Liang Qiandong9.23黄金原油窄幅震荡，早间能否有所突破？日内走势预测

　　一涨一跌引动市场风云，一阴一阳带起波澜壮阔，股市，汇市，gold，crude oilThe fate of the market is controlled by such a smallKIn the line chart, how many people are ecstatic or sad about its ups and downs, ups and downs? People outside the circle will never understand why such a small ghost like talisman is so magical, and people will never want to give up when they touch it. Because of its uncertainty, one yin and one yang are randomly arranged, and one rise and one fall are wayward. It is never possible to perfectly control each trend because of its imperfection, and the long and short trends constantly shuttle, One party is happy while the other is worried. After singing from multiple parties, the empty side appears, presenting a colorful scene. Perhaps this is why we are attracted by it and willing to put in energy for it. Even if we cannot obtain the desired profit, we are unwilling to give up time and are unwilling to give up, right?
　　
　　回归初心，你在市场摸爬滚打不过是为了一个“利”字，我在盘前兢兢业业却是因为一个“缘”字，有缘自能相见，无缘天涯路远，君行千里我相送，君到跟前我相助，市场利润十分，我愿倾尽全力为你独取九分，实力让我有此底气，青海长云暗雪山，不破楼兰终不还。九月已经接近月末，机会稍纵即逝，先来看看日内的交易思路吧。
　　
Liang Qiandong【lqd1918】Famous financial bloggers focus on spot gold, London gold, and analysis of gold trends Suggestions for crude oil operations,foreign exchangemarket USD exchange rate, USD index

　　

Interpretation of the intraday market of spot gold
　　
　　消息面：黄金面，周二(9month22day)goldT+DClosing down2.50%to404.49element/Ke, hitting a new low in three months; silverT+DClosing down11.34%to5115element/Kilograms. Spot gold falls below1900大关，保持弱势状态，隔夜在全球资产纷纷跳水的背景下，多头悉数逃窜，美元指数创近六周新高，对卫生事件的担忧和对美国刺激计划的疑虑引发其他资产出现一波抛售，美元获得了避险资金的青睐。其他各大类风险资产纷纷重挫，全球股市及大宗商品均遭抛售，美债获得一定支撑。美联储主席鲍威尔本周将三次在国会提供证词，回应议员们关于美联储为缓和卫生事件对经济冲击而采取一系列紧急措施的疑问和顾虑。
　　
　　技术面：黄金日内如预期承压1920一线震荡再回修，下方回撤至1895/94附近，随后行情围绕在1910-1900之间窄幅震荡。目前日线结构上，行情处在60日线以及三角下沿位附近震荡，总的来看后期进一步回落调整的概率还是比较大的，如果行情按照技术走势预期，即三角形态破位有效的话，后期行情还是可以期待1860的，但是目前最大的问题是黄金走势并非严格按照技术走势预期运行的，其运行节奏的主导者依然是美元走势，而未来几天美联储官员讲话频繁，美元极容易出现不可预判的走势，所以黄金短期内也未必会严格按照技术走势预期运行，故风险概率相对还是比较大的。
　　
　　根据小时图结构，日内黄金已经对周一下跌有所消化和确认，肯定了短线走弱的状态，同时也对目前上方的主压进行确认。短线上方继续关注1920附近压力测试，如果意外站上1920上方，则再看5Daily line1930附近压力，这也可以视作为行情能否延续弱势的关键条件。短线下方则关注1900争夺，理论上允许行情再度回撤1890-80一带，但是这或许需要基本面来引导，如果基本面没有利空，那么黄金下行概率虽然有，但下行节奏可能不会那么快。所以日内操作上梁乾东建议反弹做空为主，低多为辅，短线上方关注1920First line pressure, following below1900一线支撑。进一步关注1890-1880一线关键支撑。重点还是要根据基本面的实际情况再做实时的调整。目前手上有低位空单和高位多单不知道如何处理或者近期出现严重亏损可添加梁乾东老师微信：lqd1918Seeking help, I will take the time to give my fans the greatest help.
　　
　　futures原油日内行情解读
　　
Message: Tuesday(9month22day)，国际油价持稳，欲扳回隔夜跌幅，因墨西哥湾海域最新的热带风暴强度减弱，缓解了对美国炼厂原油需求的担忧，且大国提升原油进口通关效率。不过由于全球疫情复燃，对燃油需求的担忧仍挥之不去。因美股在对防疫限制措施长期实施的担忧中下跌，同时，利比亚恢复出口的前景加剧了供应之忧。美油一度暴跌5.83%%，同时标普500The index fell to7月以来最低盘中水平。在OPEC实际领导人沙特阿拉伯寻求捍卫市场之后，美国基准油价上周跃升10%。同时，热带风暴给德克萨斯州带来洪水，也小幅利好油价。但令人不安的需求前景继续给市场带来压力，英国石油公司BP上周成为第一家预计石油需求增长时代终结的业内巨擘。梁乾东认为近期原油的上涨主要为借助短线消息面利好形成的反弹修复行情，原油基本面弱势的局面仍旧延续且不支持油价形成持续性上涨行情。基本面的弱势主要源于下半年原油需求恢复速度显著放慢以及季节性需求下降，全球原油市场去库放缓。
　　
　　技术面：原油现在的走势属于下跌后的震荡行情，上方40.3位置既是此前盘整顶部位置，破位前是支撑，破位后转换为压力，并且是30分钟走势图上长短均线即将死叉的位置，如果今日的行情反弹不能有效突破40.3位置的压力，必然会再次下跌，而且多空转换，将会开启波段下跌走势！早盘依托40.3压力位置先空，下方关注昨日回踩低点38.6位置的支撑！此位置是昨日回踩的低点也是1Hour level200日均线支撑位置，没有破位前原油暂时维持38.6-40区域内震荡，破位的情况下将会再次下跌，形成与此前43reach36位置的下跌对应的下跌波段！综合来看，原油今日短线操作短线思路上梁乾东个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注40.5-41.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below38.5-38.0Frontline support. The operation suggestions in the article are for reference only. Specific suggestions are given at the current price of the actual offer. Friends who are not ideal in operation or cannot grasp the market direction can add guidance from Liang QiandongvYour words:lqd1918Obtaining guidance quota
　　
Qian Dong's message: For friends who want to learn about spot knowledge, I strongly agree. I personally believe that investment friends should improve their abilities during the investment process, use their technical knowledge to analyze and operate, and enjoy it, falling in love with this investment rather than fear. Fear is due to lack of strength and judgment. I quite admire those who gradually learn and master commonly used technical indicators (moving averagesMACD、KDJCombining fundamentals to analyze market trends and specific operating points, gradually improving one's comprehensive analysis ability and exercising one's mentality. Gradually grow up, after all, investing is a long-term process. So I, Liang Qiandong, and my investment friends also follow this principle: teaching fish is better than teaching it to fish. I will teach you to start from the most basic.
　　This article is written by Liang Qiandong (WeChat:lqd1918---Official account: Liang Qiandong), I interpret the world economic news, analyze the global investment trends in mass commodities, precious metals, spot gold, futures crude oil, etc., and have in-depth research on gold, crude oil, and foreign exchange. Due to the delay of online push, the above content is personal advice, and because of the timeliness of online publishing, it is only for reference, and the risk is borne by myself. Please indicate the source for reprinting.