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Article Summary: Investment Internationalgoldcrude oil怎么分析行情?周一黄金原油多空怎么看? 做现货黄金投资亏损怎么挽回损失?黄金原油短线怎么操作?当前黄金阻力位和支撑位在哪里?新手投资黄金原油该怎么做单?周一伦敦金还会涨吗?原油还会跌吗?近期有哪些消息面会影响黄金原油走势? 美元涨跌对黄金有什么影响?黄金原油周一行情走势分析及操作建议现货黄金周一还会涨?美原油还会跌吗?国际黄金原油周一如何操作?为什么你的操作总是套单,黄金原油被套单如何解套?如何防止爆仓?
高常运前言:你为什么要做投资?你能想到千万种理由,终究不过是想要赚钱,那怕你身家过亿,但钱这东西,永远不会嫌多的。你看多了纸上谈兵,我医多了惊弓之鸟。市场的暴利总会让人无限的向往,事实却是做黄金的时候帐户红的像开了花的鞭炮。疯狂往往会让人淡化风险,谨慎常常错过时机,市场只有两种人很难让利润持续,一种是头脑发热,另一种则是过度谨慎,高常运认为这两种都不可取! 高常运认为克服恐惧与贪婪,客观而灵活的对待交易最为重要!成功不是因为别人走你也走,而是在别人停下来的时候,你仍然在向前。放弃很容易,但只能一无所得。坚持会很难,但终会有所收获。别轻易停下,多坚持一分钟,就会多一点收获。
现货黄金近期影响因素:
8month22日本周金价震荡回落,当周金价最高触及2015USD, lowest drop to1911The US dollar and gold prices are approaching this week100The broad range of the US dollar fluctuates greatly. Gold prices fell during the week4.64USD, decline0.24%Closing report1940.48dollar/盎司。当前市场关注的美国财政刺激计划陷入僵局支撑美元,对金价短线施压,同时本周美联储货币政策纪要强调疫情对美国经济的影响,但有未提更进一步宽松的计划,因此这也支撑美元施压金价,加之近期高企的金价影响实物金买盘需求,金价本周延续了回落调整的态势。
不过从更长周期的角度来看,美国大选的不确定性增加美国的政治风险支撑金价,同时美国经济复苏缓慢也支撑金价,加之全球央行接近无限量的放水,这都是中期支撑金价的因素。展望下周,投资者需要密切关注下周四杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会,其中美联储主席鲍威尔还会在年会上发表讲话,该事件很可能会给金价带来中期走势的指引。接下来让我们看看本周影响金价的一些基本面因素,研究这些因素之后,或许能给投资者下周的黄金交易带来一些指引。
Analysis of the price trend of spot gold:
黄金短线4小时在低位持续整理时间较长,久盘不跌破低点反弹收在高位,K线形成一波低位连阳启稳。没能延续弱势回落至1900下方,延续这波C浪调整,而是进入震荡,短线过程相对还是迂回反复一些。昨日启稳在布林带下轨处反弹有轻微收缩震荡迹象,日内短线还是卡点操作。波动基数大,多空都有机会,关键是点位。小时图二次下探守住1925反弹再重新探高1955且收在高位。小时图有进一步反弹的迹象,但空间得边走边看,目前的形态没有昨天看似那么弱势。综合分析黄金下周操作思路上高常运个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方关注1955-1960One line of resistance, pay attention below1920-1915一线支撑。手上有套单的投资者,由于笔者不知道你的进场点位及仓位风险情况等细致因素,需要解套的朋友可添加笔者高常运(微信;gcy8527),本人会根据你的点位与仓位风险情况及时给出具体的解套策略。
原油近期影响因素:
8month22US oil prices maintained a narrow range of volatility and consolidation during the current week, while US oil prices rose during the week0.02USD, increase0.05%. From a demand perspective, the outlook for crude oil demand is clearly improving. With the gradual progress of global resumption of work and production, the Saudi Energy Minister stated that global oil demand is expected to return to pre pandemic levels by the end of the year97%。同时,亚洲需求也超出预期,美国原油库存下降也侧面反映需求向好。
从供给来看,美国页岩油破产仍在继续,反观OPEC为了弥补市场需求不足,他们开始小幅增产,不过仍然严格限制产量。综合以上原油供给和需求的变化,我们认为当前原油市场仍然难以摆脱震荡格局,除非有重大的基本面变化来改变这种平衡的格局。OPEC在报告中说:2020年下半年原油和成品油价格的发展将继续受对第二波感染和全球库存增加的担忧影响。维持之前对2021年石油需求将每日增加700万桶的预测不变,但表示,这一预测面临很大的不确定性,这些不确定性可能会“给石油消费造成负面影响”,比如对航空旅行的需求、更省油的汽车,以及来自其他燃料的竞争加剧。
原油价格走势解析:
Overall, crude oil maintains a fluctuating upward pattern, as long as the overall price remains at40The idea of maintaining a long position above remains unchanged. Currently, there are no suitable positions to participate in long positions, and we can only wait for the price to adjust before engaging in long positions. Looking at the daily trend, Brin is running slightly upwards with a contraction,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average runs to the right with stickiness, and the long period moving average runs with multiple heads arranged below to form support,KThe line intersects between the upper tracks in Bolin,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located above the zero axis and run smoothly,KDJThe third line shows a gentle upward trend with a narrow golden fork, and the overall performance of the daily chart market is fluctuating and leaning towards a bullish trend. Currently40.5一线成为重要支撑区域,4From an hourly perspective, yesterday crude oil began to rise and fall, piercing the upper track in the short term and then falling below the middle track. The current market is in a rebound, but it is hindered by the middle track, and the Bollinger Belt is currently in an opening period,MAThe moving average is about to break out of its double dead cross,KDJRandom indicator three line forward, reaching oversold,MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量,快慢线死叉向下,经过大幅下跌后短线反弹。综合分析下周一原油操作上高常运个人建议以回撤做多为主,高空为辅,短线上方关注43.0-43.5One line of resistance, pay attention below41.5-41.0一线支撑。由于笔者高常运不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况,不好给出相应的解套策略,需要解套的可单线本人(官微:gcy8527)
投资者必备的三大交易原则——高常运
1、为自己准备一个交易计划。
每次参与之前要计划你的交易,在布局之时执行你的计划。没有相对应的计划,盲目的交易冲动的交易,和仅凭运气,没有区别。当然,有计划却不遵守,和无计划做单,是一样的效果,结果也不会好到哪儿去。正确的做法,就是制定交易计划,并严格按交易计划执行,长期以往,一定会有好的结果和收益。
2、严格执行的入市原则:
每个投资者都会有自己的入市依据,有的投资者喜欢做爆发性行情,只要出现向下有效的突破或向上有效的击穿,便会建立相应的布局;还有的投资者喜欢抄底摸顶,认为价格过高或过低,就在顶部做空,和在相对低价区做多;还有的投资者喜欢根据市场数据入场。不管你进场的依据是什么,当出现获利,并持续放大利润的时候,你就可以继续持有。
3、严格执行的出场原则:
无论我们何时何地,只要单子做进去,都必须提前测量出合理的止损和止盈价位。当市场行情出现与我们入市原则反向运行,当价格运行到我们的预订止损位,都应止损出局,而不能有任何的侥幸心理继续持仓等待。同样的道理,当价格达到我们预期的止盈目标位,便在相应的价位上止盈平仓,切莫因为自己的贪心,将原本的获利再送回市场。一定要严格地执行,自己当初设定下来的,止盈止损位置,不可随意的更改。
本文由高常运(微信gcy8527)Exclusive and original by an analyst. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online posts, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting |
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