王铭鑫：黄金继续保持高位做空，黄金亚盘走势分析及操作建议

Interpretation of message surface


This week（9month7day-9month13Japan welcomes two major central bank interest rate resolutions, the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank, which may have a significant impact on the European Central Bank's policy. European Central Bank officials not only face the situation of the euro strengthening to a two-year high, but also need to deal with the driving factor behind it - the Federal Reserve's cyclical tolerance for accelerated inflation, which is also a policy that the European Central Bank needs to emulate. The UK side stated that the EU must be aware that the UK is seriously considering Brexit through an Australian style trade relationship; The UK is ready for various Brexit scenarios, and we are not afraid. In terms of data, pay attention to China's trade and credit data.


goldThe recent rise and fall are mainly affected by the improvement of US economic data, and the low rebound of the US dollar index poses strong pressure on gold bulls; At the same time, the three major indexes in the United States have fallen from high levels, and insufficient liquidity has once again troubled the market. Last Tuesday, bullish gold stopped trading2000Great level, highest1992On the front line, gold forms here2015The subsequent second highest point indicates that2000and1948The pressure in the nearby gateway area is enormous; There are two strong obstacles that must be overcome in order for bulls to rise in the future market.

Gold trend analysis


Gold from1993Position drops to1916On the front line, there is a clear downward band, and the rebound has been suppressed by the moving average. Above1942The position is also a dividing line between long and short positions, and without breaking through, there is only one possibility for gold to ultimately fall! From the daily trend, gold is still in a volatile trend, while the high point of rebound is continuously decreasing, and the bottom is temporarily below1910Strong support in position, only after breaking through can it continue to decline to1860Area!


黄金日线来分析：黄金近期整体维持在1900-1950A wide range of oscillations; The Bollinger Bands track has a slight opening, and the gold price is under pressure below the middle track.MACDDead cross, but green column kinetic energy remains stable,KDJReorganize into a dead cross downwards, with an index located at50Below. From a technical perspective, gold materials are mainly weak in volatility. Recently, gold has been under continuous pressure and has continued to fall below the lower limit1915-1900关键支撑区间，王铭鑫预计今晚黄金将加速下行。
  

gold4Analyzing from an hourly perspective: oscillating and falling; The three tracks of the Bollinger Bands are slightly downward, with gold prices hovering between the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands.MACDThe adhesive and green column have weak kinetic energy,KDJDead cross flattening, index below50Below. From a technical perspective, the short-term bearish sentiment towards gold has increased. Currently, it has dropped to1916The support position of the region, the market is temporarily in a state of support1910-1940Narrow range operation within the region, volatile and bearish market trend, without breaking through1945压力前黄金不会开启新的波段，所以我们继续维持高空的思路，操作上王铭鑫建议高空为主，上方关注1942Pressure, follow below1905的支撑。目前手上有低位空单和高位多单不知道如何处理或者近期出现严重亏损可添加王铭鑫老师寻求帮助，我会抽空给予我粉丝最大的帮助。


crude oilTrend analysis


金价周二从盘中稍早触及的近两周低位反弹，此前股市抛售促使投资者入手黄金以求避险；王铭鑫认为，我们看到金价从低位反弹，此前美国股市大跌引发一些避险买盘，人们感到困惑，他们不知道目前股市的底部在哪里；全球股市大跌，油价跳水，因科技股遭大幅抛售、英国脱欧不确定性以及对新增病例数上升的担忧；美元兑一篮子货币上涨0.7%，但金价仍录得上涨；王铭鑫桅型号是 kdj0866投资者目前正在等待定于周四召开的欧洲央行政策会议，而美联储的下一次会议定于下周召开；今年迄今，金价已经上涨了27%以上，此前全球央行向市场注入了大量额外的刺激措施，以缓解新冠大流行造成的经济影响，黄金被视为对冲通胀和货币贬值的工具。


Technical analysis of crude oil:


日线图来看，MACD死叉，绿柱动能持续放量，KDJ死叉；布林带向下开口，油价连续5个交易日走低，盘中下破6month25Daily low point37.08附近支撑，目前正在试探100Daily moving average36.0附近支撑，若下破，则油价可能进一步回踩6month15Daily low point34.36附近支撑，该位置自3月跳空以来被多次测试，参考性较强。昨日早盘一度下破39US dollar level, lowest hit36.1，短线仍有进一步走低的迹象；下方支撑在100Daily moving average36.06附近，若持续下破则新的下行空间将被打开，强支撑在6month15Daily low point34.36附近。综合来看，原油今日短线操作上王铭鑫建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注38.0-38.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below34.0-32Frontline support.  
　                                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                 投资三大风控技能


一、时间控制。


在金融投资中，只要一旦进入了交易，就会面临不同程度上的风险，所以投资者首先最为重要的一点就是把握控制住入场交易时间。而投资者的持仓时间与风险也是息息相关的：持仓时间越短，所面临的风险就会越小；而持仓时间越长，所面临的时间将会越长，所以控制持仓时间是很重要的。


二、仓位控制。


关于仓位控制，很多专业人士认为三分之一仓位才是合理的。但是每个投资者专业程度和资金量等系列情况都不一样，我认为这种说法也是不太合理的。每个投资者的自身情况的不同，对仓位的控制也是不同的，所以要结合自身情况来控制适合自己的仓位。但是如果一旦发现方向出错，一定要严格止损。


三、技术控制。


技术控制是指投资者在对行情进行综合性的分析后，运用科学的止损方式将风险控制在亏损的最小范围内。不能一味地遵从专业人士的分析，应该有自己的判断和方向，专业的人士也有判断错误的时候，不可能对任何事件都能做出精确的预测，特别是刚入门的投资者，一定要养成跟着下止损的习惯。


王铭鑫寄语：不要抱怨生活给予太多的磨难，不要抱怨生命中有太多的曲折。把每—次的失败都归结为一次尝试而不去自卑，把每一次的成功都想象成一种幸运而不去自傲。微笑着去面对挫折，去接受幸福，去品味孤独，去战胜忧伤，去面对生活带给我们的一切。投资市场中，最公平的就是行情，我们所有的人面对的都是同样的行情，但是每个人做出的决定都会不一样。投资市场有太多的起起落落，有人住高楼，有人在深沟，有人万丈光芒，有人满身铁锈，有人黄昏吹软风，有人深夜伴点星。但是有人能从深渊中一步一步走出来，有人能扫去昨天的浮尘，有人能怀着希望来迎接清晨的日出。在这个市场中没有谁是一帆风顺的，但有的人确能乘风破浪会有时，直挂云帆济沧海。希望看到这篇文章的投资朋友能博观而约取，厚积而薄发。  　                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                   
This article is written by Wang Mingxin (Guidance Hotline;kdj0866）Original submission, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the latency of online push, the above content is personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, the suggestion is for reference only. Any operation based on this is at your own risk!