10.13Summary of Gold Trading
周二黄金亚盘高位横盘之后在1925的位置开始下跌,承压前一日高点1933的位置下行,最低给到1910的位置止跌反弹,这里也是在早间分析中提到的支撑点附近,行情直接下跌没有给到进场做空的机会,触及支撑位先行做多看反弹,实盘指导上是给到1912的多单反弹至1923的位置离场。
黄金为何大幅跳水?
Tuesday(10month13Day)20:30International Monetary Fund(IMF)Holding a press briefing with the Group of 24 on global economic prospects and financial stability.IMFThe latest World Economic Outlook report has been released, raising global economic growth expectations for the next two years. It is expected that2020GlobalGDPThe growth rate is-4.4%, previously expected to be-5.2%; estimate2021GlobalGDPThe growth rate is5.2%, previously expected to be5.4%。
报告公布后1小时内,现货黄金下破1900美元关口;后进一步跌破1890dollar/盎司,较日高回落逾35美元,日内跌超1.5%。COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract in Beijing Time21:00-21:02三分钟内成交量为5626手,交易合约总价值超10USD100mn
还有两个重要因素也施压金价。美元扭转了连日以来的颓势,主要受英镑和欧元走弱推动。
离英国政府设定的10month15日脱欧大限仅剩两天,英欧双方却都传出为“无协议脱欧”做准备的消息,英镑、欧元双双重挫,英镑兑美元一度跌0.7%;欧元兑美元日内走低0.5%;美元指数冲上93.5,日内涨0.50%。
另外,刺激方案又有新进展,此前民主党一直坚持要么通过大规模一揽子的刺激方案,要么一个都别想单独通过;但最新有一位民主党籍政要美国众议院多数党领袖霍耶表示,可以就航空公司达成协议,可以达成家庭支付协议。
单独达成协议意味着“救了急”,那么完整版大规模刺激方案的可能性就会降低,该预期的上升也不利于金价。美国参议院多数党(共和党)领袖麦康奈尔表示,新冠病毒纾困计划将于下周提交给国会,金额约为5000USD100mn
10.14Gold trend analysis
黄金昨日高位回落收低,受前一日高点1933The radiation pressure in the area cannot break through high levels, and ultimately falls behind under pressure1910Afterwards, it returned to a weak downward trend and briefly fell below1900.Lowest to1886.And closing at1900Below. The daily double positive rise is accompanied by double negative reflux. Frequent switching between multiple spaces. Short term unilateral continuation is insufficient, which is also a concern for us. The previous day'sKThe line structure may seem strong, but it has never broken through1933.The next day, as long as accompanied by the fall of the midline,K线结构就会转为弱势,阴吞阳的走法,在拉锯震荡中常常出现,也是洗盘的常见手法。
4Hour high drop back to neutral low position, above1933Strong suppression, while falling below1900Since then, it has been fluctuating below this level. If it cannot recover strongly today1900.The short line is relatively empty, but the overall approach is still oscillatory. After scaling, it will begin to converge again. After a wave of consecutive negative declines yesterday, the hour chart. The short line begins to pause. The moving average index has not fully turned around, and the Asian and European markets are mainly corrected for fluctuations. At the same time4小时布林道下轨处小有支撑,亚盘可能会先走一波反弹,这波反弹的空间决定多空转换。弱势修正以横向整理为主,一旦反弹高了就会造成空头延续不足。强弱临界点在1900.下方支撑点关注此前起涨低点1882-1879-1872
Operational1895做空,止损放在1901Zhiying Kan1882-1879
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