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Time will precipitate the most genuine emotions; Wind and rain will test the warmest companionship. Those who walk away are just fleeting moments; What remains is a cherished bond. Come enthusiastically, not necessarily for a long time; If love is plain, it may not be heartless. What the eyes see may be an illusion, but what the heart feels is the most real. Time tells us that simple liking is the most long-term; Ordinary companionship is the most reassuring; The person who understands you is the warmest. If you want to become a big tree, don't compare with the grass! In the short term, compared to trees, the growth rate of grass is definitely more pronounced, but after a few years, the grass has changed a few times, and the trees are still trees. So there are only ancient and big trees in this world, but there is no ancient or big grass. Investment is the same, what matters is not the speed of the moment, but the sustained development power. A person who lacks confidence and strength in their heart often needs to improve their aura by losing their temper, which is a potential manifestation of inferiority. A truly powerful person is extremely soft, and those who are good at controlling situations can achieve calmness and composure. They are like water and are good at benefiting all things without competition. When a person reaches a certain stage of growth, the obstacles they encounter are not the bottleneck of their skills, but the control and management of their own emotions, which is a direct manifestation of their limited mind and pattern. Practicing is learning to control one's temper, emotions, and then controlling one's own funds to become an investment winner
Liang Qiandong【lqd1918】Renowned financial bloggers focus on spot goodsgoldLondon Gold, Analysis of Gold Trends crude oilOperational recommendations,foreign exchangemarket USD exchange rate, USD index
Interpretation of the Latest Gold Market
首先主要思路,还是延续性看涨,但是不排除中间会有反弹,手中持有空单的朋友,注意抓住机会,找到点位离场,并且反手入多,如果你自己无法把控,那么可以单线联络我多头趋势还在延展,那么低多还是主要的布局方式,行情虽然直线下跌,但是在周四价格在1890\24.0附近形成了反复横盘,也有套牢盘支撑作用,因此不要着急直接追多,而是下行在考虑做多。那么我们重点关注阻力和滞涨收阴信号进行布局。
消息面:北京时间周五(10month2day)12:53左右,因美国总统特.朗普确认感染新冠肺炎,美元指数加速跳升逾10Point to94.035Spot gold plummeted in the short term5USD to daily low1889.96dollar/盎司。特朗普染疫情似乎加剧了其实现连任的难度,美国政局面临新的不确定性,提升了民众更多持有现金的诉求。但即便高税收政策的民主党能更顺利地夺回执政权,财政刺激措施同时会更加顺利地推出,进而利好金价,黄金\白银价格随后大幅反弹,美指急挫至93.710。
11month3日大选投票开始之前,美国一共将举行四场大选辩论,除了本周的这一场外,10month7日将举行副总统辩论,之后在10month15Rihe10month22日将分别再举行两场总统辩论。如果特朗普因为测试结果需要被隔离14天,那么他可能会错过下一次总统辩论,这给大选结果进一步增加了不确定性。
再一个需要警惕的是,美国众议院北京时间周五上午通过了民主党人单方面提出的2.2万亿美元的财政刺激一揽子议案。议案以214-207获得通过,没有获得共和党人的支持。据消息人士透露,共和党给佩洛西展示的刺激方案规模最高为1.6万亿美元,其中包括每周400美元的补充失业保险,低于民主党人希望的600美元,但超过白宫早些时候提出的300USD.
该一揽子方案还将向州和地方政府提供2500亿美元的援助,比白宫此前的提议高出1000亿美元,但仍低于民主党人的要求。美国两党进一步缩小了分歧,令市场达成刺激的预期升温,因此也对美元构成压力。在议案通过后,美元小幅上涨,现货黄金价格曾一路回落至1900关口下方,反映了市场对两党达成协议的预期降温;如果担忧情绪升温,美元短线有望进一步小幅上攻,进而在短线令金价承压。
Technical aspect;黄金周四回踩颈线1877之后二次反弹直接破高,目前高位盘整于布林带上轨附近,4Hour levelK线在布林线中轨上方震荡拉升,中轨构成支撑,整体呈现W底形态;小时线级别,布林线三轨向上运行,K线踩着中轨向上运行,均线在下方构成二度支撑。目前重回下线上方,至少说明短期多头有进一步缓冲的余地,同时中阳收盘直接限制了日内大跌的局面。短线价格突破前期4Hourly opening and closing1890关口迎来加速上行走高,按照目前多头上行力度和均线配合节奏,再次破高只是时间问题,短线暂时看不到任何做空信号,操作相对就较简单,继续顺势跟多看反弹即可,下方第一支撑关注起涨点1881一线,回落触及先多,防守一律放在1872区域。今日多空强弱分水岭在1878关口,未失守此位置前一律以顺势低多布局。综合来看,黄金今日短线操作思路上梁乾东个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1920-1925Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1893-1888Frontline support. Can you please communicate with me about the situation where you have orders and covers on hand? As Liang Qiandong is not aware of the specific locations and positions of your orders, it is not possible to provide corresponding strategies for resolving them. Please add/Jialiang Qiandong Official\/Micro:lqd1918Unlock your order.
Interpretation of the Latest Crude Oil Market
消息面:本周国际油价连续第二周下跌,布伦特原油重挫近8%, breaking a new low in over three and a half months. The news that President COVID-19 of the United States tested positive shocked risky assets, and the rise in global crude oil production may break the weak recovery momentum of the energy market. According to energy service company Baker Hughes, the US energy company has increased the number of active oil and gas drilling rigs in the past week, indicating an increase in supply. This is the third consecutive week of increasing active drilling rigs, and the rise in oil prices in recent months has prompted some producers to resume drilling. An investigation has found that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)9月石油产量连续第三个月增加,因利比亚一些设施重启和伊朗出口增加抵消了其他成员国对检减产协议的有力执行。全球最大几间贸易商的主管预言,未来几个月、甚至未来数年受到新冠疫情影响,石油需求复苏乏力,油价料将持平,他们指出石油需求高峰恐怕要到下个十年才会出现。
技术面:日线上,周五原油延续前一个交易日再次下行,日内跌幅近20Exceeding the point, recording a heavy overcast, on the daily line, with various technical indicators arranged in short positions, without conducting too much analysis, but considering the following36.1In the early stage of low point storage and support, it is necessary to pay attention to the effect. If there is a double bottom support at the bottom, crude oil is expected to rebound. If it effectively falls below, crude oil may continue to open up a downward trend;4On Friday, crude oil showed a fluctuating downward trend and continued to decline. Currently, the Bollinger Belt is in an opening period,MAThe moving average is arranged in short positions,KDJRandom indicator three line forward, reaching oversold,MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量,快慢线死叉向下,梁乾东综合来看,原油目前短期内有反弹需求,但下行依在,今日操作建议反弹做空,上方关注37.5-38.0First line resistance, followed by a focus on the early low points of the daily line36.1支撑效果,如若支撑有效可进行多单博弈,若破位,则顺势继续做空即可。文中操作建议仅供参考,具体建议实盘现价给出,操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加梁乾东指导vYour words:lqd1918Obtaining guidance quota
When you understand what trends are, trading is no longer lost. When you understand what is important and what is secondary, it shows that you know how to weigh the pros and cons. Trading is the consideration of the human heart. If you fall, you want to lower yourself, but if you rise, you want to higher yourself. Every failed case is human greed, and every successful case is a rational reward. In the face of a trend, all operations that go against the trend will bury one's own funds, while those that go with the trend are afraid to take action. If they fall for a long time, they will go long, and if they rise for a long time, they will go short. Many people follow this approach in trading, but they do not know that this approach has any technical basis.
Liang Qiandong - Senior Foreign Exchange Analyst for Gold, Silver, and Crude Oil. I have been engaged in financial market analysis and research for many years. Having a solid knowledge of financial theory and accumulating rich practical trading experience. Proficient in applying wave theoryKThe line shape and moving average system are used for trend prediction, with a robust operating style. Has rich market experience, excels in long and short single line layout and market analysis direction, and has a decisive and steady operating style. |
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