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期市言论:国际黄金期货价格收跌,失守1940美元关口,收于每盎司1939.2dollar

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美东时间周一,国际黄金futures价格收跌,失守1940The US dollar barrier.截止收盘,纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场交投最活跃的12Monthly gold futures price24日比前一交易日下跌7.8US dollars, closing at per ounce1939.2USD, with a decline of0.4%。FXTMSenior Research AnalystLukman Otunuga表示,过去两周金价的下跌并不算严重,因为基本面整个看多趋势完好。金价是可能回升的,美元的疲软、美元利率的低迷、美国大选前的风险外加美国疫情的发展等,这都意味着中长期黄金会继续走高。1900dollar/盎司的支撑水平是相当强劲的,即使金价跌破该水平,也会有不少投资者选择逢低买入。
经历了此前9周连涨之后的两周连跌后,市场对本周金价的走势有所分歧。盛宝银行(Saxo Bank)大宗商品策略Ole Hansen表示,短期而言黄金市场受到美元表现主导。在美元疲软出现前所未见的疲软表现后,短期会有修正。美元看空头寸在极高的水平,这就可能出现轧空头。也就意味着短期黄金的多头头寸会受到挤压。另外,市场认为黄金市场的波动率会加剧,而其长期看涨的趋势并没有改变。
去年以来黄金市场的大涨使得黄金ETF持有量同样大幅增长。然而一些市场人士表示,这令人想到了19世纪美国加州淘金热。著名作家马克吐温曾经说过一句话,在淘金热中最容易快速致富的方式,是卖铲子。今年以来,黄金和白银ETF持有量总计增长了差不多500亿美元,全球黄金ETF总持有量目前已经超过了美国之外其它各国央行的黄金储备总量。这意味着整个ETF行业赚得了大量交易费。
Technical aspects of Meijin:
日线图上:布林带三轨朝上缩口运行,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉继续下行,KLine intersection between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA40Near the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方呈死叉缓和向下绿色动能表现充足,KDJ三线呈死叉继续向下发散运行,行情整体表现弱势形态;
4小时图上:布林带三轨朝下运行,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉继续下行,KLine intersection between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA5Below the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴下方呈金叉逐步向右走平绿色动能小幅放量,KDJ三线交死叉向下发散运行,金价短线有一定的下行势能;今日操作上建议以高空为主:上方关注1956and1980One line of resistance, pay attention below1900and1880Frontline support;
Daily trading strategy(12Contract):
1Above1956-1980Short selling nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each300Point;
2Below1900-1880Short term long trading nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each200Point;
文章内容纯属作者个人观点,不做下单建议,具体行情以盘中趋势为准,投资有风险,入市需谨慎。
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