Spot gold oil:8.31黄金原油日内走势分析及操作建议附短线关注点

　　各位朋友们，当你看到这篇文章时，我已经明白你目前遇到困境，那么首先笔者想表明一点，你们能够在千万分析师中看到我的文章这是一种缘分，既然是一种缘分，那么我希望能够保持下去，找到我并且与我交流，那么你目前遇到的困境或许是笔者做分析师以来见到过到许许多多例子当中的其中一个而已，所以你可以把所遇到的问题都拿出来与我交流，既能够让自己能够在我这边多学习一点知识，也能够多明白一点道理，甚至能够在这个变化莫测的市场中持续存活并持续获利。当然你目前持续在亏损，那么你便要在心里在反问自己的问题出现在哪里，还是说我缺少一个和自己有默契的老师？那么我想只要你认真的看了笔者的这篇文章，那么你必定会有收获，对目前的困境抓住一根稻草。

This week(8month31day-9month6日），美联储将公布经济状况褐皮书，市场也迎来澳洲联储利率决议，澳洲联储主席洛威出席众议院经济常设委员会会议。本周也有多位美联储官员发表讲话。另外，上周五日本首相安倍晋三宣布辞职后，日本方面的消息本周也需要留意。金价上周五大涨，现货gold一度较日低回升逾50USD to1973.89dollar/盎司，美元指数大幅下滑，美联储宣布一项政策调整，允许通胀率比过去更高，暗示央行可能将低利率政策保持更长的时间。现货金油认为“美元大幅下跌支撑了黄金，美联储表示，它可以让通胀在一段时间内超过2%的目标，似乎他们将保持极其宽松的货币政策，这应该有助于黄金。”另一方面，全球各国央行和政府纷纷向市场注入大规模刺激措施，以提振受到冠状病毒重创的各国经济，推动金价今年上涨逾28%。美油连续第四周上涨，因美国墨西哥湾沿岸的炼油厂在飓风过后开始复工；不过，油价涨幅不大，因为投资者的关注点转向疫情时期脆弱的石油需求反弹。

　　黄金技术面来看，黄金近期的行情宽幅区间的来回震荡，从日线来看阴阳的交错运行，基本是没有趋势可言，但是上周五的行情日内的方向相对还是延续性较强，黄金昨日收盘于1964附近，低于20Daily moving average1969中轨下方，指示短期偏看跌；高于50Daily moving average1885，指示中期偏看涨；日图指标方面，MACD指示偏看涨，RSI指标位于多头区域。本周周线回踩在MA10日线附近后开始再次的反弹，周一延续可能性较高，短线4小时走势来看，三角形调整结构初步破坏。横盘走势转多头，同时下方1940转换为多头强劲支撑带，小时图上有冲高回踩的趋势，但是没有大跌的表现，指标线均处于多头。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上现货金油个人建议以回调低多为主，上方短期重点关注1980-1985Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1940-1935一线支撑。行情千变万化，点位仅供参考，如若出现破位亦可咨询现货金油了解最新行情，具体做单策略进场点位以现货金油微信：HLM3578Based on actual offer guidance!

　　=====internationalcrude oilMarket trend analysis=====

　　美油连续第四周上涨，因美国墨西哥湾沿岸的炼油厂在飓风过后开始复工；不过，油价涨幅不大，因为投资者的关注点转向疫情时期脆弱的石油需求反弹。WTI在周五基本持平，全周上涨1.5%。虽然飓风劳拉是有史以来袭击路易斯安那州的最强飓风之一，但德克萨斯州东南部避开了风暴中心，使得那里的能源基础设施得以开始重启。由于飓风劳拉导致德克萨斯州东南部和路易斯安那州的炼油厂关闭，汽油和柴油的综合炼油利润率周五上涨了12%。不过，鉴于其他地方充裕的闲置产能和较高的产品库存，美国墨西哥湾沿岸汽油裂解利润率因飓风导致的激增可能不会持续，飓风劳拉登陆后风力增强但并未对石油钻井平台造成重大损害，之后价格开始回吐了与风暴有关的溢价。除非海上钻井平台工作人员返回检查设备时发现损失，否则原油生产受到的影响可能只是短时间的。

　　原油技术面来看，原油日线来看窄幅震荡；布林带始终趋平，原油徘徊5个月高点附近，但始终难以突破上轨；目前MACD粘合、动能及其微弱，KDJ金叉、指数超过70。原油整体动能微弱，料等待方向性突破，目前向上突破可能性较大。上行方面，先留意前一交易日高点43.57，这与布林带上轨近乎重合，且原油近期始终未能有效突破；强阻力在3month4Daily high point48.66Nearby. In addition, simple attention3month6Daily high point46.38。下行支撑先留意布林带中轨41.99Further support and take a look at the lower track of the Bollinger belt40.26，强支撑在6month15Daily low point34.36附近。该位自3月跳空以来被多次测试，参考性较强。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上现货金油建议以回调低多为主，上方短期重点关注43.8-44Frontline resistance, short-term focus below41.8-42一线支撑。文章只能给出一个暂时的方向和想法，至于具体的进场点和解τ时机，请添加现货金油的官微：HLM3578Will be provided in real-time.

　　【投资这几点做好，成功是必然的】

　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.Crude oil operates in two modes: long and short. In fact, there are four operating methods: low, low, high, and high. In a unilateral trend, these four modes are all feasible. If you are in a volatile trend, remember not to be low or high. This is equivalent to chasing gains and selling losses. Remember, many people are chasing gains and selling losses.

　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.

　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.

　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.

　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.

　　现货金油寄语：

　　一般人(非专业)：赚了会马上跑，亏了不愿止损，死扛单；在仓里的记录表现：小赚小亏，偶尔大亏，从未大赚---这样的记录，结果不用再期待了，已定型死路一条。客观交易应该：小赚小亏，偶尔大赚，绝无大亏---这里面其中的大赚，就是在鱼身交易的时候，恰当时机放大手数放大建立的，这就是交易真正的核心魅力！

　　本文由现货金油分析团队独家撰写，在线指导交流微：HLM3578Online guidance time: early7:00- Early morning2:00