Liang Qiandong8.19黄金走势预测、原油趋势布局\Reverse of long and short positions, profit control and decoupling

　　不可无欲，但不可贪。聚沙成塔，积少成多，对于攀登者来说，失掉往昔的足迹并不可惜，迷失了继续前行的方向却很危险。志在峰巅的攀登者，不会陶醉在沿途的某个脚印之中。狂风为劈风斩浪的航船饯行，为随波逐流的轻舟送葬。骄傲，是断了引线的风筝，稍纵即逝；自卑，是剪了双翼的飞鸟，难上青天；两者都是成才的大忌。人生如树，在风雨中成长，在阳光下盛开，繁花落尽，才硕果累累。一个成熟以及成功的投资者，获利就像繁华过后的硕果，少了一份轻浮的喜悦，更多的是运筹帷幄淡然面对的心。不能让贪婪成为亏损的帮凶，也不能让恐惧成为追单的借口。人在现实中都会有梦想，但梦想往往不存在于现实。贪婪和利益走到一起时，理性往往变成了敌人，就很难做出正确的决定。市场瞬息万变，而心态就像天气，我们虽不能控制市场，但我们起码可以在心态晴朗的时候进行交易。
　　
In the spot market, it is better to worship the wrong god than to follow the wrong person. As the saying goes, "A lesson learned from the past cannot be missed."!Going out with goals and returning with results is not because it's fast, but because there are methods. The teacher is not only an analyst, but also your friend. There is no wrong market, only a bad mentality and strategy. If you are not prepared, then wait and see for now, don't expect to become a victorious general. To succeed, you must be ruthless! Finally, I would like to send a message to current investors. Only with a calm mind like water can one maintain a lasting momentum. Remember to think carefully and avoid following the crowd. Investing in the long term is important, not just pointing a deer to a horse!

　

Spotgold早间行情解读：
　　
　　消息面：近几日美元继续保持弱势，重回之前低点92.50一线，因市场担忧美国下一轮财政刺激计划的谈判进展，美元走低。目前美国大选仍是市场关注的焦点，川普支持率为41%，拜登支持率为53%，这一方面的变化需密切留意。由于大选临近，川普为拉选票，承诺减税以使制造业回归美国，誓言在10个月创造1000万个就业机会，通过将制造设备从中国迁回美国的公司进行税收抵免。另一方面，巴菲特持有黄金的消息提振黄金多头的信心。目前美国经济和政策方面，市场仍有较强的担忧情绪，虽然就业市场有所好转，但每周仍有数十万新增病例，失业率仍是年初的三倍。另外消费者信心指数小幅下滑，且仍低于2月份的水平。在各种不确定性之下，黄金再度触及2007The position of the US dollar.
　　
　　技术面：昨日黄金早盘时段出现一波拉升后震荡，午盘时段行情又再度回升，冲破2000压力，随后欧盘时段一直居于2000整数位上方运行并至2010一线，美盘时段延续多头至2015一线，随后急剧下降，展开了大回调创下了日内新低1975，目前黄金运行至2000附近，日线来看，黄金在低位1930获得支撑后开始强势拉升，目前已经破位前高点1966一线，打破了近期的区间震荡，从技术角度来看：KDJ死叉，随机指导开始向上勾头，MACD死叉，绿色能量柱缩减，指示黄金跌势放缓，接下来黄金有望继续上涨，不过5Daily moving average underpass10日均线依然是死叉的存在，谨防高位出现回落，4小时来看，均线成多头排列，KDJ金叉向上，指数也高于80，MACD金叉，红色能量柱扩大，今日操作上梁乾东建议回调做多为主！上方重点关注2015Frontline resistance, lower support attention1980-1983frontline.
　　
　　futurescrude oil早间行情解读：
　　
　　消息面：油价小幅走弱，未能延续前一交易日涨势，但整体仍徘徊5个月高点附近，投资者对经济复苏可能即将到来的乐观情绪提振了石油需求将会增强的希望。美国一个衡量建筑商乐观情绪的指标跃升至1998年以来的最高水平，成为疫情大流行之际的一个经济亮点，围绕经济复苏的乐观情绪转化为原油需求将增加的希望。同时，一个技术专家小组周一正在评估OPEC+产量协议的履行情况，随后将在周三举行部长级会议。经过大幅减产后，该集团从本月开始放松减产力度。石油的涨势仍然受到全球冠状病毒病例激增并打压需求的约束。
　　
　　技术面：原油昨日下探回升收高。日线收盘小阳星线。整体空间不大，最低41.77 highest42.90.依旧在此前的整理区间。日线伴随在局部横向整理，不过反复的下探回升。下方低点在上移，高点始终在冲高蓄势，有蓄势破位的迹象。4小时图来看，国际原油连续三个周期的回踩都没跌破42.84USD,4小时终结国际原油的跌势再次有望突破日内新高，4hourMA均线依然呈现多头趋势运行，4Hourly attached indicatorsMACDThe upward momentum of the red trend is gradually stronger,DIFAndDEA粘合形成金叉处于0轴上方波幅，国际黄金原油整体的趋势依然看涨。那么今日操作上梁乾东建议回调做多为主。下方支撑41.2frontline.
　　
Recently, many friends have approached Liang Qiandong and wanted to solve the problem. Their energy has a lot in common. They are all new to the market, lack technical understanding, irresponsible teachers, and blindly operate on their own, resulting in being trapped in the bill, unable to sleep due to psychological anxiety, and staying up late every day to read the market. I rely solely on feelings for the market, but after judging the market, I am not confident and dare not enter the market. I watched profits slip away from my eyes, so I made up my mind to make the next judgment and definitely enter the market. Unfortunately, I was once again deceived by the market and trapped again. In this way, more and more sets are set up, and in the end, not only the profit is not received, but also a lot of losses. If you want to cut it off, you are not willing to give up, always thinking that the market will come back. Every day when you have time, you go to check the market, look for teachers in the market, and ask them what to do. In fact, what Liang Qiandong wants to say is not to get too tired, teachers are expensive and not too expensive. Even if you find more teachers, even if each strength is strong, your judgment of the market is very good, So what can we do? Your order has already been set so deeply, and they are not gods. It is impossible for the market to reverse. All they can do is help you layout when there is a reversal in the market, so that your order can be solved and losses can be reduced. But everyone has their own ideas for judging the market situation. The more teachers have, the more opinions they have. Then, you will become more indecisive and unsure of what to do. If you procrastinate, the balance in your account will become less and less, and the orders will not be solved. Why bother?
　　
For the purpose of profit, in the capital market, there are no philanthropists, only winners and losers. No matter how successful you are in other areas, winning or losing is the only criterion in the market. To survive in the market, one should be like a stream of water, not anxious or impatient, living in a narrow space, and seeking the simplest and purest state.
　　Liang Qiandong: Establish a fundamental change model, analyze market sentiment changes, and use it to determine trends. More than ten years of technical analysis and judgment on short-term details. The central line is the main line, supplemented by the short line. I have in-depth and unique insights into major global financial markets such as the foreign exchange market, gold market, oil market, stock market, and bond market. This article was written by Liang Qiandong, who carefully wrote every analysis and conveyed valuable investment ideas. I hope the price is worth it, and the value is worth it; Due to the delayed nature of the article strategy; Consult Liang Qiandong for the latest real-time market analysis.