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表面的浮华难以掩盖背后的虚幻,短线的波动就像天上的星星,看似耀眼,其实没有什么亮度,而交易最大的弊端就是把自己的情绪和行情的波动联系起来,交易需要时时刻刻的谨慎并时刻防范风险,而利润就像*球抓不住就飘走了,交易最大的失误就是让盈利变成亏损并放任这种情况在下一次继续发生,克制贪婪、保持警惕、控制恐惧内修外练方能提升你交易的能力。
市场没有永远的多头也没有永远空头,短线做波动,中线做波段,长线做趋势,我们在不断的寻找可重复赢利的再现交易。对于交易而言必须要明确多空信号,果断进场,交易要趋向于第一种走势,堤防于第二走势,如果错了就要注意第三种走势,金海踏浪、赢在节奏!goldcrude oil市场是一个智者的游戏,勇者的乐园,踏准节奏,波段操作,安全第一,控制风险,稳定赚钱,持续赢利。
黄金价格走势分析;
前日美国公布的经济数据突显了美国经济面临的滞胀风险。数据显示,美国8monthPCE通胀由前值1.0%Ascend to1.4%, CorePCE通胀由1.3%Ascend to1.6%,尽管仍然处于美联储传统的通胀目标2%以下,但是这种上升速度反映了强劲的通胀上行压力。而与此同时公布的其他经济增长相关的数据却不如人意,8月个人支出增幅由1.9%lower1.0%,个人收入则下降了2.7%(前值增长0.4%)。
在经济滞胀和美联储极度宽松政策共存的情况下,经济缺乏增长将让泛滥的资金难以在实体经济中获利,资金将流入各类可投机性资产,黄金将因充裕的流动性受益。此外,高通胀将令实际收益率进一步承压,由于美联储的资产购买政策正在*名义收益率,通胀的上升将使得实际收益率进一步深入负值区间,将增加无息资产的吸引力。
然而黄金可能受新的市场焦点的影响,因为上周市场遭遇突发消息扰动,美国总统特朗普确诊新冠的新闻轰动全球,金融市场也及时对这则新闻进行了定价。消息一出,美国三大stock market indexfutures一度大跌近2%,美油和布油也下跌超2%,美债收益率走低。不过有些令人意外的是,美元没有出现大反弹而是冲高回落,即使如此黄金也依然刷新了近期高点,这表明黄金暂时摆脱了美元的主导。
黄金技术面来看,周线黄金价格自中轨支撑位置展开反弹并收阳,MACDThe fast and slow lines are still operating with a dead fork downward, the green kinetic energy column is also continuously expanding, and gold prices are still under the trend pressure of high point retreat, indicating that downward pressure is still there. Below, attention is still focused on the support of the medium rail, and preliminary resistance will be paid next week1917USD and1940dollar/盎司。日线上看,金价自触及100Continuous rebound after daily moving average support, approaching1920Gateway;MACDDead forks and green pillars reduce kinetic energy,KDJUpward Breakthrough of Golden Cross and Random Index50The moving average is arranged in a long position, with the opening of the Bollinger band pointing upwards, indicating a bullish signal on the technical side of gold. It is expected to continue to rise in the future, but the rebound is currently encountering a medium track and30Daily moving average pressure. But fortunately, in terms of indicators,MACDThe green bar continues to decrease, while the bearish signal weakens,KDJAlso, keep the golden fork emitting upwards, indicating a further rebound and a trend of breaking through resistance. Follow Below1890USD support, further focus on1877USD. Follow Above1916US dollar resistance and1925US dollar resistance.
4On the hour chart: low rebound; Bling's band closed, and gold prices rose to1916Nearby began to fall, but failed to break through1920upper;MACDThe Golden Fork and Red Energy Pillar are reduced,KDJHigh dead cross, random index down, index below50The interweaving of moving averages indicates that there is insufficient momentum for gold's rise, and there is a possibility of a pullback in the future. The initial support below is1890附近,该位置同样也是中轨支撑,破位该位置支撑,那么黄金将继续走回落。综合来看今日短线操作思路上王铭鑫个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1910-1915Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1880-1885一线支撑。目前手上有低位空单和高位多单不知道如何处理或者近期出现严重亏损可添加王铭鑫微信:kdj0866Seeking help, I will take the time to give my fans the greatest help.
原油价格走势分析;
上周五(10month2US crude oil continued its overnight decline, reaching a new low in over two weeks37.29The US dollar, while the oil price falls below40The US dollar level, due to Trump's diagnosis, has raised concerns in the market about the spread of the epidemic, while the recovery of the US employment market has slowed down8Monthly personal income decreases, while the United States9The unexpected slowdown in manufacturing activity in the month also dampened market concerns about the recovery of the US economy. At present, the expectation of bipartisan stimulus in the United States is one of the few factors that support oil prices, but there are still clear differences between the two sides. However, analysts say that Trump's diagnosis may increase the likelihood of stimulus measures, which may partially alleviate the downward pressure on the oil market. At the same time, the acceleration of bankruptcy of shale oil companies in the United States has also partially offset itOPECExpected increase in production. Overall, the continued spread of the epidemic has hit market expectations for economic recovery, and with Trump's diagnosis, market concerns have further intensified, which will further pressure oil prices.
原油技术面来看,日线上看,隔日原油先跌后涨,并在触及日内高位后回落,录得带上下影线的中阳,今日原油持于38美元附近徘徊,短期内多头力度不足,或将探底回升,重演上周行情;那么4From an hourly perspective, the next day crude oil broke the low level horizontal range and began to rise, piercing the mid track position and standing above. Currently, the Bollinger Belt is in an opening period,MAThe moving average is about to break out of its double golden cross,KDJRandomized indicators with three lines moving upwards reach overbought,MACD指标绿色动能柱开始出现,快慢线金叉向上,原油目前技术面面临超买,短期内或将回落,但同时周线依旧存在压力,高位徘徊的概率较大。综合来看,今日短线操作思路上王铭鑫建议以回调低多为主,反弹做空为辅,上方短期重点关注38.5-39.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below36.5-36一线支撑。文章只能给出一个暂时的方向和想法,至于具体的进场点和解套时机,请关注 王铭鑫的官微:kdj0866Will be provided in real-time.
行情的好坏不在于有多大的波动,只在于你能拿住多少利润。再大的行情,拿不住的也是白瞎,再小的行情,只要是正常范围波动,来回套利也能收获颇多。
王铭鑫寄语;
Many mature investors do not pursue the highest level of fund management or mentality management. If they must achieve the highest level in these two aspects, it will take too much time and not be unworthy. However, the real demand at present is to make money, and the real task at present is to surpass others in skills.
Many mature investors are well aware that perfect fund management and mindset management are difficult to achieve, so they use a clever approach, which is to solidify the fund management model while avoiding mindset issues. They will choose a good set of rules for adding or reducing positions and rules for changing the size of funds, and solidify them relatively, rather than constantly searching for the optimal fund management model; They will choose a set of discipline that can constrain themselves and strictly enforce it, rather than constantly pursuing the highest state of mind. They solidify or avoid problems that cannot be perfectly solved, and they no longer bear the interference of these problems themselves, while others still suffer from these problems. The comparative advantage established from this is very powerful.
Although fund management and mindset management account for the majority of profit factors, they can be solidified through rules and avoided through discipline; Although technological mastery accounts for a smaller proportion of profit factors, it must be continuously improved, spend a lot of time improving, and adjust one's trading methods appropriately to maintain appropriate resonance with the market rhythm.
Trading technology is an endless science and an never perfect art. It is not only worthwhile but also very effective to spend more time researching and improving technology after solidifying fund management and avoiding psychological issues. In adversarial competition, it will give you a relative advantage that you can win.
To become a qualified trader, reading and learning are necessary, but the most important thing is still one word: practice. By practicing a set of rules, problems such as mindset, fund management, etc. will naturally be solved. Many people search and learn their ideal Holy Grail system there every day, talking about stop losses, fund management, and mentality every day, but without practicing and summarizing in the end, they will never become qualified traders.
This article is written by Wang Mingxin (Guidance Hotline;kdj0866)Original submission, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the latency of online push, the above content is personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, the suggestion is for reference only. Any operation based on this is at your own risk!
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