王铭鑫：黄金技术面可能确认看跌反转！？油价为何遭遇重挫

　偶尔王铭鑫看一下其他分析师朋友的约稿文章，不知道什么时候开始，从技术分析，投资技巧，K线指标等，慢慢转换为琳琅满目的盈利截图，喊.单对话；有意思吗？每每客户找到我，跟我讲之前的“老师”说带着怎么赚，赚多少，后来发现入场和想象不同，自己做得很累，亏损还严重，实在是坚持不下去了；听到这些真的很心痛，不要等到资金缩水，单子套的不能再套了，再问我怎么解！我有心帮你，你不主动，机会从何而来？我给客户的每一次抉择策略都要经过无比细心的分析之后才会给的，想要知道怎么做单很简单，想要知道怎么做对单是一道复杂的工序，那就请耐心等待。这是为你负责，也是为我负责，进来了这里就不要怀疑你缺什么，其实你什么都不缺，只是缺一位好老师。

　　

　　goldMarket trend analysis;

　　

　　尽管美元还有上涨空间，但强劲的基本面因素将继续支撑黄金。王铭鑫预计金价将继续守住1920美元支撑位。金价会跌破1900美元吗？这是有可能的，王铭鑫认为价格此后会保持并开始走高，现在是买入黄金的好时机。我认为，刺激措施不会很快消失，因此通胀将推高，实际债券收益率将下降。”目前，美元空头头寸是市场上最拥挤的交易。很容易就会推动这些头寸攀升。王铭鑫认为近期仍看涨黄金，因市场不确定性增加可能推动金价和美元同步上涨。

　　

　　上周非农数据公布后黄金冲高回落从1916起底回升，一路最高走到1938，一周3天十字星，很明显的震荡整理。行情在临近的节奏中也形成了支撑和阻力，短线需要先关注临近节奏的多空反复，从1992形成的下降趋势，经过1956-1971、1932-1951、1921-1949的三次反弹，其节奏阻力在1943-1948区域。下方则是周线的10Weekly moving average1923与非农低点1916形成的支撑区间。

　　

　　今日短线操作上王铭鑫建议先围绕着临近的支撑阻力高空低多，上方阻力1943-1948，关注该区域受阻做空；下方支撑1915-1910，关注该区域止跌做多。短中长期均是高空低多思路，不破位关键的阻力支撑位，不要着急追涨杀跌。综上所述，黄金继续关注短中线震荡反复，大周期看1900-1990区间震荡反复。日内先关注1945-1910小区间震荡，上方1940-1945阻力关注空单，下方1915-1910支撑关注做多。（文章只能给你一个大概的区间，具体的操作策略以王铭鑫实盘指导为主，关注王铭鑫实时指导微信 kdj0866）

　　

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

　　

　　美国主要机构公布的上周原油库存连续第六周大幅减少,但美国钻井商连续第二周增加石油和天然气钻井平台,因原油价格上涨促使一些生产商重新开始钻探活动。美国石油学会(API)最新数据显示,by8month28Day and Week,APIReduction in crude oil inventory63610000 barrels to5.012Billion barrels,连续第六周下跌,Previous value decrease452.410000 barrels,Expected decrease20010000 barrels;Reduced inventory of Cushing crude oil23.710000 barrels,Previous value decrease64.610000 barrels;Reduced gasoline inventory576.110000 barrels,create2019year4The largest decline since the beginning of the month,

　　

　　虽然美国新冠疫情新增确诊病例有所放缓,但印度的疫情急剧恶化,欧洲一些国家的疫情也出现一些反弹的迹象,令市场对原油需求恢复的信心下降。新冠疫情迫使全球多国采取封锁措施,导致燃料消耗量急剧下降。俄罗斯能源部长诺瓦克上周五表示,受新冠疫情影响,今年全球石油日需求可能减少900万桶左右。同时,沙特国有石油生产商沙特阿美上周末下调了10月份出口到亚洲和美国的石油价格,这一迹象表明,随着疫情的持续影响,沙特这个世界最大石油出口国或认为燃料需求出现了动摇。

　　

　　原油技术面来看，日线上看窄幅震荡；布林带略微开口，油价连续第四个交易日走低，跌破下轨；目前MACDThe kinetic energy of dead forks and green columns increases,KDJDead cross, index close30。技术面看，油价料延续跌势。王铭鑫认为下行方面，支撑位先看向6month25Daily low point37.08，进一步支撑下看100Daily moving average36.00。王铭鑫认为上行方面，先留意布林带下轨40.00关口，进一步阻力上看布林带中轨42.10。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上王铭鑫建议以回调低多为主，上方短期重点关注41.5-42.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below38-38.5一线支撑。文章只能给出一个暂时的方向和想法，至于具体的进场点和解套时机，请关注王铭鑫的官微： kdj0866Will be provided in real-time.

　　
   goldKLine theory:
　　
The theory of relative position is goldKThe second largest theory of line theory. As the saying goes, oranges born in the south are called oranges, which are sweet and sweet;Born in the north, it is bitter and astringent, known as trifoliate orange. The same seeds, grown in different environments, have vastly different results. Same, exactly the sameKLines, if placed in different relative positions, have a completely different guiding effect on the future market.KThe position of the line is crucial for analysis and judgmentKLines are extremely important. goldKThe theory of relative position of lines includes the following two meanings:
　　
UsuallyKThe position of a line does not have an absolute high or low point, so we can only use relative position to represent it. This depends on an individual's judgment of the market height and requires a certain level of understanding, but we must make a simple distinction. It is generally divided into three positions: relatively high, relatively low, and halfway up the mountain. Because high and low points are not absolute, there is no need to overly demand accurate positioning, just give a rough distinction.
　　
It is generally divided into three types: upward trend, downward trend, and consolidation trend, also known as upward channel, downward channel, and horizontal consolidation. At a relatively high levelKSpecial attention should be paid to analyzing whether the main force needs to wash the market or if there is a change in the overall situation, and the main force needs to ship at a high level. Generally speaking, the main force washing the market will fluctuate sharply downwards, making it easy for people to be deceived;However, if the main force wants to ship at a high level, it will be very gentle, giving people a feeling of needing to adjust at a high level and continue to hit higher peaks. By observing and calculating the inflow and outflow of the main force's funds, it can be found. Nine out of ten retail investors compensate for this reason, always being deceived by technical data and confused by the main force. Relatively lowKGenerally, the line falls to a certain extent, so there will be a relatively low level, but whether the incoming buying is awesome depends on the subsequent trend. Low position long and short positions are usually fought back and forth, whenKThe smaller the amplitude of the line, the more reasonable the price range has been organized. At this time, the normal trading volume will be relatively low. If there is a continuous upward or downward long lead or cross star, and the trading volume starts to rise, it indicates that the market is about to change. At this moment, it is necessary to constantly pay attention. If the main funds are continuously entering but the price fluctuates little, then buy decisively, When the main force builds up their positions, they will give up suppressing prices and turn to aggressively entering the market to start pulling up, usually starting with a bullish candlestick. A sharp rise in prices is relatively important, but it should be combined withK线和成交量综合判断，价格不升不降不一定是坏事，是酝酿下一次的暴涨。关于今日的操作，本人将会在卫//letter( kdj0866  )在线指导，同步龚重浩：王铭鑫 ，准确率百分之九十以上，王铭鑫 guidance(Every day, the Asian, European, and American markets provide timely analysis and direction), free guidance
　　
Fund management is one of the core contents of trading systems, and its essence is risk management. The core logic of financial markets is that potential returns are equal to risks. Pursuing higher profit goals will inevitably face greater risks. Trading is valuable in the long run, and trading operations should pursue a balance between attack and defense. All positions and significant losses are the result of heavy attacks and light defenses. Fund management mainly involves building positions, stopping losses and profits, increasing positions and reducing positions, and so on. Here is only a brief explanation of warehouse construction. Assuming you use a1000Using USD accounts for international gold trading（XAUUSD）Margin trading, current market price is1390USD, you are considering setting the stop loss at a new high and then moving back to the previous low1381Below the US dollar1380On the position of the US dollar, the target price is considered to reach a new high1440Below the US dollar, per transaction2%Loss rule (usually recommended for classic trading)1-2%(Small funds can be adjusted accordingly), what is the amount of loss you can bear20USD（1000USD x0.02）In this way, you can only pay the market price1390Establishment of US dollars0.02Buying multiple positions by hand（20÷10）The profit and loss ratio is approximately5:1. If you use1385Set a price limit for buying orders in US dollars, and positions can be set0.04Hand（20÷5）Profit loss ratio1：10Left and right. Of course, you can also adopt the fixed position method, using a secure fixed position for each order placed over a period of time.
　　
　
　 　本文由王铭鑫（指导热线；kdj0866）Original submission, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the latency of online push, the above content is personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, the suggestion is for reference only. Any operation based on this is at your own risk!