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Summary:9.7Investment Internationalgoldcrude oilHow to analyze the market situation? How to operate gold and crude oil in the short term? What are the current gold resistance and support levels?9.7How should beginners make orders when investing in gold and crude oil?9.7伦敦金还会涨吗?原油还会跌吗?近期有哪些消息面会影响黄金原油走势? What is the impact of the rise and fall of the US dollar on gold?9.7黄金原油行情走势分析及操作建议;9.7黄金原油被套单如何解套?如何防止爆仓?
前言:在这个市场博弈,讲究的是一个学习参与的过程和后期长期稳健获利的结果。一旦产生亏损,要及时总结原因出现在哪里,要让亏损的资金产生他的价值,我想,你每做一笔交易,有理有据的进场,且严格遵守这个市场的规则,在一个正确的引导之下,实现长期稳健获利的目标是很容易实现的。精准的走势分析,专业的团队技术分析,负责的指导老师,全程行情实时追踪,盈利离你还会远吗机会总是留给有准备的人,但同样也留给会选择的人真实的实力给你展示,切实的利润让你开心!如果你在投资路上遇到了困扰,找不到方向长期处在亏损中,不妨可以和高常运聊聊,成功不是靠运气,选择大于努力!愿你认识我始于文字,合于性格,陷于技术,久于善良,终于人品。关注公众号“高常运”获取实时指导及套单解套解锁策略解决方案
Spot gold&International crude oil information:
9month7日,受美国劳工节假期影响,盘中交投清淡,美元指数相对持稳。虽然上周美国失业率下降,但市场仍对经济持续复苏感到担忧,美元近期整体走势相对疲弱。现货黄金盘中微涨,企稳1930美元上方。尽管中长线来看,多数投资者仍押注金价将重返2000美元上方。但短期来看,金价更可能是维持一种震荡态势。
美元反弹势头受阻,提振避险商品黄金,金价周一微涨,企稳1930美元上方。数据方面,美国CFTC上周五数据显示,9month1日止当周投机客增持COMEX黄金和白银多仓。尽管中长线来看,多数投资者仍押注金价将重返2000美元上方。但短期来看,金价更可能是维持一种震荡态势。上周五因为美国非农数据总体好于预期,继续支撑美元反弹,因此黄金一度跌破1920美元关口。不过仍有数百万美国人失业,且随着疫情蔓延,市场对于中长期就业前景持谨慎立场,且该数据并未改变美联储宽松的预期,因此黄金随后迅速收回跌幅,收盘微涨0.16。目前市场的预期是两大央行可能会跟随美联储调整通胀目标的步伐而实施进一步的宽松,如果符合预期,考虑当前美元的空仓处于极端水平,这将推动美元进一步反弹。同时本周还需要关注美国8OfPPIandCPI数据,如果数据显示通胀回升,可能暗示美联储结束宽松可能会早于预期,也可能支撑美元并施压金价。
周一美原油延续上周五的跌势,刷新近两个月低点至38.55美元。美原油在40美元上方维持数个月盘整走势后最终选择了方向。此前市场仍在判断市场的供需变化,因此油价持稳,但是美元走强、股市疲弱和全球燃料需求因疫情反弹乏力最终让空头短时间得势。上周五,尽管非农数据略好于预期,就业水平可能仍会比疫情爆发前水准减少约1150万,同时这一数据存在高估的风险,且随着疫情蔓延可能导致数据进一步走差,因此油价维持下跌的走势。同时因市场风险情绪回落,美股下跌和美元近期反弹也对油价构成部分压力。受此影响,上周五布伦特原油futures周线下跌5.3%,美国原油期货周线下跌7.4%。沙特阿美还将下调向欧洲西北部和地中海地区出口的轻质原油的价格;同时沙特阿美自4月以来首次下调对美国买家的价格,此前沙特对美国的石油出口在8月降至数十年来的最低水平。
9month7日市场关注:
①周一欧洲时段,投资者可以留意一些德国7月工业产出数据和欧元区9monthSentix投资者信心指数,相对而言,市场预期并不乐观,如果数据表现不佳,可能会对欧元产生一些压制。
②预计周一市场整体交投将受限,因为恰逢美国劳工节假期,美国多数交易员休假,而且CME旗下贵金属、美国原油与foreign exchange合约交易提前于北京时间9month8Early morning of01:00收市;ICE旗下布伦特原油合约在北京时间9month8Early morning of01:30提前休市。
③因为劳工节假期,原定于北京时间每周三凌晨4:30PublishedAPI原油库存系列数据延迟一个交易日,至北京时间周四凌晨4:30公布;原定于北京时间每周三晚间22:30PublishedEIA系列数据也将延迟一个交易日,至北京时间周五00:00公布;投资者需要提前做好时间安排。
④投资者仍需关注全球新冠疫情、新冠疫苗、美国大选和国际贸易相关消息
Analysis of the price trend of spot gold:
从日线来看:区间震荡于1900关口上方;布林带三轨趋平,金价承压中轨下方。MACD死叉、但绿柱动能有限,KDJ初步死叉、指数位于40附近。高常运从技术面看,黄金料震荡为主。下方初步支撑先留意上周五低点1916.48Strong support and key focus1900关口,这是重要心理关口,也是近期区间震荡下轨,有强劲的支撑性。上行方面,先上看布林带中轨1964.64;强阻力看向上周高点1992.48。常运从4小时来看:震荡走低;四小时级别来看,布林带三轨略微下倾,金价徘徊布林带中轨与下轨之间。MACDThe adhesive and green column have weak kinetic energy,KDJThe golden cross and index are located at50附近。上行方面,先留意布林带中轨1950.17Looking at the Bollinger Bands on the track at further resistance levels1989.90。下方初步支撑先留意布林带下轨1910.45If it falls below, it may even be low before testing1902.89。综合来看,今日短线操作思路上高常运个人建议以回调低多为主,上方短期重点关注1950-1955Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1915-1910Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and the entry points are for reference only. If there is a break, you can also consult Gaochangyun to learn about the latest market situation. For specific order strategies, the entry points are based on Gaochangyun's WeChat account:gcy8527Based on actual offer guidance!
Analysis of International Crude Oil Price Trends:
原油日线收盘大阴线,高价没有破前高,低价破前低,出现了落尾走势,布林带开口向下发散,中轨出现拐头向下发散中,油价运行在中下轨,大周期均线多头趋势没有改变,运行在油价下方形成支撑,进一步下行就需要考验37.5dollar/桶位置,然后是35.2水平位置回踩位。从四小时来看,原油在8month26日上涨触及43.747美元位置后,出现一波震荡平台走势,在9month2日下破平台震荡后向下运行了连续两次下跌放量走势,油价进一步触及38.6水平,就当前走势来看油价下跌趋势比较明显,如果趋势出现逆转首要条件就是反弹力度出现放量,然后下跌幅度出现缩量,在此之前我们考虑趋势不会改变。高常运从技术面来看,随着美原油跌破40美元关口,短时间关注54.66/6.5of38.2%Located separately36.23USD, also known as USD3月跳空缺口所在的高位附近。常运建议:US crude oil41.29美元不破做空,布伦特原油44.20美元不破做空。综合来看,今日原油短线操作短线思路上高常运老师建议以反弹做空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注40.2-40.4Frontline resistance, short-term focus below39.0-38.0一线支撑。以上建议仅供参考,具体操作以实时行情盘面走势为主,投资有风险,盈亏请自行把控,详情请关注或咨询我进行解套、技术讲解、原油黄金分析指导官微:gcy8527。
What are the precautions for novice spot gold and crude oil investment?
1、 Avoid 'guessing the top and bottom'. There are many factors that affect the price of gold. In the current global inflation situation, the hedging function of gold has been strengthened, leading to an increase in gold demand and an increase in gold prices. Due to the fact that the lowest point can be encountered but not sought, it is recommended to buy when the gold price is relatively stable or low. In addition, when buying and selling gold, one should not focus solely on short-term gold prices, while ignoring the trend of whether gold prices are in a "big bear" or "big bull". However, from historical experience, there is a seasonal demand for gold. Due to the Indian wedding festival at the end of the third quarter each year, there is a strong demand for spot gold in the market. Therefore, gold prices usually rise at the end of the third and fourth quarters of each year.
2、 Avoid 'fast in and fast out'. As an unprofessional ordinary investor, wanting to speculate and profit through fast forward and fast out methods may end in disappointment. Inexperienced investors, after buying or selling a certain product at the beginning of the trading, immediately think of closing the market to collect money as soon as they see a profit. Making profits and closing positions may seem easy, but capturing the timing of profits is a discipline. Experienced investors will determine the time to close their positions based on their own judgment of price trends. If he believes that the market situation will further develop in a favorable direction for him, he will be patient, knowing that it is beneficial but not making a profit, and let the price develop in a more favorable direction as much as possible, thus continuing the profit.
3、 Avoid "too many configurations". Gold is an investment tool for the medium to long term, and investors should have the psychological preparation to invest and collect in the long term. They should not look too much at short-term trends and should not have a mentality of taking chances. During the investment process, when the price of gold has risen significantly, investors must be cautious about whether to make large purchases. Although gold has the characteristic of long-term risk resistance, its investment return rate is relatively low, and the proportion of gold investment in personal investment portfolios should not be too high.
This article is written by Gao Changyun (official WeChat account:gcy8527---Official account: Gaochangyun) analysis.Exclusive original by Shi, I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online posts, it is for reference only and I bear the risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting
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