Chen Zhaoxi9.11黄金原油晚间走势分析及交易短线操作策略建议

The most important thing about investing is not how much you can earn a week at a time. The key lies in whether you can make stable profits. Short term fluctuations, mid line bands, and long term trends are not good or bad methods. As long as they are suitable for you, achieving stable profits is a good method. Operational risk is an objective and inevitable factor, and under certain conditions, it also has certain patterns. There are many investors in the market, some of whom do not believe in evil. As someone who has tried to persuade you, you must listen to some principles. If you do not listen to such experiences, you will understand some trading principles. It is actually easy to stay away from losses. In fact, the market writes a lot of analysis articles, and the strength of analysts lies not in the content of the article, but in the real order. Because the market is constantly changing, the real order has value. After implementing a set of strategies, the strategy is right and simple, The market has a regular pattern, and the operation requires methods. It is easy to accept the best one and make a profit.


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Analysis of the trend of gold market;


　　消息面分析；周四（9month10日），由美国共和党提出的新版经济刺激法案在美国国会参议院闯关失败，令11month3日大选前无法出台新一轮疫情纾困措施的可能性大增。美国未来的经济反弹变得更加脆弱。经历了疫情期间的低谷后，美国经济出现一定程度的反弹，但未来的反弹之路可能变得更为艰难。美国每周初请失业金人数依然超过80Ten thousand.9month10日的报道暗示，美国国会为失业人士和企业提供额外支持的机会减少。今年8月份，特朗普总统授权额外失业补助，但也即将用完，陈召锡认为我们不应低估迄今为止财政刺激对经济V型复苏的重要性。随着美国重启经济，经济轻松出现一定程度好转，但经历最初的反弹后，经济想进一步复苏会变得更加艰难。即便如此，美国仍可能创下有史以来最强劲的三季度经济增速。受强劲家庭支出数据提振，高盛的经济学家已将跟踪预测的年化增长率上调至35%。但季末需求若出现下滑，可能令今年余下时间的美国经济前景恶化。在疫情持续的情况下，经济复苏更为脆弱，市场避险情绪持续，中长期来看将利好黄金。关注公众号“陈召锡”即可获取实时策略指导。


　　技术面分析；黄金昨日冲高回落，目前交投在1940Near the US dollar. Daily chartMACDThe green kinetic energy column is basically stable,KDJRandom indicators remain stable at50Below the horizontal level, it indicates that the bearish momentum of gold still exists or may further fluctuate. gold4Analysis from an hourly perspective: Gold prices have briefly broken through200After the moving average continued to decline, it is currently approaching20The average level of the period.MACDThe red kinetic energy column continues to weaken,KDJ随机指标自超买水平附近急剧向下，指示黄金看涨动能减弱，从技术面看，黄金短线料维持震荡走势。昨日黄金上涨及下跌的走势力度较大影响，且日线以带长上影线的阴柱收尾，日内先继续依托低点1935-33Going up on the front line, this area is the support area for the previous rise, and the gold price remains stable at the end of the week1933一线支撑，不考虑过分看空。行情随着时间变换，策略也需随着行情调整，在行情没有继续下跌的情况，按预期跟进即可，所以周五也是先保持低多看涨，行情逆转在考虑改变策略。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅。上方关注1975-1980One line of resistance, pay attention below1930-1935Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.


Analysis of the trend of crude oil market;


Message surface analysis; Friday（9month11US crude oil slightly declined and briefly fell below during trading37USD level, current report37.21USD, decline0.24%. Overall, the overall trend of oil prices is bearish, with concerns about slowing demand being the biggest driving factor, but the market is still paying attention to itOPEC+The trend of. at presentOPEC+Caught in a dilemma, on the one hand, low oil prices have led to a widening budget deficit, but on the other hand, if we deepen production cuts to support oil prices, it may lead to a loss of market share. It is expected thatOPEC+A preliminary signal may be given on this issue at the meeting. Focus on US crude oil drilling data for the day, with two weeks recording an increase in the past three weeks. Simultaneously following the United StatesCPI数据，陈召锡认为在通胀预期升温和美元贬值的环境下，油价仍有望反弹。美国能源信息署(EIA)Reported that US crude oil inventories increased last week200Ten thousand barrels. This confirms that the American Petroleum Institute(API)Report inventory increase300The trend of tens of thousands of barrels, and the general market prediction is to reduce130万桶。尽管处于超卖区间，但是对于需求的忧虑将继续限制油价反弹的空间，直到出现明显的需求回升的信号。


　　技术面分析；从日线上来看，隔日原油再次回落，反弹受压制于5The daily moving average has fallen, with a shift from rising to falling during the day, recording a mid day bearish candlestick with a long upward shadow. On the daily chart, crude oil is still operating today5日线下方，压制性较强，日内或将继续下跌；四小时来看，隔日原油持于中轨运行，不断下行，当前布林带收口向下运行，MAAfter moving out of the golden cross, the moving averageMA5Turning head downwards andMA10Forming a dead cross,KDJThe three lines of random indicators are downward,MACD指标红色动能柱开始缩量，快慢线平行向前，综合来看，原油目前处于反弹修正之中，但顶部压制性较强，日内仍有下行趋势，所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方关注38-38.5One line of resistance, pay attention below36.5-36Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.


　　陈召锡——个人投资心得；


　　不管人在成功阶段，或是在失落阶段，每个人都想要鸡汤来捧场和安慰。成功时享受人在雾端的缥缈，失败时享受心灵的慰藉。每个人，都认为自己干的事和别人不一样，总认为自己是对的，别人的都不值得一提，其实，大路很多，小路更多，当你能融合的时候，才知道什么是成长和成功砍了舍不得，不砍怕继续涨（跌），现在是左右为难，加上趋势上还并没有太大的反转意思。或者自己做反了，单子止损了吗？深套了吗？天地锁了吗？为什么会这样呢？明知行情势如破竹，为什么还要一路死补呢？亏了就亏了，舍不得出？行情往往就是这样，在你措手不及的时候杀你片甲不留。问问自己为什么？


　　听了很多大道理，可依然做不好交易，学习了很多理论知识，可仍然不能游刃有余，如果我们不贪婪，我们不会被打败，如果我们不恐惧，我们将获得胜利，有时候想证明给一万个人看，但发现最后能懂的只有自己，市场的生存法则就是弱肉强食，注定有一批人将被市场所淘汰，战争不会给军人解释的机会，大浪淘沙，沉者为金，陈召锡愿和您共同前行！

　　陈召锡微信：【1014611571】——公众号：陈召锡）建立基本面变动模型，研判市场行情变化，用以判断趋势。十余年锤炼的技术分析研判短线细节。中线为主，短线为辅。对金市、油市、股市、债市等全球主要金融市场都有深入而独特的见解。每一次的下单都是技术分析，不是感情博弈，也不是情绪释放；每一次的建仓与平仓都是专业的体现。陈召锡用心写好每一段分析，传递有价值的投资理念，希望价有所值，值有所得；