Spot gold oil:8.24黄金早间行情走势分析操作建议及策略

　　此刻的你还在到处看文章找策略吗，不知现货金油老师每日及时给到你的现价单你关注了多少呢？每天的多空是否让你犹豫再犹豫，一单损完又害怕下一单。如果你还在迷茫犹豫的道路上，不妨可留意下现货金油的文章以及圈内策略，一天你可能看不出什么，久而久之你肯定能得到你所想要的。（有缘认识是一种缘分，加我也不会让你损失什么，先看实力再谈合作，你赢我陪你君临天下，你输我陪你东山再起！)

　　现金价维持震荡下行的走势，本周gold需要关注哪些消息？

　　在疫情引发的担忧、大规模的财政和货币政策以及负实际利率的推动下，投资者们再一次争相买入黄金，将其当做避险或对冲通胀的工具。截至今年8month15日，全球最大黄金ETF SPDR Gold Shares（GLD）管理的资产已经超过780USD100mn

　　在近期金价回调盘整之际，投资者对金价后市上涨动能是否充足这个问题也越来越担忧。现货金油老师认为现在可能不是做多黄金的好时机。为什么这么说？主要是基于以下两点考虑。

　　一方面，最近黄金的上涨使其实际价格处于历史高位。研究发现，黄金实际价格高企通常意味着，黄金变成了一种昂贵的通胀对冲工具，预期实际回报会很低。在实际金价高企的情况下，均值回归将对未来金价走势产生巨大的负面影响。假设期限为10年，那么对于黄金投资者来说，影响将是每年回报降低6%。

　　历史上黄金暴涨的两个时期——1980year1Month and2011year8月中，投资者对通胀风险的担忧程度都非常高。这容易给人造成一种错觉，仿佛通胀预期上升跟金价上涨是一一对应的关系，但事实却并非如此。

In the1980year1Month and2011year8月黄金实际价格达到峰值的五年后，黄金价格分别下跌了55%and28%，其撇除通胀影响的实际价格分别下跌了67%and33%。当时通胀还在回升，但金价却没有同步走高。这也意味着，盲目因为通胀预期做多黄金可能并不是很理智。

　　另一方面，大量被动投资者涌入黄金ETF可能会引起一段时期的“非理性繁荣”。1996年，当时的美联储主席格林斯潘宣布市场已处于非理性繁荣。三年多后，黄金估值高出40%。黄金实际价格的上涨与黄金ETF买家需求的增加高度相关。如果太多资金在追逐过少的黄金，那么，大规模被动投资者持有的黄金越多，黄金的实际价格就可能上涨得越高。当然，非大规模被动投资者出售持有的黄金可能会降低黄金的实际价格。

　　所以现货金油认为目前金价处在相对高位，应该等金价一轮充分的调整之后，在考虑是否进场做多。接下来，投资者的焦点应该转到下周四和周五8month27Solstice28日的全球央行年会。

　　刚入市黄金的朋友可能会因为工作、生活等问题无法获取国际市场第一新闻或消息，这对咱们做黄金来讲是很大的困扰，所以现货金油欢迎做投资的朋友找到我一起共同交流与进步，让各位随时随地第一时间知道国际市场动向，做最稳健的单子。

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Analysis of today's gold market trend:

　　日线级别：高位震荡；布林带收口，金价徘徊中轨附近。MACDDead forks and green pillars have strong kinetic energy,KDJAdhesion, index at50下方。从技术面看，黄金短线偏震荡走低。下方初步支撑先留意1925.00Nearby, this was tested on Wednesday and Thursday of this week; Strong support, pay attention to key points1900Gateway. If it falls below, it will boost bearish sentiment in the market, and gold prices may step back8month12Daily low point1863.16. On the upward side, pay attention to the intraday high first1955.93; If broken, pay attention20Daily moving average1976.00Looking at Tuesday's high on further resistance level2015.59。

　　4小时级别：宽幅震荡；四小时级别来看，布林带三轨趋平，金价徘徊中轨与下轨之间。MACDThe energy of the dead fork and green column decreases slightly,KDJPreliminary Golden Cross, Index at30附近。从走势来看，黄金多空焦灼，短线仍偏震荡。行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询现货金油老师免费获取！

　　周一黄金操作策略参考：

Empty order strategy:

Gold rebound1948-1950Short (buy down) two tenths of a position nearby, stop loss5Points, target1935-1925Nearby, break down and take a look1915一线；建议仅供参考

Multiple order strategy:

Gold Callback1910-1915Nearby long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss5Points, target1930-1935Nearby, break down and take a look1940一线；建议仅供参考

　　crude oilFundamental analysis:

Friday（8month21日），美油走高，料第三周上涨，因需求复苏初露端倪，但疫情仍令前景蒙上阴影，同时对供应过剩的担忧升温。截止当前，油价报42.64dollar/桶，本周累计上涨约1.00%。周一，油价飙升至5个月以来的最高点，这是由于美国两党经济刺激计划的僵局有缓和迹象，而建筑商信心指数也升至1998年以来的最高点。

　　不过，美联储和OPEC对新冠疫情引发的需求前景的悲观评论冲淡了乐观情绪，而美国上周失业救济意外增加。油价自低于零的涨势在6月初停滞在近40dollar/桶，但最近开始走高，尽管许多国家在努力遏制疫情的爆发。本周的OPEC会议传递出的信息是，市场仍然脆弱，需求前景不确定，在兑现减产承诺方面，那些偷销配额的人面临新的压力。

Technical analysis of crude oil:

Crude oil from4小时上看，隔日原油短线刺破下轨后展开震荡上行回升，并在刺破上轨后小幅回落，但仍运行于5日均线之上，当前布林带处于开口期，MAThe moving average moves out of the double golden cross,KDJThe three lines of random indicators are downward,MACD指标红色动能柱持续放量，快慢线平行向前，原油目前处于回落需求，但仍有上行趋势。下方低点在上移，高点始终在冲高蓄势，本周还是要重点关注破位量能。目前由于日线收盘在高位，留意亚欧盘能否完成突破。突破43.50后再顺势看多，不破继续看区间44.0-42.0Shock.

　　综合来看操作思路上现货金油老师建议以反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注43.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below41.2-41.0一线支撑。策略仅供参考；

　　周一原油操作策略参考：

Empty order strategy:

Above the rebound of crude oil43.0-42.8Short selling nearby(Buy down), two tenths of a position, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target42.0Nearby; Dislocation41.5Near.

Multi order strategy:

Below the crude oil correction41.2-41.4Nearby long (buy up), 2/10 positions, stop loss0.5USD, target42.8-43.0Nearby; Dislocation43.5Near.

　　以上内容仅供参考，每一天朋友圈都会给，关注的朋友推送我对当天行情的看法和操作思路以及现价单，需要看建议的自行去看就可以了。行情瞬息万变，现货金油不能给予及时的提醒。看似简单的买涨买跌，但还是有很多投资者为之苦恼，甚至付出惨痛的代价，日进斗金的技术我有，但也需要你来验证我的实力，同时我的真心和诚意也都是一样、希望找到现货金油给予实时操作策略！

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——Because of professionalism, it leads! Without a perfect risk control plan, how can we talk about profitability——

1、 Every order must be reasonable and well founded: every novice or experienced trader should be aware of it, and not just becauseforeign exchangeLow market threshold, easy to enter without doing homework. Trading is a complex and highly demanding task, and before you truly step into the door of trading, you should understand what this transaction is based on? This includes what the trading targets are, what factors affect the foreign exchange market, and what auxiliary trading tools are available, in order to develop different trading plans or strategies and prepare oneself for the battle in the foreign exchange market.

2、 It is the stop loss issue that we often talk about. As traders, we must remember that the real gold and silver in our accounts are earned through hard work, and we must protect our account funds during trading. Stop loss is an essential survival skill for every trader. Especially for those who have just entered the market, it is of utmost importance. Some people may feel that stop loss is a shame, as if they have lost to the market. But one thing you must be aware of: stop loss is to survive in the market. Actions taken for survival are all instinctual, without distinction between honor, disgrace, sorrow, or joy.

3、 How to analyze the technical indicators of gold and crude oil, and how investors can utilize them after opening real accountsMT4/5Many technical indicators provided on the website are used to analyze the market situation. Although some of these indicators are very suitableForeign exchange transactionsBut please remember that indicators are always effective when they are suitable for oneself, for example, some investors, in their ownMT4/5On the trading platform interface, multiple fluctuation indicators, trend indicators, etc. are used at the same time, which often send different signals, leading to uncertain trading orders. In addition, your chart contains too many"garbage"Information, which is also a major reason for your trading problems, is easily overlooked.

4、 Summary: Your level of entry into the market trading for beginners. What price did you buy gold at?如果答案是高于目前的水平，你有多有.money?How much loss can you bear?Do you have a trading plan?If so, what is your target price?Do you have appropriate stop loss measures? What is your opinion on the current price trend?Is selling a necessary correction or a change in trend?

　　任何人通过时间来和现货金油老师一起学习努力之后，都有机会成功的让自己在这个市场生存。在现货金油这里有良好的一.对一指导和目标导向的前景，也让学员养成良好的交易习惯，从而产生有长期、稳健、收益的特质，促进学员有着自己一套分析系统能力，增加学员的技能分析并优化交易绩效。本文由黄金分析师现货金油【hlm3578】独家策划，感谢广大读者对现货金油这篇文章的喜爱和支持，希望大家能从现货金油的文章中有所收获和感悟！