goal3.0110Nearby line, long-term view2.9780下方可全部离场 |
《孙子兵法》中有句话:“途有所不由,军有所不击,城有所不攻,地有所不争,君命有所不受”,之所以不作为,是为着安全起见,为着大的战略计划服务,而不是眼前的小利或是利诱下的盲动。市场是行情变化中的主角,而投资者只是个配角,应当等待市场给出明确的方向,再采取行动。能够在交易中盈利并不困难,难的是保持盈利稳定增长,这就需要在适当的时候出市,正所谓“舍得”,有舍才能有得,否则,忙碌的结局只能是虚空一场。从时空角度,选择合适的入市、出市时间,合适的盈利空间再进行操作,做到“静如处子,动如脱兔”。 |
Author: Wang Fuliao(wfl8008) |
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal views and does not constitute specific operational suggestions. Based on this, we are responsible for our own profits and losses, and investment is risky. We need to be cautious when entering the market. |
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