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不登高山,不知天之高也;不临深溪,不知地之厚也。在这市场上,行动永远都比纸上谈兵来的厉害,你总是在后知后觉中幡然醒悟,我当时就该这样做。廉镇在市场这么些年,见识过太多那些自以为是,自认为自己很厉害的人了,然而呢,深套沉迷,扛单爆仓,最后什么都没能留下,资金就这么被挥霍没了。廉镇做单一直都追求稳健,思路清晰方向明确,每单布局有理有据,目的明确,才能做到收放自如。再多华丽的语言都不及丰收利润来的实在,再辉煌的过去不及现在的实战重要;当下实实在在,投资不易,且行且珍惜,风险控制远远要比结果重要,留得青山在,不怕没柴烧,失控的风险会吞噬一切,这就是为什么做单原则很重要。
市场消息面总结:
gold:北京时间周一(8month17day)14:36现货黄金再度升至1950dollar/盎司上方。本周韩国或将进一步加强防疫力度,包括考虑把保持社会距离措施上调至第3阶段。此外,俄罗斯新冠疫苗又有新进展,正在开展新冠病毒疫苗第二阶段试验。17日黎巴嫩总统奥恩称,不排除与以色列达成和平协议的可能性。金价后市仍面临不确定性!金价在经历了3月以来的最大跌幅后维持盘整。获利回吐以及全球最大经济体经济状况改善,令金价在美股走高和美元回涨的双重夹击下难以继续攀高。此外,美债收益率上行也限制了金价走高的动能,因美债收益率上升增加了持有黄金和即将到期美债等非收益资产的机会成本。黄金上涨的动能主要来自于美联储向金融系统注入大量流动性导致的潜在高通胀。值得注意的是,黄金价格在疫情扰动全球金融体系以来就一直上涨。
crude oil:8month17日,市场分析师撰文称,OPEC+from8月份开始向市场恢复部分原油供应,到目前为止还没有影响到油价脆弱的复苏。但是,投资者仍不能放松警惕,因为疫情的卷土重来导致石油需求前景恶化。OPEC将举行联合部长级监督委员会(JMMC)会议,讨论如何保护减产取得的成果,但专家料影响有限,除了美元走软和一些逢低吸纳的投资者外,没有太多因素支撑石油价格上涨。疫情的爆发导致全球石油需求暴跌,今年早些时候,OPEC+决定将产量削减97010000 barrels/日,约占全球供应量的10%,当时全球范围的封锁造成了历史上最大的石油需求崩溃。他们的牺牲得到了回报,布油目前接近每桶45美元,美油反弹至每桶42Above USD.OPEC+的这一努力不仅援救了部分成员国的经济,也挽救了英国石油公司和埃克森美孚等石油巨头。关注工纵好“廉镇”即可获得实时最新行情操作建议、中线布局计划一份!
Technical analysis:
黄金:黄金继续在20The daily moving average is hovering around, and currently trading is1940Nearby. Daily chartMACDThe green kinetic energy column continues to expand,KDJRandom indicator trading50Nearby, indicating that the bearish momentum of gold remains, there is still downside risk. Preliminary support below, pay attention to the middle track of the Bollinger Belt first1922Under strong support, let's take a look1900Gateway support. Once this level is breached, it will boost the short-term bearish sentiment in the market. gold4From an hourly perspective: Gold prices are hitting a low point1862The US dollar rebounded and its upward trend stopped at100Mean Square1966Nearby, pay attention to whether you can break through this moving average.MACDThe red kinetic energy column remains stable,KDJRandom indicators falling below50Horizontal, indicating stable bullish pressure on gold, short-term or consolidation. Gold is still a volatile market in the rebound trend, with short-term maintenance1910-1965The area is oscillating, but currently it is in a state of1930-60内震荡,而且高点不断降低,形态偏空。操作上廉镇认为黄金高位做空为主,上方关注1965-1971Pressure, close below1930-1910支撑;由于笔者廉镇不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况,不好给出相应的解套策略,需要解套的可单线本人(官微:jy85839)。
原油:原油周线继续以高位十字KReporting and daily support40The pass presents an interaction of yin and yang, with the highest penetration during the week43.0The first line is under pressure and falls back, and the lower part is stepped down and explored3日均线企稳强势回升,廉镇认为由于底部回升后指标还未完全拐头向上,使得周线处于中性位置中震荡蓄势,日图则延续星KLine sorting, after breaking through the interval and returning to interval sorting, Bollinger Road tightly closed its mouth and still saw narrow fluctuations within the interval. From a technical perspective40The support signal near the checkpoint is obvious, and there has been no effective breakthrough in both short and long periods. However, at present, the daily level major cycle is still in a fluctuating upward rhythm, with the moving average sticking high and paying attention below the short term39.0Regional support strength, this position is in the early stage4Support area at the neck line of the hour, while touching from above43.9区域出现明显承压信号,看震荡回落,短线延续高位震荡格局节奏是关键,重点看当日的震荡波幅。综合来看,原油今日短线操作短线思路上廉镇个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注43.0-43.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below41.5-41.0一线支撑。想了解更多实时具体策略添加笔者公众号:“廉镇”口末亻言jy85839会在实战中实时布局更新
廉镇寄语:这个市场对某些人来说可能已经身心俱疲了,从满怀希望接触黄金投资,到损失惨重害怕入场,亏的连鼓励自己的信心都没有,一度寻求一个可以帮助你的老师,也以亏损告终,继续待在黄金市场不开心,离开黄金市场不甘心,这或许是很多投资者面临的现状。即使现状多么不堪,但是请你记住,没有一条路走到黑的行情,更没有一直亏损的投资,行情反反复复,操作亏亏赚赚,没人赚的彻底,都是摸滚打爬,稳稳当当,步步为营的结果。在这个良莠不齐的市场,亏损的人不少,但是或多或少都存在交易中的大问题,无论是心态不好,还是犹豫不决,还是不带止损,或者说喜欢抗单,锁仓,亏损不是偶然,总会有大问题存在,做投资不是一朝一夕,唯有摒弃这些坏毛病,孜孜不倦的学习,掌控风险,稳健操作,必然是你涅槃重生的时候。
This article is written by Lianzhen (official WeChat account:jy85839 ---Official account: Lianzhen) is the exclusive original of the analyst. I have always been keen on the gold and crude oil market. Due to the delay of online push, the above content is personal advice. Because the online document is timely, it is only for reference, and the risk is borne by myself. Please indicate the source for reprinting; |
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