孙奕臣10.5今日国际黄金白银美原油走势分析操作策略

Preface


Every time I write an analysis, I always hope to see friends who can gain something. In this market, under calm performance, the dark waves are actually surging, and many investment friends easily enter, often covered in bruises. Every day, many friends come to me for help, but most of them just quickly find the next article to continue reading after reading the analysis. I hope I can help more people, just like my own positioning for this job is service. People are mutual, and trust is the beginning of cooperation. If you are confused or confused on the investment path, you can talk to me. Perhaps this will make your investment journey much easier.


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　　黄金分析


　　国际黄金行情分析：黄金技术面来看，周线黄金价格自中轨支撑位置展开反弹并收阳，MACD快慢线仍死叉向下运行，绿动能柱也在持续扩张，金价也仍处于高点回撤的趋势压力中，暗示下行压力仍在，下方仍关注中轨支撑附近，本周初步阻力关注1917USD and1940dollar/盎司。黄金从日线上看，金价自触及100Continuous rebound after daily moving average support, approaching1920Gateway;MACDDead forks and green pillars reduce kinetic energy,KDJUpward Breakthrough of Golden Cross and Random Index50The moving average is arranged in a long position, with the opening of the Bollinger band pointing upwards, indicating a bullish signal on the technical side of gold. It is expected to continue to rise in the future, but the rebound is currently encountering a medium track and30Daily moving average pressure. But fortunately, in terms of indicators,MACDThe green bar continues to decrease, while the bearish signal weakens,KDJAlso, keep the golden fork emitting upwards, indicating a further rebound and a trend of breaking through resistance. Follow Below1890USD support, further focus on1877USD. Follow Above1916US dollar resistance and1925US dollar resistance.


Gold from4小时图上看，低位反弹；布林带收口，金价上涨至1916Nearby began to fall, but failed to break through1920upper;MACDThe Golden Fork and Red Energy Pillar are reduced,KDJHigh dead cross, random index down, index below50The interweaving of moving averages indicates that there is insufficient momentum for gold's rise, and there is a possibility of a pullback in the future. The initial support below is1890附近，该位置同样也是中轨支撑，破位该位置支撑，那么黄金将继续走回落。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上孙奕臣个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1909-1914Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1890-1885一线支撑。行情千变万化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及每日策略分析指导可以咨询本人孙奕臣（微信：syc475）获取！


　　原油分析


Monday(10month5day)亚市盘初，国际油价反弹逾1%。但上周两市重挫逾7%，布伦特原油录得6month15Recently, it has reached a new low38.79dollar/桶。美国总统新G检测呈阳性的消息加剧了投资者的不安情绪，且全球原油产量上升可能击垮市场疲弱的复苏。美国劳工部公布的数据显示，9Non-agricultural employment increased in the month66.1Ten thousand people,8月增幅从之前的148.9万人下修到137.1万人，显示美国就业市场复苏放缓。供应增加也给市场带来压力。据能源服务公司贝克休斯称，美国能源公司最近一周增加了石油和天然气活跃钻机数，孙奕臣预示供应还将增加。这是连续第三周增加活跃钻机，而最近几个月油价上涨促使一些生产商重新开始钻探。调查显示，9Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)原油日产量较上月增加16万桶，主要原因是利比亚和伊朗增加供应。不过两国都豁免于石油输出国组织和俄罗斯等合作伙伴(OPEC+)达成的石油减产协议。盘踞在利比亚东部的国民军解除对该国石油产运设施的封锁之后，利比亚石油产量已上升至2710000 barrels/日，孙奕臣预期。风险资产还受累于美国国会和白宫之间止步不前的谈判，双方就如何新推经济刺激方案，提振市场需求存在明显分歧。


　　原油上周整理之后尾盘破区间收低，打破整理区间下轨38.80Afterwards, continue to explore and descend to the lowest point36.67一带，逼近此前的回撤低点36.0一带，最终日线和周线收在低位。从日线来看，局部整理后的二次回落确认。K线形态而言，相对是偏空一些。不过考虑了此前的低点36.0一带，留意能否跌破，跌破才能打开空间，不破仍要谨防这种反复拉锯震荡的探底回升。


Crude oil4小时一波破区间的连阴下挫，拉动均线指标下压形成空头。小时图局部伴随一波弱势震荡向下。目前而言，短线结构相对偏空一些，不过延续性是一个问题。上周五的反弹高点在38.80.此位是本周的临界点。此位之下反弹先看空，突破再转震荡思路。综合来看，原油今日短线短线操作短线思路上孙奕臣个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注38.5-39.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below37.0-36.5Frontline support.


　　投资寄语


　　学会合理分配和计划人生。不要盲目的预判自己的实力和路途的艰辛，任何时候，都要做好防备。明白合理规划的重要性。转到交易当中，很多人对自己的预判过于乐观，导致最后一败涂地。特别相信自己行情的分析，满仓操作，结果却无药可救。更有很多人，把这个市场，当作暴利市场，不断的加钱，借钱来做交易，而往往当自己认识到市场可怕的时候，回头却发现没有退路了。所以合理规划和认识自己，选择，很重要。


Wen/孙奕臣
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