8.25Analysis of the Trend of Gold and Crude Oil

InternationalgoldMarket trend analysis:



　　



Tuesday(8month25day)亚市盘中，中美贸易局势刚刚传来一则重磅消息，双方证实两国贸易代表已于昨日通话评估第一阶段贸易协议，值此之际，现货黄金继续徘徊在1930Around the US dollar.



　　



　　消息面来看，本周最重磅的事件当属美联储主席鲍威尔讲话。北京时间8month27day21:10，美联储主席鲍威尔将在本次视频会议上就货币政策框架的评估发表讲话。这是鲍威尔自7月下旬美联储政策会议以来首次公开露面。文鸿分析认为，若鲍威尔并未传达出更多的宽松倾向而是泛泛而谈，将对美元产生巨大的利好作用，刺激美元指数剧烈飙升并打压金价大幅下挫。若鲍威尔释放出更多宽松信号，则不排除市场对美元的新一轮抛售，同时有望刺激金价再度创下历史新高。



　　



　　国际黄金行情分析：周一黄金欧盘走了波诱高行情最高升至1961.5附近，美盘开盘受美指影响金价承压走低，本周市场将关注杰克逊霍尔年会，此次远程举办的会议中，美联储主席鲍威尔将发表讲话。这一次市场要关注的是鲍威尔是否对经济有所担忧，以及他对未来三个月表现的预期。技术面来看，KDJ重新结成死叉，指数也低于50Below,MACD死叉向下延续，绿色能量柱放量，布林带收口，均线再次成空头排列，5Daily moving average1947形成对黄金的反压，指示黄金涨势频繁受阻，接下来有望继续回落，下方重要支撑在1900关口附近，整体来看黄金看弱势回调。



　　



Gold4小时来看，黄金周一早盘小幅区间震荡，欧盘打破僵局反弹到1960附近后开始震荡，美盘大幅回落，跌幅达到33美金的波动，黄金改变了由涨转跌的趋势。从技术角度来看：KDJ高位初步结成死叉，指数在50Nearby,MACD双线粘合，绿色能量柱略显，布林带收口向下，均线成空头排列，5Daily moving average and10Daily moving average1938目前给黄金施压，指示黄金跌势加剧，接下来有望震荡下跌。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上吕文鸿个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1942-1950Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1920-1915Frontline support. The operation suggestions in the article are for reference only. Specific suggestions are given at the current price of the actual offer. Friends who are not ideal in operation or cannot grasp the market direction can add guidancevYour words:wh35636Obtain guidance slots.



　　



Latest operating suggestions for gold:



　　



　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1943-1945Short on the front line, stop loss5US dollars, look at the target1930-1928frontline;



　　



　　2Under the gold, it cannot be broken by stepping back1915-1917Long on the front line, stop loss5US dollars, look at the target1925-1927frontline;



　　



Internationalcrude oilMarket trend analysis:



　　



　　原油消息面解析：受地缘危机等因素影响，美布两油走势低迷。周三欧佩克+JMMCMeetings andEIA库存报告传来利好，短线拉升后又回落。周五晚堪称“大宗商品恐怖之夜”WTI原油一度下破42美元关口，跌幅最高达3%，目前价格运行42-43区间，从走势结构来看高低点在向下走低，暗示趋势方面有细微变化，短期价格在43遇到阻力，欧洲到亚洲一些主要经济体经济复苏步履蹒跚的迹象有可能令需求反弹推迟，



　　



　　技术分析来看：原油整体来看维持在震荡向上的格局，只要价格整体维持在40The idea of maintaining a long position above remains unchanged. Currently, there are no suitable positions to participate in long positions, and we can only wait for the price to adjust before engaging in long positions. Looking at the daily trend, Brin is running slightly upwards with a contraction,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average runs to the right with stickiness, and the long period moving average runs with multiple heads arranged below to form support,KThe line intersects between the upper tracks in Bolin,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located above the zero axis and run smoothly,KDJThe third line shows a gentle upward trend with a narrow golden fork, and the overall performance of the daily chart market is fluctuating and leaning towards a bullish trend. Currently40.5一线成为今日重要支撑区域；



　　



　　4From an hourly perspective, yesterday crude oil began to rise and fall, piercing the upper track in the short term and then falling below the middle track. The current market is in a rebound, but it is hindered by the middle track, and the Bollinger Belt is currently in an opening period,MAThe moving average is about to break out of its double dead cross,KDJRandom indicator three line forward, reaching oversold,MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量，快慢线死叉向下，经过大幅下跌后短线反弹。综合来看，今日原油短线操作短线思路上吕文鸿个人建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注43.0-43.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below41.3-41.0一线支撑。关于解套手上有单子被套的可与我沟通，由于吕文鸿不知道你们套单的点位和仓位的具体情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，请添/加吕文鸿官\/Micro:wh35636Unlock your order.



　　



Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:



　　



　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break43.3-43.5Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target42.6-42.4frontline;



　　



　　2Unable to break under the crude oil41.5-41.7Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target42.8-43.0frontline;



　　



　　多空的快速转换，总是让人措手不及，方向的转换往往只在那一瞬之间，多少人冒着风险成为了市场的炮灰。每一笔交易都是心中多空抗衡后的结果，入场前对于市场而言，多空似乎都有理有据，只是每个人看待问题的角度不同而已，而决定自己入场方向的理由需要首先说服自己，同时入场前首要考虑的应该是自己能够承受的风险而非利润，关键点位一旦失守需要果断离场斩断亏损的魄力！能接受亏损才能享受利润！这条路上心态很重要，失败并不可怕，可怕的是你不愿意总结，如果你始终是一成不变，那你才是真正的失败！不管你现在处于什么样的状态，吕文鸿都希望这些文字能给你带来一丝丝的帮助！如果你在投资路上遇到了困扰；找不到方向；长期处在亏损中，或许可以和我谈谈。能不能合作暂且不谈，能够解开你的心结，这才是最重要的



　　



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