消息面分析;金价周一走低,现货黄金收于1928.90dollar/盎司,较日高回落逾30美元,美元大幅反弹令金价承压,此外冠状病毒治疗希望和经济状况改善的迹象也削弱了黄金作为避风港的吸引力。现货金油认为表示,短期内,黄金的价格走势将取决于美元。我们看到美元空头头寸处于极端水平,目前这些头寸处于紧缩状态。这使得近期看涨的黄金头寸受到挤压。作为金价今年上涨的关键动力,黄金ETF持仓也有所放缓。SPDR Gold Shares资金流入量连续四个交易日持平,为两个月以来最长。周一在研报中指出,金价快速上涨直至8At the beginning of the month, consolidation can also begin fromETF投资者的观望态度中看出。如果没有ETF需求的推动,黄金价格可能很难进一步上涨。
技术面分析;黄金上周二次探高承压回落收低,伴随美指低位启稳反弹,黄金高位承压回落,完成二次的探高,周线收在低位。收成两连阴,本周继续看调整。但短线过程伴随迂回一些,并不是单边空头,而是震荡式的回调修正。可能还会伴随探高后再承压回落。日图经过二次摸高回落拉动10日均线拐头向下,目前开盘在30日线附近,此前受到一次支撑,本周开盘在此位附近,弱化了支撑的强度,预计今明两日会收在30日线下方延续回落。4小时目前还处于C浪调整当中,暂时还没有跌破1900低点进一步的延续深调整空间,而是进入局部震荡,下方还是受到大周期均线的支撑,此支撑在1918附近,预计还会在此支撑之上震荡一段时间,继续拉动指标拐头向下。而K线伴随下探后回升收在中性位置,回落的持续性不强,重点留意美元能否进一步强势的反弹,从而来打压金价回落。四小时级别来看,布林带三轨趋平,金价徘徊中轨与下轨之间。MACDThe energy of the dead fork and green column decreases slightly,KDJThe golden cross and index are located at50附近。从走势来看黄金多空焦灼短线仍偏窄幅震荡。所以综合分析操作上现货金油建议以震荡区间对待,高沽低渣操作即可!上方关注1945-1950One line of resistance, pay attention below1915-1910Frontline support.
技术面分析;原油需求逐步向好,或推动油价上行。一方面是沙特能源大臣表示全球石油需求将在年底恢复至新冠疫情前水平的97%;另外一方面,近期公布美国两项原油库存均录得下降,特别是汽油库存大幅降低332.2万桶,暗示原油市场需求前景向好,或给油价重大支撑。日线上看,布林带缩口略微向上运行,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average runs to the right with stickiness, and the long period moving average runs with multiple heads arranged below to form support,KThe line intersects between the upper tracks in Bolin,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located above the zero axis and run smoothly,KDJThe third line shows a gentle upward trend with a narrow golden fork, and the overall performance of the daily chart market is fluctuating and leaning towards a bullish trend. Currently40.5The frontline has become an important support area today,4From an hourly perspective, yesterday crude oil began to rise and fall, piercing the upper track in the short term and then falling below the middle track. The current market is in a rebound, but it is hindered by the middle track, and the Bollinger Belt is currently in an opening period,MAThe moving average is about to break out of its double dead cross,KDJRandom indicator three line forward, reaching oversold,MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量,快慢线死叉向下,经过大幅下跌后短线反弹。所以综合分析操作上现货金油个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方关注43.0-43.5One line of resistance, pay attention below41.5-41.0Frontline support.