孙奕臣=黄金原油下周行情分析9.20黄金原油周一开盘操作建议

Preface


　　交易之道，循序渐进，步步为营，当错过了一波趋势的开始，就没有必要纠结于是否去参与趋势的结束，市场如同一条鱼，吃鱼头需要魄力和勇气，而吃鱼尾不但风险大而且还不一定有肉，所以我们只能等待市场方向明确之后参与其中间的鱼身部分，交易也只能如此，所以，不要被表面的浮华蒙蔽双眼，转机往往在绝境中出现，坚持走过最后的黑暗就是胜利。


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　　黄金分析


Friday（9month18Japan) At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold rose slightly, because the dollar gave back its gains after the poor performance of the US economic data overnight, and the COVID-19 in France continued to worsen, combined with British considerations11Introduce negative interest rates in the month to jointly support gold prices; However, due to the lack of any new specific measures from the Federal Reserve regarding monetary stimulus policy, bulls still have concerns; The short-term trend of gold prices lacks clear direction, and investors need to pay attention to consumer confidence data in the United States and relevant news on the US stimulus plan in the evening. The Federal Reserve's failure to provide any new specific measures on monetary stimulus policy has disappointed bulls, causing gold prices to drop to1932Nearby, however, the performance of data such as the US initial application is still poor. The COVID-19 in France continues to worsen, and the US stock market falls. The US dollar rose on Thursday and then fell back, still providing support for the gold price; Short term gold prices still tend to maintain a volatile trend.


　　黄金日线来看布林线轨道收口后接近水平运行，留意布林线轨道1911.65-1985.52Regional breakthroughs; at presentMACDThere is a golden cross trend,KDJGolden fork, if it can break through the tracks on the Bolin Line1985.52Nearby resistance increases the bullish signal in the future, and gold prices are expected to re test the previous high point2075Nearby resistance; Of course, in the2000INTEGER GATES AND8month18Daily high point2015.59There are also certain resistances nearby. However,MACDThere has not been a red bar yet, indicating that there is still a downward risk in the current gold price. If it falls below the overnight low point1932.97Nearby support, gold prices are expected to retest the Bollinger offline track1911.65Nearby support. Further strengthen support in1900整数关口附近，若下破该支撑，则有望打开新的下行空间。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上孙奕臣个人建议以回调低多为主，上方短期重点关注1960-1965Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1930-1925一线支撑。行情千变万化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及每日策略分析指导可以咨询本人孙奕臣（微信：syc475）获取！


　　原油分析


　　受主要产油国承诺全力遵守减产协议消息推动，油价创6The largest weekly increase since the beginning of the month, with Meiyou up nearly this week10%The oil price has skyrocketed8%. Saudi Arabia'sOPEC+Warnings from cheaters and short sellers in the alliance help create oil prices6The largest weekly increase since the month, New York10Monthly crude oilfutures本周大涨9.6%Brent11Monthly crude oil futures rose nearly this week8%, Junchuang6The largest weekly increase since the beginning of the month. ThursdayOPECSaudi Arabia, the most influential country in the world, has demonstrated its determination to defend the oil market. Saudi Arabia has hinted that they are ready for new production cuts and has fiercely criticized cheating in complying with production quotasOPEC+成员国。一个热带低压在墨西哥湾西部形成，未来几天可能升级成为飓风，料威胁到更多的美国石油设施。


　　从日线来看：震荡；MACD重新金叉运行，KDJ金叉运行，油价在近三个月低点36.13附近企稳后录得十字星，随后连续三根阳线，突破了40关口阻力，并初步顶破了布林线中轨，后市有望进一步涨向布林线上轨45.51附近。下方重点关注40关口附近支撑，在失守该位置前，短线偏向多头，200Daily moving average40.30附近支撑也可以简单予以关注。10The daily moving average is supported by38.61附近，如果油价冲高受阻并意外回落至该位置下方，则增加后市下行风险。综合来看，下周一原油短线操作短线思路上，孙奕臣个人建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注41.8-42.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40.6-39.8一线支撑。行情千变万化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及每日策略分析指导可以咨询本人孙奕臣（微信：syc475）获取！


　　投资心得


　　市场上面永远是有两种声音的，一种告诉你后市会跌；另一种是在告诉你，后市会涨。没有哪天市场上会统一的看涨或者看跌。因为那样的话，市场上就只有一种人了，全部赚钱的或者全部亏损的，这样不符合市场定律。所以下单后，不要去想着市场上别人如何评论后市的涨跌，因为那样方向不一的言论会动摇你的下单依据，会让你不知道是继续持仓还是趁早离场。或许看到和自己一样离场的言论，那么就会觉得很有信心，肯定会赚大钱，但是方向不一致的时候，就觉得特别的紧张，或许在这样紧张的心态下做出错误的判断和决定！不要做出无法控制的操作，降低风险是首要！


Wen/孙奕臣