王铭鑫：黄金下周预测90大关恐快不保？下周两大央行决议数据来袭

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gold基本面分析：本周黄金价格遭遇近80美元的巨震——周初一度逼近1990美元的涨势随着美元的反弹戛然而止，随之持续下挫，最低跌破了1920美元关口。除了美元的反弹，经济数据向好以及美国疾控中心通知地方政府做好11月份尽快获得针对卫生工作者和高危人群疫苗的消息都提振了市场的风险情绪，令黄金的避险需求低迷。



因此，金价的涨势未能持续，在欧元回落之际，美元展开反弹创一周新高，靓丽的经济数据也给美元提供支撑，同时对经济复苏的预期也有所升温，打压黄金的避险需求，金价随后震荡走弱，非农数据公布后，现货黄金最低曾触及1916.48dollar/盎司；最终金价收报1933.99dollar/盎司，周线下跌1.57%。



对于金价的后市，王铭鑫分析目前，我们看到黄金价格大幅波动，这并不令人意外，因为这是一个拥挤的市场，但我们正在进入传统上金融市场的动荡时期，在高度动荡时期，黄金表现良好。我现在可能不会买进黄金，但肯定不会卖出。此外，投资者们也在大举离开股市。周线收官就业报告总体上比预期要强，失业率出乎意料地下降至8.4%，这鼓励交易员买入美元并出售黄金。



王铭鑫分析认为，该数据并未改变美联储向经济注入更多刺激措施，以及容忍通胀偏高等方面的立场，这将为金价提供长期支撑。



===If you are always uncertain about the ups and downs of the market, then you are welcome to find Wang Mingxin, and I will present my personal practical rules that I have studied for many years for exchange, learning, and reference. As a seasoned analyst,  Wang Mingxin has his own set of analysis rules for bulk spot products, perfectly grasping the ups and downs. Investment relies on wisdom, while financial management relies on professionalism. Guidance hotlinekdj0866



黄金技术面分析：刚刚过去的一周，现货黄金整体呈现冲高回落的走势，金价一度逼近2000关口，但随着美国制造业PMI、非农就业等数据表现乐观，美元指数展开反弹，金价则开始震荡走弱，最低触及1916.48dollar/Ounces, closing1933.99dollar/盎司，周线跌幅约1.57%。尽管美股大跌、新冠疫情、全球货币宽松仍给金价提供支撑，但一些迹象显示，金价在中线已经面临一定的见顶风险。



技术面来看，金价小幅跌破3月以来指引金价走高的趋势线支撑，警告重大顶部已经形成。日线收盘确认跌破1900dollar/盎司关口，则可能为测试聚集在1800dollar/盎司附近的支撑奠定基础。如果金价重返至趋势线支撑的上方，则初步阻力位在2015.65。



下方初步支撑先留意前一交易日触及的本周低点1922.11Strong support and key focus1900关口，这是重要心理关口，也与上周低点相近。进一步支撑位下看布林带下轨1883.00；甚至可能回踩8month12Daily low point1863.16。



上行方面，先上看布林带中轨1966.26；强阻力位上看本周高点1992.48。若继续冲高，以及留意8month18Daily high point2015.59, as well as the Bollinger Belt on the track2049.54. Maybe even test the record high again2075.47。



综合分析来看：短期内，黄金可能仍在宽幅区间内，支撑位在1910美元左右，阻力位在1985About USD.



Disclaimer: The market is constantly changing, and the above views of Wang Mingxin are for reference only. Reasonably control the position, do not operate with heavy or full positions, and when placing orders, please bring stop loss. The specific guidance is mainly based on Wang Mingxin's actual trading.



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投资注意事项有哪些？



1、在黄金crude oil投资中，要充分认识风险和效益、赢钱与输钱的概率及防范的几个大问题。如果对风险防范没有一个确切的认识，随意进行买卖，那么输钱是必然的，一般只要严格设置单子止损和单子止盈，轻仓做单做单下，就能很好的控制风险。



2Knowing oneself and the enemy, one will never be defeated in a hundred battles. But in the gold market, self-awareness is paramount, and investors need to understand their own personalities, as those who are prone to impulsiveness or emotional tendencies are not suitable for this investment. Most successful investors are able to control their emotions and have strict discipline, effectively restraining themselves. So, only those who know themselves can ultimately win in the gold market.



3In a sense, sometimes misreading the market trend or suddenly reversing the situation after placing an order can lead to the order being trapped, which is a normal phenomenon that even experts cannot avoid. However, the stupidest behavior in decision-making and post event handling stems from the mentality of small business owners. Successful investors will not blindly follow the opinions of others. When everyone is in the same investment position, especially small investors who are also following suit, successful investors will feel dangerous and change their course.



4The market is real, don't be sentimental, overly yearn for the future and reminisce about the past. A senior trader said: A person full of fantasy, rich emotions, and very exposed is a beautiful and happy person, but he is not suitable for being an investor. A successful investor can separate his emotions, fantasies, and trading.


This article is written by Wang Mingxin (Guidance Hotline;kdj0866）Original submission, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and have in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the latency of online push, the above content is personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, the suggestion is for reference only. Any operation based on this is at your own risk!