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goldMessage surface:
Beijing Time9month10Last week, the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the United States was announced, recording88.4Ten thousand people, higher than market expectations84.6Ten thousand people, previously valued by88.1Ten thousand people go up in cultivation88.4Ten thousand people, which means the published value for this period is the same as the previous value. Meanwhile, the released data also includes the United States8monthPPIMonthly rate, recorded0.30%Higher than market expectations0.20%, but below the previous value0.60%. After the data was released, spot gold rose in the short term7US dollars. Analysis suggests that the European Central Bank's interest rate decision is an important risk event, and of course, the gold market is not only waiting for this decision, but also waiting for the United StatesCPIData and next week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision Wang Qiming believes that because gold remains at a critical level1900Above, its long-term upward trend will not change in the short term. The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain low interest rates for the long term, which will put pressure on the US dollar. In addition, the rise in inflation means that real interest rates will continue to fall, which is also beneficial for gold.
Gold market analysis:
Tuesday Gold Test1906Moving towards a rebound, the daily chart ended with a low cross star and closed positive on Wednesday, indicating a bullish trend at a low level. Although the daily cycle has been similar in recent times, it has not broken through1907It has already been explained that9In the month, gold will continue to rise in waves and fluctuate at high levels for a long time, with gold withstanding the trend4Hourly Bollinger Band on Track, Short Period4The hourly Bollinger Bands have already opened, so whether it is the intraday market or this week's market, the Golden Big Think Road will continue to1907-1910Support continues to be bullish. Overall, when the market opened this morning, gold has been fluctuating at high levels and there is no signal of a high bearish trend. Therefore, in the short term, focus on the evening1933-1930Support continues to see oscillations, with Wang Qiming suggesting that the most stable pullback is in the upper key range1970-1975Only when the hourly closing line stabilizes above, can we see a break and rise, otherwise gold will still be in a volatile market. The market is constantly changing, and the entry points are for reference only. If there is a break, you can also consult Wang Qiming to learn about the latest market situation. For specific order strategies, the entry points should be based on Wang Qimingw q m 9 6 4 5Actual guidance shall prevail!
crude oilMessage surface:
Thursday(9month10day)European market, US crude oilfuturesThe price has fallen by more than1%Under pressure38USD, American Petroleum Institute(API)The data showed that the US crude oil inventory unexpectedly rose last week, triggering concerns about the sluggish recovery of fuel demand, as COVID-19 cases continued to surge in many countries. Analysts from ANZ Bank stated in a report that the oil market is facing a dual pressure of weak demand and increased supply. US Energy Information Agency(EIA)The official weekly inventory data will be released later on Thursday, one day later than the normal time after this week's Labor Day holiday. The maintenance season of refineries and the cautious attitude of refineries should keep crude oil demand weak. The bank also pointed out that as independent refineries reach the annual crude oil import quota limit, imports from major crude oil importing countries may tend to stabilize.
Analysis of crude oil market:
Yesterday, crude oil recorded a small positive summary5Despite consecutive declines, this does not indicate that the oil market has turned bullish, and overall it is still weak. Yesterday's slight rebound was a small rebound after the waterfall to repair the market, and the daily indicators are still weak. from4According to the analysis in the hourly chart, the upper part is still under pressureMA20The first line failed to break through effectively. Yesterday's rebound was a technical repair, as the indicators were oversold. With the repair of the indicators, it is expected to further decline. Looking at the hourly chart, after yesterday's rebound, the upper part showed a double peak, and the indicators were oversoldMACDGreen energy amplification, dead cross between fast and slow lines,KDJThree line dead cross, in summary, Wang Qiming's crude oil operation is recommended to focus on high altitude and pay attention to upper resistance38.5-39Frontline resistance, short-term focus below36.5.-36Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and the entry points are for reference only. If there is a break, you can also consult Wang Qiming to learn about the latest market situation. For specific order strategies, the entry points should be based on Wang Qimingw q m 9 6 4 5Actual guidance shall prevail!
How to quickly unwind the investment in gold and crude oil?
(1)Lock in position and price difference method: After being covered, it indicates that our judgment direction is wrong. The market and our prices in the opposite direction are moving, and when they rebound or fall to a certain height, it is estimated that they will reach a short-term high. We need to continuously increase the funds in the lock in position to ensure that the lock in position is greater than the position in the lock in position. By using this technique of taking advantage of the situation to increase the price difference earned by locking orders, and finally waiting for the total funds to make up for the loss, completing the removal of the bedding and making a profit, and then selling all of it?
(2)Bottom adding method: After being covered, one should be patient and dare to lock in the position, because of the characteristics of the product, some prices and bottom signals may appear, especially in large cycles such as the weekly chartKWhen there is a rebound signal or a bottom signal on the line, it will be very stable. As long as there is a bottom signal in the large cycle, it is necessary to boldly unwind, buy continuously on dips, increase positions, and once the large cycle rebounds, it can be resolved.
(3)Lowering the average price method: After being trapped, if you are trapped at a relatively low point in history, there is no need to worry, as there is bound to be room for rebound. At this time, you need to constantly buy on dips and increase positions to buy on dips15%Increase the position once and lower the average price, so that when there is a rebound in gold and crude oil, it can be eliminated. This technique is also known as the pyramid method. Due to the fact that the author Wang Qiming is not aware of the specific positions and positions of your hedging, it is difficult to provide corresponding strategies for unwinding.
(4)Single stop loss method: When you feel that your direction and trend are wrong and there are really no opportunities left, choose a certain rebound space for single stop loss. The gold market is very large on one side, especially when the opposite direction of high or low orders is trapped, you need to make a decisive single stop loss. Single stop loss is the most effective solution technique, because you can redo the order and ensure the principal.
This article is contributed by Wang Qiming. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, etc. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is personal advice. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting.
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