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Zhang Jucheng;9.1黄金今日走势策略分析建议,原油趋势解析操作策略。

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Spotgold、伦敦金九月初行情分析:  
  现货黄金触及一周半新高,现货黄金现报1967.16dollar/Ounces, increase0.12%;美元指数弱势震荡,黄金一度冲高至一周半高点,但随后回吐部分涨幅,整体而言受到避险需求的支撑,日本首相辞职后,在自民党主席选举之前将带来额外的市场不确定性,日内中国8Monthly official manufacturingPMI意外不及预期,但全球股市依旧高涨,这对黄金不利,美元在上周五大幅走低,黄金价格仍可感受到其带来的连锁效应。由于美元的趋势看起来偏向下行,这种趋势的持续可能会再次推动金价的上行势头。  
  国际黄金行情分析:黄金从周线级别来看,金价处于高位的震荡横向缩减整理模式中。不过整体上,走势仍稳健运行于各均线上方,5周均线的初步最也暂时站上。指标上,MACD红色动能柱虽持续缩减,但快慢线高位仍处于强势,KDJ也高位死叉力度减弱并有向上走趋势。主图上,上周走出探底回升的阳锤线,上行趋势仍然保持在,暗示仍有反弹趋势。下方初步支撑关注1950USD, and1935USD support. Focus on10周均线支撑位置的1914美元。阻力关注1992美元,突破则看好再度走高至上轨线2018美元附近。  
  黄金从日线级别来看,金价整体的走势则较为走出明显的区间震荡行情。今日则继续运行在区间压力处的中轨线附近位置偏上,虽暂时受压。但指标上,MACD绿色动能柱在持续缩减,快慢线开始转弱,KDJ则由弱转强并金叉开始向上,暗示看好持稳上涨突破。综合来看,黄金今日午夜短线操作思路上张钜诚个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1980-1985Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1960-1955Frontline support.   
  futurescrude oil、美原油九月初行情分析:  
  尽管美原油料四个月连阳,但是近两个月美原油的反弹走势已经大幅放缓,目前仍总体交投于此前的跳空缺口附近。一方面原油需求回升、美原油钻井数仍处于历史低位附近以及美元持续走软对油价构成了支撑,但是即便美元走弱帮助支撑了油价,但油市可能面临艰困前景。。但是另一方面,随着市场消化了飓风的影响,同时OPEC+开始部分恢复原油产量以及疫情的持续蔓延仍持续打压需求前景。有数据显示,中东的原油厂商可能会在10月继续下调官方原油售价。总体而言,美原油料维持在当前水平附近震荡,直到市场出现明显需求回升的信号。  
  回顾亚盘时段,国际油价高位震荡,美油现报43.07dollar/Barrel, increase0.23%; Brent crude oil current report46.02dollar/Barrel, increase0.46%;全球刺激举措支撑油价,但即使市场供应充裕之下,需求仍难以回到新冠疫情前水准。随着能源企业继续努力恢复其美国墨西哥湾海上平台及炼厂作业,油市基本上对上周五飓风的影响不以为意。尽管在新冠疫情下燃料需求难以回升,而且供应仍然过剩,但美元走弱帮助支撑了油价。不过分析师认为,油市可能面临艰困前景。RBC Capital认为美元较当前水准贬值对原油采购的影响微乎其微,尽管它对原油定价稍微有利,当前环境下,需求与油价弹性之间的关系已经钝化,因为油价已经非常便宜且可得,而且目前缺乏买家存在。    原油从日线来看窄幅震荡;布林带始终趋平,原油徘徊5个月高点附近,但始终难以突破上轨;目前MACD粘合、动能及其微弱,KDJ金叉、指数超过70。技术面看,原油整体动能微弱,料等待方向性突破,目前向上突破可能性较大。上行方面,先留意前一交易日高点43.57,这与布林带上轨近乎重合,且原油近期始终未能有效突破;强阻力在3month4Daily high point48.66Nearby. In addition, simple attention3month6Daily high point46.38。下行支撑先留意布林带中轨41.99Further support and take a look at the lower track of the Bollinger belt40.26,强支撑在6month15Daily low point34.36附近。该位自3月跳空以来被多次测试,参考性较强。此外,6month25Daily low point37.08也有一定支撑性。综合来看,原油今日操作短线上张钜诚建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注44.0-44.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below42.0-41.5Frontline support.

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  行情每天都在不断地变化,每一个单子团队老师都是非常谨慎的思考,保证的是每个单子都要获利出场,每一次做单都是经过深思的判断,一天两天是运气,那一周呢?两周呢?无论是圈内还是群发策略,亦或者各大财经网站,团队老师都是现价喊单,有证可查有据可依!每天两到三单的操作不求一夜暴富,只求落袋为安!利润十分,我独取九分,一分靠运气,八分靠实力!就是这么自信,你若诚意相随,我必全力以赴。(8.31群内给出三单,三单获利。)
  

Jucheng's message:
  
The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right. Risk is an objective, inevitable, and under certain conditions, it also has certain regularity, so we should pay more attention to risk control in operation.
    本文由张钜诚供稿,本人解读世界经济要闻,剖析全球投资大趋势,对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究,技术总监张钜诚在线解套,亏损回本,一对一实时指导微信:zjc8393Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.
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