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Luck is the culprit for increasing risk, while hesitation is the culprit for missing opportunities. If the long line is gold and the short line is silver, then the band operation is diamond. Patience is the key to victory, confidence is the guarantee of success. Those who are willing to fight will not be good at it, and those who are good at it will not be good at it. With enough patience and courage to seize a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity, the harvest will also be unprecedented. Reasonably view market fluctuations, calmly face account fluctuations, survive in the market, do not attempt to profit at all times, just to not miss opportunities and dividends brought by trends.
goldMessage surface parsing:
This week(8month31day-9month6日),美联储将公布经济状况褐皮书,市场也迎来澳洲联储利率决议,澳洲联储主席洛威出席众议院经济常设委员会会议。本周也有多位美联储官员发表讲话。另外,上周五日本首相安倍晋三宣布辞职后,日本方面的消息本周也需要留意。金价上周五大涨,现货黄金一度较日低回升逾50USD to1973.89dollar/盎司,美元指数大幅下滑,美联储宣布一项政策调整,允许通胀率比过去更高,暗示央行可能将低利率政策保持更长的时间。
石万金认为“美元大幅下跌支撑了黄金,美联储表示,它可以让通胀在一段时间内超过2%的目标,似乎他们将保持极其宽松的货币政策,这应该有助于黄金。”另一方面,全球各国央行和政府纷纷向市场注入大规模刺激措施,以提振受到冠状病毒重创的各国经济,推动金价今年上涨逾28%。美油连续第四周上涨,因美国墨西哥湾沿岸的炼油厂在飓风过后开始复工;不过,油价涨幅不大,因为投资者的关注点转向疫情时期脆弱的石油需求反弹。
Analysis of International Gold Market:
现货黄金上周五出现单边上行,直接收复周四大部分跌幅,并且突破此前的盘中区间压力,当前依然是多头上涨走势,黄金此前维持1910-1955区域内运行,在周四受到鲍威尔讲话的影响,强势突破,但是遇阻日线布林中轨压力1980一线后快速下跌,最终在1910位置获得支撑后震荡,周五的走势不同于昨日或者此前,如果此前的突破是假突破,那么周五则是真正的突破!周一重点关注黄金在三角趋区间破位后的延续性,但是值得注意周五的上涨,很大程度来自于市场所谓的避险情绪,后市随着情绪的退散黄金能否继续保持上涨,也是一个值得留意的方向。
黄金近期的行情宽幅区间的来回震荡,从日线来看阴阳的交错运行,基本是没有趋势可言,但是上周五的行情日内的方向相对还是延续性较强,黄金昨日收盘于1964附近,低于20Daily moving average1969中轨下方,指示短期偏看跌;高于50Daily moving average1885,指示中期偏看涨;日图指标方面,MACD指示偏看涨,RSI指标位于多头区域。本周周线回踩在MA10日线附近后开始再次的反弹,周一延续可能性较高,短线4小时走势来看,三角形调整结构初步破坏。横盘走势转多头,同时下方1940转换为多头强劲支撑带,小时图上有冲高回踩的趋势,但是没有大跌的表现,指标线均处于多头。综合来看,黄金今日短线操作思路上石万金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1990-1995Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1960-1955Frontline support.
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
1The rebound above the gold does not break1988-1990Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1978-1976frontline;
2Under the gold, it cannot be broken by stepping back1960-1962Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1978-1980frontline;
In investment trading, controlling your position is a prerequisite for stable profits. By taking advantage of the trend, you can appropriately increase your position, while going against the trend, you can reduce your position. How to make you earn more by looking at the right market trend, and how to minimize losses when looking wrong, are the strategies we need to deal with. Investment is about using small losses to strive for large profits, which is the best way to live well in this market, because even when the trend is favorable, Your entry point may not be very good. As long as the overall trend does not change, you can still make a profit by placing an order, just for a short period of time. However, when making a counter trend order, once the situation changes, set a stop loss in a timely manner and do not have a mentality of luck. There are still many opportunities to recover losses in a short position.
Wen/Shi Wanjin (Guidance letter:swj178 )
(Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal views and does not constitute specific operational suggestions. Based on this, we will be responsible for our own profits and losses, investment risks, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.) |
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