Message surface analysis; Friday(9month11day)At the end of trading in New York City, gold prices slightly declined, with spot gold trading at1940Near the US dollar level, as neither the European Central Bank nor the US government has offered further stimulus measures, but due to concerns about economic recovery, global stock markets are volatile this week, and safe haven gold will record a weekly rise. New York Mercantile Exchange12Monthly delivery of goldfuturesPrice decline16.40USD, decline0.8%Benefit per ounce1947.90USD.12Monthly silver futures down43Cents, decline1.6%Benefit per ounce26.857US dollars. According to the most active contracts, the cumulative increase in gold futures this week0.7%Silver rose0.5%。欧洲央行行长拉加德周四未发出该行将扩大刺激的信号,美国国会参议院周四否决了共和党提出的抗疫援助议案。陈召锡称,“市场对欧洲央行有点失望,因之前预期我们能看到更多刺激举措。国债收益率极低甚至为负、美国冠状病毒感染病例持续增加、美元走软等因素使贵金属价格仍然得到支撑。除了这几个因素,美联储改变政策框架,允许通胀率上涨,同时将在较长时间内维持低利率政策,也会使金价受益。通胀上涨的压力将侵蚀美元的购买力,意味着美元贬值的同时黄金将保持其价值。加1014611571策略指导服务,独家风控方案为你投资之路保驾护航。
技术面分析;黄金昨日冲高回落,目前交投在1940Near the US dollar. Daily chartMACDThe green kinetic energy column is basically stable,KDJRandom indicators remain stable at50Below the horizontal level, it indicates that the bearish momentum of gold still exists or may further fluctuate. gold4Analysis from an hourly perspective: Gold prices have briefly broken through200After the moving average continued to decline, it is currently approaching20The average level of the period.MACDThe red kinetic energy column continues to weaken,KDJ随机指标自超买水平附近急剧向下,指示黄金看涨动能减弱,从技术面看,黄金短线料维持震荡走势。昨日黄金上涨及下跌的走势力度较大影响,且日线以带长上影线的阴柱收尾,日内先继续依托低点1935-33Going up on the front line, this area is the support area for the previous rise, and the gold price remains stable at the end of the week1933一线支撑,不考虑过分看空。行情随着时间变换,策略也需随着行情调整,在行情没有继续下跌的情况,按预期跟进即可,所以周五也是先保持低多看涨,行情逆转在考虑改变策略。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡个人建议以回调低多为主,上方关注1975-1980One line of resistance, pay attention below1925-1920Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.
Analysis of the trend of crude oil market;
消息面分析;
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美油下跌1.7%to36.67dollar/Barrel, as demand recovers and weakens,OPEC+Once again in a dilemma - whether to support oil prices or seize market share. In addition, OPEC data shows that the United Arab Emirates7The monthly oil production is slightly higher than the agreed production limit, and the UAE acknowledges8月也再次超过上限。陈召锡认为说,欧佩克核心国家原油产量超过配额一直在影响油价。当海湾地区核心国家未完成减产目标时,就会引发市场对整个减产协议的可持续性的质疑。越来越多的证据表明,需求复苏已停滞,对所有类型的燃料(尤其是喷气燃料)的需求可能要到2023年才能恢复到危机前的水平,因此,越来越多的人猜测OPEC+是否需要重新考虑采取措施以实现油市的平衡;
技术面分析;原油昨日日线转阴回落,短线整理不破前一日反弹阳线高点,反弹延续性不足。今日周线收官。留意周尾再次的回落收低。跌势放缓,4小时级别企稳,短线有反抽修正需求,所以首先不考虑追空,若反抽一波之后可考虑空,直接空肯定不考虑。而做多方面,重点要关注美股的走势,美股昨天晚间再次被打下来,但并没有破新低,而且目前有所反弹,短期内,预计美股下跌空间有限,经过一轮杀跌之后,短期不排除再走强反弹。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方关注38-38.5One line of resistance, pay attention below36.5-36Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.