8.17黄金暴涨见顶了吗？黄金白银低位空单解套及美盘操作建议

　　投资和对弈是一样的，舍弃一些局部得失而求得全局的主动和优势才是明智的选择。当点位已经很低的时候还只看到风险而看不到机会，或者在点位已经很高的时候还不知控制风险而盲目追逐利润，只能是得小利而失大体，得局部而失全局，这都是不知适可而止和缺乏大局观的表现。纪律是一百多年以来交易市场上各种成功和失败经验的高度总结，是用无数金钱和心血所换来的成果。翻开交易历史，你就会发现市场有时是多么幼稚可笑，多少人曾经犯过多少幼稚可笑的错误，然而现在和将来这些幼稚可笑的事件必然会重演，因为虽然市场在前进，时间在前进，但人性不会变，人类对金钱的贪婪和恐惧不会变，人类想征服自然和市场的欲望不会变，绝大部分的人很容易忘记历史，也不愿意去看看历史，这导致他们根本就不可能真正理解纪律，或者尊重纪律。一切都是崭新的，我们就是时代的主人，很多人就这样来认识市场。
　　
Spotgold，伦敦金，黄金走势分析【廉镇微信；jy85839】crude oilOperational suggestions, gold market, daily analysis of gold, latest strategies, multiple-空单解套技巧
　　
　　基本消息面总结：
　　
Gold:上周金银创下了3月以来的最大单周跌幅。本周伊始，金银似乎开局不利，周一早盘，现货白银跌幅一度扩大至2%，如今交投于26美元附近。现货黄金一度跌破1930美元关口。黄金方面，如今，主导走势的两大直接因素依然是美元和美债收益率水平。上周，美国财政部发行了创纪录规模的国债，基准美国国债收益率飙升至七周高位。美债收益率回升，削弱了黄金的吸引力。与此同时，上周美元维持疲软。高盛指出，长期投资者可能会进一步打压美元,美元的另一轮下行可能因动量交易员和长期投资者离场而触发。杠杆交易者已在大举押注美元走弱，新的空头头寸或将被触发。长期投资者也可能因青睐欧元及其他欧洲资产而加入此过程，可以预见，随着美元走软，黄金将会得到更多支撑。展望本周，美国国债收益率仍将继续决定黄金市场的方向。不过，由于美国国债拍卖已经结束，交易者需要观察收益率是否再次开始回落。
　　
　　原油：本周三(8month19day)The meeting of the Ministerial Supervisory Committee between OPEC and non OPEC oil producing countries will kick off. Russian Energy Minister Novak stated that this meeting will focus on7Implementation status of monthly oil production reduction agreement and evaluation8Monthly situation. OPEC+The committee will not discuss OPEC this month+Adjust the agreement. Russia believes that the implementation of the OPEC agreement should continue to follow a coordinated schedule. Last week's announcementIEAThe monthly report shows that OPEC7Increase in monthly crude oil production12010000 barrels/Solstice237510000 barrels/Day. Saudi Arabia7The implementation rate of monthly production reduction is102%Russia96%OPEC7The execution rate of monthly production reduction is89%. Given that the market has digested OPEC+since8Starting from the month, the reduction in production will be reduced to77010000 barrels/On the day of this meeting, market expectations for OPEC+There will not be too much action. However, if OPEC+Once again, mentioning the implementation rate of production reduction in member countries will provide support for oil prices.
　　
Technical analysis:
　　
　　黄金：受到实际收益率攀升、获利回吐以及经贸谈判不确定性的影响。周五数据显示中国经济在7月份继续复苏，并且美国工业产值连续第三个月增长，削弱了黄金作为避险资产的吸引力，现货黄金两个多月以来首次单周下跌，结束连涨九周的趋势；日线最终收盘小阴十字K，MACDandKDJ死叉运行；布林带逐渐收口，金价震荡运行于中轨上方；5Daily moving average underpass10日均线死叉运行，指示金价上行仍然受到一定限制，短线依然存在回调需求，下方支撑首先关注尾盘低点1932.44，进一步支撑在布林带中轨1916.9附近，若下破则金价可能再次测试1900整数关口；一旦再次失守该位置则空头将再次占据主导，进一步支撑下看周三低点1863.16；
　　
　　整体来看，全球经济复苏依旧乏力，同时近期病例反弹可能会进一步阻碍复苏前景，因此黄金下方支撑依旧明显。随在金价收复部分跌幅，表明市场需求依旧强劲，看涨情绪仍未改变；且布林带中轨目前也为金价提供良好支撑，因此，召锡老师预计金价后市仍将维持震荡走高，上方阻力首先关注周四高点1966.34，若突破该位置则增加短线看涨信号，进一步阻力在10Daily moving average1988.73附近，若突破，则金价将再次冲击2000大关；综合来看，虽然金价短线涨势受到一定压制，随着金价收复部分跌幅，后市仍以看涨为主，所以短线操作思路上廉镇个人建议仍以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅；上方关注1965-1970One line of resistance, pay attention below1920-1910Frontline support. Due to the fact that the author Lianzhen is not aware of the details of your trading positions and positions, it is difficult to provide corresponding strategies for unwinding. For those who need to unwind, please refer to the individual (official WeChat account:jy85839)。
　　
　　原油：原油上周整体还是在42.0Nearby shaking, thinking it was8After the initial surge at the beginning of the month, we were able to break out of the trend last week, but the result remained around42.0震荡了一周，但大趋势看涨不变，所以本周操作上就不考虑短线来回操作了，在41.0Go ahead and lay out multiple orders, continue to look up. The big goal is still to be seen44.0-46.0. At present, the impact of the global epidemic has led to a decrease in crude oil demand. Some countries have been maintaining crude oil prices by reducing production. Before the overall situation changes, it is not a problem to lay out multiple orders for crude oil at this time.
　　
　　白银：白银大概的趋势跟黄金差不多，所以本周白银同样是要关注是否走出回落，维持多日上涨趋势，在上周二高位大跌之后，整体的走势就有点模糊了。本周白银思路上廉镇建议先关注上周四反弹的高点27.6，本周先维持空头走势，日内短看26.4压制，下方目标看24.7附近。由于笔者廉镇不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线本人（官微：jy85839)。
　　
　　格局决定结局！选择不同，命运就不同！
　　
　　一位拿着年薪百万的人跟你说做投资是可以赚钱的，你犹豫了半天没有做。原因是：你去咨询了你的一位拿着3千块月薪工资的朋友，他告诉你理财不靠谱，于是你听了朋友的话。这就是你的格局！不要问骑自行车的宝马好不好开，不要向骑电动车的讨教挣百万的投资项目。永远记住：想了解某个行业只有两个方法，要么你亲自去尝试，要么你去问这个行业成功的人士，切记别问失败的和不相干的人，选择不对努力白费！格局决定结局！
　　
Life is something you live on your own. On the same road, there are people walking, people running, and people driving... different ways result in different outcomes. The same fate, some people struggle with smiles, some cry and plead, some silently endure... Different attitudes lead to different outcomes. No one can dictate your lifestyle, everything is your own choice. People with different personalities make different choices; Different choices lead to different destinies.
　　
Flying with the phoenix, one must be a handsome bird; Walking with tigers and wolves, one must be a fierce beast! How far you can go depends on who you are walking with.
　　This article is written by Lianzhen (official WeChat account:jy85839 ---Official account: Lianzhen) is the exclusive original of the analyst. I have always been keen on the gold and crude oil market. Due to the delay of online push, the above content is personal advice. Because the online document is timely, it is only for reference, and the risk is borne by myself. Please indicate the source for reprinting;