Chen Zhaoxi9.14纸黄金、白银TD原油外汇短线分析及交易策略

        你们说，市场上处处是危机，却不知时时刻刻也存在着盈机；市场上永远存在百分之八十亏损的客户，却忽视还有百分之二十盈利的人；你们还说，从开始到现在做投资总是不顺，不管是自己做还是老师指导都是亏损的状态，自己是不适合这个市场吗？其实细细品来，却怎么也说不出那份味道，心情复杂，憧憬却又害怕，害怕却又憧憬，人生如梦，春秋几载，看透才算悟透！行情如人生，看不清，道不明！市场上的分析师众多，有能力的颇多，有见解的也不少，但是为什么市场上还存在如此严重的亏损，究竟问题是出现在自己身上还是别人身上，散户操作永远靠运气，看消息，半知半解的人分析下行情，看下KLine, observe the moving average. Lucky ones with small gains are eliminated, while lucky ones with big losses continue to hold on. Seven points rely on luck, and three points rely on hard work. And where are the truly powerful ones in the market? Fear and greed - the market behavior emotions that run through Buffett's philosophy require self-discipline and overcoming them.




　　如果你对行情把握操作不理想或想学习的投资朋友可以添加微信（1014611571)与陈召锡老师进行交流探讨。还可以获取每日crude oilOperational recommendations,goldMarket,TDgold,Silver Daily Analysis, Latest Strategies




Analysis of the trend of gold market;




Message surface analysis; Monday（9month14日）现货黄金小幅走高，逼近1950美元关口，上周五金价下滑，因欧洲央行和美国政府均未祭出进一步刺激措施，但由于对经济复苏的担忧，避险黄金仍录得周线上涨。总体而言，随着经济复苏的预期升温，近期黄金走势相对疲软，上周五黄金ETF持仓跌至一个半月新低，在8月初黄金创出纪录新高后，黄金ETF小幅下降后趋平，凸显买需不足，而近期持仓再度出现下滑的迹象，如果缺乏更多的支撑因素，警惕存在进一步下滑的空间。不过考虑到当前经济尚无法恢复到疫情前的水平，且全球央行持续宽松的预期，料限制黄金下跌的空间。本周迎来央行超级周，除了日本央行和英国央行利率决议外，重中之重是美联储决议。该决议是美国大选前最重要的一次决议，为未来两个月的政策走向奠定基调。同时美联储将在该决议上回答市场三个问题，包括是否调整前瞻性指引，除了该数据本身的影响外，在7月末救助方案到期后，该数据将直接反映市场的消费信心，这将成为市场预判美国经济复苏前景的重要指标。如果你对行情把握操作不理想或想学习的投资朋友可以添加微信（1014611571)与陈召锡老师进行交流探讨。




　　技术面分析；上周五冲高回落，目前交投在1940Near the US dollar. Daily chartMACDThe green kinetic energy column is basically stable,KDJRandom indicators remain stable at50Below the horizontal level, it indicates that the bearish momentum of gold still exists or may further fluctuate. gold4Analysis from an hourly perspective: Gold prices have briefly broken through200After the moving average continued to decline, it is currently approaching20The average level of the period.MACDThe red kinetic energy column continues to weaken,KDJ随机指标自超买水平附近急剧向下，指示黄金看涨动能减弱，从技术面来看，黄金短线料维持震荡走势。周五黄金上涨及下跌的走势力度较大影响，且日线以带长上影线的阴柱收尾，日内先继续依托低点1935-33一线去看涨，陈召锡桅型号1014611571此区域是之前的上涨的所处支撑区域，周尾黄金价格守住1933一线支撑，不考虑过分看空。行情随着时间变换，策略也需随着行情调整，在行情没有继续下跌的情况，按预期跟进即可，所以今日也是先保持低多看涨，行情逆转在考虑改变策略。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议低位做多为主，上方关注1955-1960One line of resistance, pay attention below1930-1925一线支撑，行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略，可直接添加本人一对一指导交流微信【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




Analysis of the trend of crude oil market;




　　消息面分析；9month14日（周一），英国石油公司（BP)发布报告称，石油需求持续增长的时代已经结束，从而成为第一家做出此类公告的大型石油公司。很多人认为，石油需求持续增长还将持续10年甚至更长时间。英国石油在9month14日的最新报告中表示，石油消耗量可能永远无法回到疫情危机爆发前的水平。即使是该公司的最乐观预测，也认为随着能源转型使世界摆脱对化石燃料的依赖，未来20年的石油需求不会比“大致持平”好多少。市场认为疫情会导致石油需求短期下滑，而英国石油的报告暗示，未来石油需求难以增长，背后因素包括新的能源政策，环保思想导致的消费者行为改变等，这无疑将在中长期施压油价，未来油价大幅上涨将愈发困难，油价相对低迷恐成为新常态。




　　技术面分析；日线结构上，目前行情呈现横盘震荡状态，结合前期的大幅回落，整体还是偏弱的，有可能形成下跌中继形态。虽然此前预期行情在36-35There may be a pause in the decline between them, but if the market is in38-36If the oscillation time is prolonged, the probability of further reduction in the later stage is still relatively high. The expected market trend for this week is likely to start with a sideways trend, with continued attention from above38Short voltage test, if standing38So, let's take a look again10The pressure test near the daily line may be conducted at that time39Nearby, there may also be some downward adjustment. The focus is still on following below36Nearby competition, if36If it falls below, the market will first see a pullback35附近。操作上，稳健者可暂作观望，避开目前的低位横盘状态，激进则尝试进行短线区间操作。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议上方关注38.5One line of resistance, pay attention below36.10Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




　　陈召锡团队投资风险管控:




Step 1: Clarify your goals, which means planning your intended investmentforeign exchangeThe amount of funds traded, the amount of profits earned, and the approximate range of losses that can be borne are the basic goals through which a reasonable fund management plan can be made. However, it is also important to remind foreign exchange investors that although foreign exchange is a low-cost and high-yield investment with a hundred times leverage for gain, they should also pay attention to cost control and avoid frequent transactions that increase costs.




Step 2: Plan the steps, such as what trading mode to use to gain profits, whether you are good at frequent short-term trading or prefer a long-term fishing model to make orders, how much trading to stop every day, how much money to withdraw from the market when losing, and how much money to close positions when earning, all of which need to be well planned.




Step 3: Test the plan. No matter how perfect the theory is, it cannot be determined whether it is effective without combining it with practice. After roughly formulating your trading strategy, you can use the mini account provided by the platform to test whether the formulated strategy is available and see if it can bring stable profits to yourself.




Step 4: Strictly implement. This step is the core of the entire plan, and the losses caused by any random operation can be fatal,Foreign exchange transactionsUnable to withstand any deviation. Planned trading is necessary to better control risks, accurately follow market trends, and achieve profits. Investment carries risks, and caution is necessary when entering the market!




　　不可无欲，但不可贪。聚沙成塔，积少成多，对于攀登者来说，失掉往昔的足迹并不可惜，迷失了继续前行的方向却很危险。志在峰巅的攀登者，不会陶醉在沿途的某个脚印之中。狂风为劈风斩浪的航船饯行，为随波逐流的轻舟送葬。骄傲，是断了引线的风筝，稍纵即逝；自卑，是剪了双翼的飞鸟，难上青天；两者都是成才的大忌。人生如果树，在风雨中成长，在阳光下盛开，繁花落尽，才硕果累累。一个成熟以及成功的投资者，获利就像繁华过后的硕果，少了一份轻浮的喜悦，更多的是运筹帷幄淡然面对的心。



Wen/Chen Zhaoxi