Chen Peng's Discussion on Gold:9.29Will gold continue to rise? How to layout the aftermarket?

陈鹏文章摘要：2020.9.29Why investgoldcrude oilAlways losing money?9.29Is gold bullish or bearish in the future?9.29Will gold continue to rise in the future?9.29Where will gold rise?9.29Will gold still fall at the opening?9.29Where will gold fall today?9.29How to operate the rise and fall of gold?9.29goldXAUUSDOperational strategy9.29crude oilXTIUSDAnalysis of today's market trend;9.29What should beginners pay attention to when frying spot gold?9.29How to learn how to stir fry gold?9.29How to avoid risks and reduce losses in spot gold trading?9.29How to grasp the correct entry time for spot gold investment?9.29What common sense do beginners need to know to stir fry gold?


   前言：投资的首要原则是规避风险，如果不能规避风险，那么赚再多的钱，有一天都会还回去，任何一个人的成功都有其方法，而投资交易也必有其原则，积少成多、以小搏大是交易的根本。而有很多人却忘记了初衷，把利益看在眼前，却把风险挂在墙上，殊不知在市场当中，个人是多少的脆弱，多么的渺小，若不懂得规避风险，就像航行在大海的一只小船，随时会被风浪打翻。如果一个交易者会打开自己的交易记录并找出使自己亏损的交易，并总结出原因，说明他离盈利已经很近了。做最稳健的单子。finger.heat conduction.Line（cplj8888）

   ——本周影响黄金未来走势的消息面——


  (9month28day)亚市早盘，美元指数略微下跌，现货黄金则展开反弹，金价一度突破1886dollar/盎司。地缘政治局势周末传来新动向，亚美尼亚和阿塞拜疆27日在纳卡地区爆发新一轮冲突，双方都指责对方违反停火协议和率先发动军事进攻，阿塞拜疆议会决定该国多个地区和城市进入战时状态。针对纳卡冲突，美国总统特朗普也做出最新回应。
　　
　　此外，周末中印局势也有新消息。印度媒体称，印度已在拉达克东部部署坦克及步兵战车来对抗中国，地缘政治紧张局势有望给金价走势提供支撑。
　　
　　本周虽然迎来适逢中国八天国情假期，但数据仍旧众多包括中国PMI、各国GDP、以及重要的美国非农数据都将陆续出炉，投资者需密切关注。此外，美国2020年大选特朗普与拜登的第一次公开辩论即将上演，料将引发市场波动。
　　
　　因本周三美国大选将迎来首场辩论，届时共和党总统候选人特朗普和民主党总统候选人拜登将进行真正意义上的首次交锋、这场辩论对市场的影响可能要、如果特朗普胜出，那么风险资产可能会出现积极的动向，债券市场可能会出现抛售，推高收益率，在特朗普胜出的情况下，10年期美债收益率可能推高至0.75%or0.80%。反之，若拜登胜出，10年期美债收益率可能会跌至0.6%。
　　
　　另外黄金价格本轮下跌，主要是因为美元指数持续反弹修正，施压黄金。全球共计11款疫苗已经进入3期试验，其中我国就有4款疫苗进入3期试验，进展顺利。据国家卫健委官员，按照现在的估算，到今年年底，预计新冠疫苗年产能达6.1亿剂，到明年，年产能可以达到10亿剂以上，大大缓解全球疫情风险，经济复苏有望。此外，美国及欧洲均相继推出经济刺激方案或法案，以救助低迷的经济状况。所以，黄金避险情绪降温，需求降温，基本面利空带来黄金价格下跌。

  ​——Analysis of Today's Gold Trends and Suggestions and Strategies for Gold Operations——


   黄金周线级别收大阴，价格突破前期低点1863一线，在中轨受到支撑反弹，收线在中轨附近，黄金将继续测试中轨支撑，向下突破的概率减小，日线级别三连阴后收取两根十字K，小阳后面出小阴，价格止跌不延续，十字星意味着涨跌动能不强，但并不是见底信号，短期价格偏向于震荡修正，目前整体价格在区间1879-1848走反复，陈鹏认为，后面修正后还将有新低出现，macdThe dead cross continues to move downward towards the zero axis, with sufficient green kinetic energy column. The bearish arrangement of various moving average indicators indicates that gold has further downward space, with the first pressure level above it5The daily moving average is located at1880Nearby,4小时级别，黄金在1848Stop falling and rebound, several times under pressure1878Falling back, repeatedly tugging at the bulls,1878-1880Becoming a new heavy pressure zone, below1852Effective support,4小时整体底部震荡修正走势。整体上黄金处于空头走势中，阶段性见顶已然开启中期调整走势，短线震荡仍将延续。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上陈鹏建议低多为主，高空为辅。上方关注1886-1890One line of resistance, pay attention below1850-1845Frontline support.


   Golden Operation Strategy:


   Empty order strategy:


   Reference idea one：黄金反弹1888-1890Short (buy down) stop loss without breaking the first line nearby1895, Objective1865-1858-1840Near.


   Reference idea 2：黄金反弹1908-1910Short (buy down) stop loss without breaking the first line nearby1915, Objective1875-1860-1850Near.


   Multi order strategy:


   参考思路三: Gold falling back1862-1864Nearby, do not break the first line and do long (buy up) stop loss1858, Objective1875-1886-1900Near.


   参考思路四: Gold falling back1848-1850Nearby, do not break the first line and do long (buy up) stop loss1845, Objective1880-1900-1910Near.


   Experience benefits: For retail investors who are interested in consulting and cooperating, it is convenient for mutual trust in future cooperation, including gold and crude oilforeign exchangeIndex, one-on-one follow-up cooperation guidance added by author:(cplj8888)后、可凭实仓截图可体验现价操作服务，相信此福利对于市场长期亏损的朋友、陈鹏也将为你每日揭秘黄金涨跌爆料的行情、机会是否扎住取决你的选择。

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