Zhou Pinyuan9.13Monday's strategic layout push, confusion in entering the market, why do we constantly source orders

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　　goldLatest news analysis:
　　
In the past week, due to concerns among investors that vaccine development work will be delayed, the Republican bill in the United States has been blocked in the Senate, and the number of initial jobless claims in the United States has remained high. Investors' doubts about the global economic outlook have enhanced the safe haven appeal of gold. Despite the second consecutive week of rebound in the US dollar index, spot gold continued to rise at the end of the week0.31%to1939.69dollar/Ounces. However, the fluctuation range of gold prices this week is only60The US dollar has shown a gradually narrowing trend in its volatility over the past four weeks.
　　
Looking ahead to next week, the central banks of the United States, Japan, and the United Kingdom will successively announce new interest rate resolutions, and the Federal Reserve will also release economic expectations and interest rate charts. The Liberal Democratic Party of Japan will elect a new leader and then finalize the candidate for the new prime minister. In terms of data, focus on China8Monthly retail, industrial and fixed assets investment. Other major data include the UK unemployment rate andCPIUS retail sales and current account, CanadaCPIAustralia's unemployment rate, etc.
　　
Due to concerns among investors that the development of the coronavirus vaccine will be delayed, the Republican bill in the United States has been blocked in the Senate, and the number of initial jobless claims in the United States has remained high. Investors' doubts about the global economic outlook have enhanced the safe haven appeal of gold. Despite the second consecutive week of rebound in the US dollar index, spot gold continued to rise at the end of the week0.31%to1939.69dollar/Ounces. However, the fluctuation range of gold prices this week is only60The US dollar has shown a gradually narrowing trend in its volatility over the past four weeks. The US Senate rejected the Republican proposal on Thursday3000A billion dollar anti epidemic assistance proposal.
　　
Next week's heavyweight outlook
　　
Looking ahead to next week, the market will welcome a series of central bank interest rate resolutions and meeting minutes:
　　
Tuesday09:30The Reserve Bank of Australia announces9Monthly Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes;
　　
Thursday02:00Federal ReserveFOMCAnnounce interest rate resolutions, policy statements, and economic expectations;02:30Federal Reserve Chairman Powell Holds a Press Conference;
　　
　　11:00Bank of Japan announces interest rate resolution;
　　
　　14:30Bank of Japan Governor Toshiko Kuroda Holds a Press Conference;
　　
　　19:00The Bank of England announces interest rate decisions and meeting minutes.
　　
Of course, the most noteworthy one is the Federal Reserve. Before the silence period, both Federal Reserve officials downplayed the possibility of issuing the latest public guidance on interest rate trends in the upcoming interest rate resolution in their final remarks, suggesting that they first need to have a clearer understanding of the economic outlook.
　　
Short term gold may consolidate sideways, with the rise of the US dollar dragging down gold, but longer-term uncertainty that continues to plague the market supports gold prices as concerns about recession are already reflected in prices, and investors are now waiting for the next move in central bank policy.
　　
Analysis of the trend of spot gold
　　
Actually, recently the market has been8After experiencing a significant decline in menstruation, I have been1902reach1966Frequent roller coaster washes are taking place in the region, and after multiple washes, the bullish and bearish fluctuation areas gradually compress to the edge of the change, and next week we will once again welcome the change window. Going for a weekend review has become a reality15According to the annual industry practice, the daily chart clearly shows the white area stacked with the recently active Nasdaqstock market indexOn the daily trend, you will find that the trend of gold and NASDAQ is basically the same, and every major drop adjustment and rebound is the same. There is nothing I can do to take a look at myself, and they all have a common reason for their rise, which is that the liquidity provided by the Federal Reserve's unrestricted easing has boosted the rise. The downward trend of daily head and shoulder top technology is still perfect, but now it is only aimed at the right shoulder2015Regional horizontal consolidation, in fact, there are more daily linesKLine signals and trading patterns can also be found, and every two to three days of increase, there will be a big shadow or a rise and fall, and adjustments will be the same. Two to three days are technical retests.

　　

But the fluctuation range and intensity are no longer as high as before, and at the same time, each rise for a few days is not as good as a few hours of decline, which is a clear bearish advantage controlling the pace of the market. Recently1For more than a month, I have been tirelessly talking about the downward trend of the daily head and shoulder technology, and the adjustment time and magnitude will be extended. Moreover, without new bullish and safe haven developments, the probability of reaching new highs again is very low. Therefore, the upward backtesting is to repair the decline too quickly, not a new rise. It is often said that if it is a bottom, it is a volatile rise, and not a bottom, all the rises are bullish.
　　
Looking at the daily chart,MACDDead cross, green column kinetic energy gradually shrinks,KDJAdhesive; The Bollinger Bands continued to close, with gold prices closing below the mid track; Indicating that there is still a lack of momentum for gold to rise, there is a risk of another decline in the short term. Below support, focus first on Wednesday's low point1920.15, this position is also close to50The daily moving average, if it breaks below, will further push gold prices back to this week's low point1906.72. Strong support and key focus1900The checkpoint, this is an important psychological checkpoint. In the short term, it is expected that this level will not easily fall below, but if it is missed, the support level will see Bollinger leading down the track1889.60, and may even step back8month12Daily low point1863.16。
　　
However, due to concerns about economic recovery, global stock markets have been volatile this week, and gold still recorded weekly gains. Technically speaking, as the price of gold increases1920-1900The region once again gained support and quickly recovered5The daily moving average has weakened the bearish sentiment in the market. Pinyuan believes that as long as the gold price operates within1920Above, then the future market will still lean towards a volatile upward trend; The upper resistance first focuses on the middle track of the Bollinger Belt1951.56,If the position is regained, it will increase the short-term bullish signal, further resistance at Thursday's high point1966.54Nearby, if there is a breakthrough, the gold price may further explore9month1Daily high point1992.48Nearby resistance; Overall, although gold prices are facing some downward pressure in the short term1900Before the checkpoint was breached, the future market was still mainly bullish, so the operational strategy last week was to focus on a pullback and buy long, with a rebound at a high level as a supplement. In terms of investment, operational issues can be added to the author's communication. Attitude determines everything, and details determine success or failure. The article can only provide a temporary direction and idea. As for the specific entry points and timing of resolving the situation, please follow Zhou Pinyuan's official WeChat account:zpy2357Will be provided in real-time.
　　
Focus on resistance above:1966.54、1976.64；
　　
Focus on support below:1920.15、1906.72；
　　
　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1955-1957Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1945-1943frontline;
　　
　　2Under the gold, it cannot be broken by stepping back1930-1932Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1943-1945frontline;
　　
The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right. Risk is an objective, inevitable, and under certain conditions, it also has certain regularity, so we should pay more attention to risk control in operation.
　　
Gift from Pin Yuan;No matter how beautiful others may be, you can't expect them. No matter how messy the situation is, you have to continue! When no one helps you, stand straight on your own, and when no one helps you, work hard on your own. Believe in yourself, as long as you are brave enough, there are no difficulties you cannot endure.
　　
Teacher Zhou Pinyuan's team provides comprehensive guidance in the morning6：00--In the early morning of the next day2：00 (We never stop on weekends, available for consultation at any time) Due to the timeliness of the article, the strategy is for reference only.
　　Author of this article: Zhou Pinyuan（zpy2357）Follow the Bow Brown account "Zhou Pinyuan" Entering the market carries risks and investment needs to be cautious