王铭鑫：黄金现货多空实时策略指导，黄金原油解套建议及独家布局

The market is a big stage, not all market trends can be stated. People need some kind of belief to motivate and restrain them. People can be calm and stable after peace, and past fluctuations can only be beautiful with a smile after no regrets;The success or failure of a game depends on the smile after the harvest, making it more colorful;The ups and downs of funds, smiling after doubling, are only exciting! Don't fantasize that every transaction is round and perfect, profit and loss need to be balanced, and gains and losses also need to be felt. Investing in the market is like traveling, always in a hurry, with so much confusion and confusion. Only by calming down can one dispel the clouds and mist that envelop one's eyes;Savor a cup of green tea quietly, only then will you realize that there are many opportunities in front of you


　goldMarket trend analysis;


　昨日黄金在短暂的下挫后反弹至1965Above the US dollar. The shift in inflation targets announced by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell last week continues to support gold prices. Meanwhile, the rise of risk sentiment has suppressed further gains in gold. The global stock market fluctuated little during the day, but from8Overall, the global stock market hit a record high in the month1986The largest since the beginning of the year8Monthly increase. The Federal Reserve is still leading the market, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell announced a major policy shift in his widely anticipated speech at the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting last week, implementing the "average inflation target" and allowing inflation to temporarily rise slightly above2%The target value of. The Federal Reserve has stated that prioritizing employment targets over inflation means that the current ultra loose monetary policy may extend for a longer period of time.


　这对于具有对冲通胀属性的黄金而言无疑利多。同时，超宽松货币政策压低美元和美债收益率，从而提升以美元计价和无固定收益的黄金需求。“这指向未来几个季度对美元的看跌，”荷兰国际集团策略师ChrisTurnerHe pointed out that the so-called real yield "will remain low and may continue to decline after the Federal Reserve creates higher domestic price pressure." Since Powell announced new policies last week, gold prices have continued to rise, but yesterday they briefly1976-77The US dollar supply area has been hindered and retreated, with the lowest point falling to1954.16dollar/Ounces, then rebounded to1970Above the US dollar. This week, investors will continue to monitor the dynamics of the Federal Reserve. Several Federal Reserve officials will deliver speeches this week, bringing insights to the market on9Prospects for the monthly monetary policy meeting and relevant information on the Federal Reserve's implementation of new policy views.


　国际黄金行情分析：黄金从日线来看：高位承压，布林带收口，金价目前处于中轨1968Near.MACDDead forks and green pillars maintain strong kinetic energy,KDJThe golden cross and index are located at30Nearby. From a technical perspective, the bullish and bearish trend of gold is relatively sticky. Gold has been maintained at the daily level1900Upper oscillation7Within trading days, a sufficiently strong bottom has been built, and currently gold is still under pressure1988区域的压力，多次反弹均未能突破。黄金四小时来看：布林带相对趋平，金价收盘于上轨附近。MACDThe golden fork rises and the red kinetic energy is strong,KDJGold fork, index higher than50. From a technical perspective, gold bulls are relatively strong. Last Friday, the market fluctuated and went up unilaterally. Let's briefly focus on the support position below1955附近。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上 王铭鑫个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1995-2000Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1965-1960一线支撑。行情千变万化、点位仅供参考，投资有风险、入市需谨慎，详情关注王铭鑫本人官||Wei:kdj0866；


　crude oilMarket trend analysis;


　8月初因OPEC+即将增产20010000 barrels/日，且有迹象显示OPEC+的减产合规度下降，因此美原油一度跌破40美元关口。不过沙特和俄罗斯表示仍将监测油市的变化，同时强调将会敦促实施补偿性减产，因此抵消了市场的担忧情绪。与此同时美原油库存持续下降，也凸显需求改善，这从长期看也将推动油价继续走高。此外美元在8月料月线四连阴，考虑到美联储调整了通胀目标，预计美元未来还有进一步走低的空间，由于国际油价以美元计价，这也部分支撑油价。同时美原油钻井数持续下滑，且钻井许可不断下降，近几个月美国的原油产量维持在110010000 barrels/日附近，短时间难以出现快速回升的迹象，这也支撑油价。但是尽管有四大利多支撑油价，但是油市仍面临不少的利空因素限制了油价的涨幅。美原油8Monthly increase5.91%Report collection42.82dollar/Barrel; Brent crude oil8月份收涨4.26%Report collection45.57dollar/Bucket.


　一方面OPECandIEA都下调了2020年全球的需求预期，凸显需求前景仍旧疲软。同时疫情的反弹尤其是欧洲和部分亚洲国家疫情的反弹，也打击了需求前景。此外，由于夏季出游高峰结束以及出行方式的改变，对于成品油需求持续下降，导致炼厂利润率暴跌，这可能导致炼厂关闭以节约成本，并导致40010000 barrels/日炼厂产能消失，也会对原油需求造成损害。同时美国的刺激方案迟迟未达成一致，削弱了美国的经济复苏前景，这也会对原油需求造成损害。9月市场需要继续关注原油库存的变化，9month17OfOPEC+会议、美国刺激方案以及疫情的进展，在出现重大消息推动美原油作出选择前，料维持高位震荡。


　原油技术面来分析，日线上看，隔日原油继续持于中上轨之间运行，盘中触及上轨受阻后展开探高回落，并受中轨支撑回升，今日行情受阻于MA5Daily moving average*，持于43.0附近徘徊，日内区间概率较大，或将受中轨附近支撑，探底回升；4小时上看，隔日原油震荡上行，短线刺破上轨后展开震荡下行回落，并在刺破下轨后展开回升，持于中下轨之间运行，当前布林带处于开口期，MAThe moving average moves out of the double dead cross,KDJ随机指标三线向下，到达超卖，MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量，快慢线死叉向下，综合来看，原油目前受于4小时日线均线中轨*，*性较强，虽说技术面到达超卖，短期或有反弹，但预计反弹力度不会太大，今日操作上王铭鑫建议先空后多，上方关注44.0-44.5One line of resistance, pay attention below42.0-41.5一线支撑。盘间行情实时变化具体操作黄金、原油、走势分析、操作建议、以【王铭鑫官微 kdj0866】Subject to firm offer

　
　————王铭鑫寄语
　　
　　止损问题你铭记于心，却总是一直亏损？；
　　
　　众所周知，投资是兼具收益与风险的，因此，在交易的过程中就会存在产生亏损的可能性。为了更好地控制风险，降低损失，投资者就要学会采取止损措施。那么，黄金白银投资如何正确止损呢?
　　
　　1、以平常心看待止损。止损是贵金属投资者进行风险管理的主要措施之一，从操作上来讲，虽然投资者在思路和原则上没有任何错误，但是任何事情的执行结果是存在概率性的，难以保证百分百正确。其次，止损原则的确立也需要不断完善，根据不同的情况采取相应的措施。因此，止损的存在在操作过程中具有重大意义，不管结果怎样，投资者都应该严格执行。
　　
　　2、执行止损意识。一般情况下，投资者在进场之前就要设定止损点，并在实际情况与止损原则相符时立即执行，切忌抱着侥幸心理，以各种借口拖延止损，这样只会造成亏损继续扩大。因此，投资者执行止损时应坚持少思考、多行动，以免思考过多做出错误判断。要知道，止损信号的发出不是投资者自己想出来的，是客观事实的表现，那么，坚定执行就对了。
　　
　　3、止损思维需完善。作为合格的投资者，应该更透彻看待止损，因为止损从某种意义上来说，可以帮助大家避免更大的损失，但其本身并不能产生盈利。对于投资者而言，止损成功与否已是过去式，重要的是下一步操作，投资者必须及时调整好心态，并在止损后制定出更加完善、科学的投资操作计划，从而在下一步中提高准确率，降低止损再度发生的概率。
　　
　　老生常谈的问题说了一遍又一遍，听的你们耳朵起茧，看得你们头脑发昏，觉得这个市场很难，觉得操作很难，扪心自问一下，虽然你们知道止损的重要意义，但是你们去实施了吗？哪一次不是在深套或者严重亏损之后才后悔，是不是在每次在止损之后，改变操作策略就可以挽回损失？归根到底还是心态不够好，对于硬性操作不过关，明想着是扛过这一波一切都会好起来，亏损也会赚回来，结果事实是遇到单边行情，扛着扛着就爆了，最后遗憾离场，一切也变的越来越遭，家人不理解，朋友疏远，这是你想要的结果吗，切记，不要让自己留有遗憾的离开这个市场！
　　
　　本文由黄金分析师王铭鑫独家策划，感谢广大读者对笔者文章的喜爱和支持，希望大家能从我的文章中有所收获和感悟！因文章撰写和上传具有延时性，仅供参考！王铭鑫薇/Letter（ kdj0866）For gold/Investors who feel that investing in crude oil is not going smoothly or want to learn how to read and analyze the market can contact me