Liang Qiandong8.22黄金原油多空转换，周一开盘策略解读及走势预测附解套

Investment, like game, is a wise choice to sacrifice some local gains and losses and seek subjective and advantageous advantages for the overall situation. When the point is already very low and only risks are seen but opportunities are not seen, or when the point is already very high and risks are not controlled, blindly pursuing profits can only gain small profits but lose the overall picture, gain local benefits but lose the overall picture. When your talent cannot support your ambition, you need to calm down and learn. When your ability cannot control your goals, you should sink down and experience. Only through learning, trading, and summarizing, can you understand that you are truly not unaccepted by the market, just unwilling to change in the past. There are two types of investment: physiological investment, which is to solve food and clothing, and spiritual investment, which is to realize the value of life and to compete and race against human greed and fear.

　　goldTrend analysis
　　
Message surface:（8month21日）金价走低，现货黄金一度大跌1.83%, refresh8month12Since the low point of the day1911.62dollar/Ounces, expected to appear6For the first time since January, it has fallen for two consecutive weeks as the US dollar has strengthened and US economic data has been stronger than expected, easing market concerns about the pace of economic recovery. However, with the decline of the US dollar index and the decline in US bond yields, spot gold has rebounded nearly from its daily low30USD, currently traded in1940Around the US dollar.
　　
　　技术面：黄金从日线级别上来看，高位震荡；布林带收口，金价徘徊中轨附近。MACDDead forks and green pillars have strong kinetic energy,KDJAdhesion, index at50下方。从技术面看，黄金短线偏震荡走低。下方初步支撑先留意1925.00Nearby, this was tested on Wednesday and Thursday of this week; Strong support, pay attention to key points1900Gateway. If it falls below, it will boost bearish sentiment in the market, and gold prices may step back8month12Daily low point1863.16. On the upward side, pay attention to the intraday high first1955.93; If broken, pay attention20Daily moving average1976.00Looking at Tuesday's high on further resistance level2015.59。
　　
　　四小时级别来看，布林带三轨趋平，金价徘徊中轨与下轨之间。MACDThe energy of the dead fork and green column decreases slightly,KDJPreliminary Golden Cross, Index at30Nearby. From the perspective of the trend, gold is anxious in both long and short positions, and remains volatile in the short term. On the upward side, pay attention to the middle track of the Bollinger Belt first1968.14This is also related to2075.47-1863.16This wave of decline50%The retreat position is similar. Looking at further resistance2000.00Pass, this is an important psychological pass; If there is a breakthrough, the material will be tested and the Brin belt will be put on the track2022.77. Preliminary support below, pay attention to Wednesday's low point first1924.94Nearby, with strong support, take a look at the Bollinger Belt and lower the track1913.55。综合来看，黄金下周一短线操作思路上梁乾东个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1955-1960Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1920-1915Frontline support.
　　
　　黄金下周行情分析：现货黄金连续第二个交易日走高，现徘徊1950美元附近，由于美国初请失业金人数再次突破100万且、美联储重申对经济复苏的担忧及投资人持有黄金的必要性，对金价起到一定提振作用。不过有调查显示，基金经理们认为黄金做多交易过于拥挤，这会限制金价上行空间。整体来看，梁乾东认为金价中长线仍偏向多头，但短线料多空相对焦灼，或维持高位震荡。
　　
Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:
　　
　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1955-1957Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1932-1930frontline;
　　
　　2Under the gold, it cannot be broken by stepping back1920-1922Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1932-1934frontline;
　　
　　crude oilTrend analysis:
　　
　　消息面：油价跌逾1%，因为从欧洲到亚洲一些主要经济体经济复苏步履蹒跚的迹象有可能令需求反弹推迟。周五公布的一项调查显示，欧元区经济从有记录以来最严重下滑中的复苏本月步履蹒跚，尤其是服务业，因上月解除新冠疫情封锁而释放的被压抑的需求在本月有所减少。与此同时，日本的一个服务业指标下降，继续预示服务业处于萎缩状态。利比亚国家石油公司表示，可能重启石油出口，此前国际公认的该国政府在的黎波里宣布停火，该消息令油价进一步承压。梁乾东认为这是一个无法再吸收任何额外石油供应的市场，虽然我为他们达成和平协议感到高兴，但对全球供应形势而言，这是个问题，这是今天出现抛售的一个主要原因。”能源服务公司贝克休斯表示，本周美国活跃油气钻机数增加，为3For the first time since the beginning of the month, this is an indicator indicating future supply.
　　
　　技术面：原油整体来看维持在震荡向上的格局，只要价格整体维持在40The idea of maintaining a long position above remains unchanged. Currently, there are no suitable positions to participate in long positions, and we can only wait for the price to adjust before engaging in long positions. Looking at the daily trend, Brin is running slightly upwards with a contraction,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average runs to the right with stickiness, and the long period moving average runs with multiple heads arranged below to form support,KThe line intersects between the upper tracks in Bolin,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located above the zero axis and run smoothly,KDJThe third line shows a gentle upward trend with a narrow golden fork, and the overall performance of the daily chart market is fluctuating and leaning towards a bullish trend. Currently40.5The frontline has become an important support area today,4From an hourly perspective, yesterday crude oil began to rise and fall, piercing the upper track in the short term and then falling below the middle track. The current market is in a rebound, but it is hindered by the middle track, and the Bollinger Belt is currently in an opening period,MAThe moving average is about to break out of its double dead cross,KDJRandom indicator three line forward, reaching oversold,MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量，快慢线死叉向下，经过大幅下跌后短线反弹。综合来看，原油下周一短线操作短线思路上梁乾东个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注43.0-43.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below41.5-41.0Frontline support.
　　
Suggestions for crude oil operations next Monday:
　　
　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break43.0-43.2Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target42.2-42.0frontline;
　　
　　2Unable to break under the crude oil41.0-41.2Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target42.3-42.5frontline;
　　
Qian Dong's message: For friends who want to learn about spot knowledge, I strongly agree. I personally believe that investment friends should improve their abilities during the investment process, use their technical knowledge to analyze and operate, and enjoy it, falling in love with this investment rather than fear. Fear is due to lack of strength and judgment. I quite admire those who gradually learn and master commonly used technical indicators (moving averagesMACD、KDJCombining fundamentals to analyze market trends and specific operating points, gradually improving one's comprehensive analysis ability and exercising one's mentality. Gradually grow up, after all, investing is a long-term process. So I, Liang Qiandong, and my investment friends also follow this principle: teaching fish is better than teaching it to fish. I will teach you to start from the most basic.
　　　　本文由梁乾东供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，解析全球大众商品、贵金属、现货黄金、futures原油等投资大趋势，对黄金、原油、foreign exchange有深入的研究，由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。