孙奕臣；8.17黄金暴涨暴跌晚间行情预测，原油独家策略解套建议

　任何市场没有永远的牛市，也没有永远的熊市，懂得熊市暂避锋芒比懂得牛市大举杀入更为重要，懂得规避风险并控制风险说明你已经逐步走上了正确的投资道路，一个只看见机遇而忘记风险的投资者是在靠运气进行交易，而不是靠真正的投资理念。常赚比大赚更重要，它不仅使你的资金雪球越滚越大，而且可以令你保持一个良好的心态。


　　goldMarket trend analysis


This week（8month17Solstice8month22In Japan, investors first need to pay attention to the meeting minutes of the three major central banks, the Federal Reserve of Australia, and the European Central Bank, to determine whether these central banks will further expand their easing. meanwhile8month21to8month23The Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting will be held today, during which global central bank governors will discuss what actions will be taken in the current unprecedented situation and how to exit ultra loose monetary policy. Other major events that require attention include the holding of a new round of formal Brexit talks between the UK and the EU, as well asOPEC+Joint Ministerial Conference. Data needs to focus on the second quarter of JapanGDPThe number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the United States, as well as the manufacturing industry disclosed by various countriesPMI. Finally, we need to pay attention to the speeches of Atlanta Fed Chairman Bostic and San Francisco Fed Chairman Daley.


　　黄金技术面来看，黄金昨天日内围绕在1960-40Between oscillations, that is, around1950Up and down competition, according to the current daily structure, the short-term market is in a state of competition5、20Daily line1950Up and down, the direction is still very uncertain. Currently, the closing price has closed1950Below, there may be a certain degree of inertia extension and rebound in the later stage of the market, but the space is still not very large. The emphasis above is still on paying attention1970The pressure test in the area shows that the gold daily line has been consolidating at a high level after a sharp rise yesterday, and is currently hovering around20Near the daily moving average.MACDDead cross, green kinetic energy column remains stable,KDJDead cross, random indicator decline in50附近放缓，目前有勾头向上趋势，指示黄金看跌动能可能放缓，孙奕臣4From the hourly chart, it can be seen that the gold price is hitting a low point1862The US dollar rebounded and its upward trend stopped at100Mean Square1966Near.MACDGolden cross, the red kinetic energy column gradually expands,KDJ金叉，随机指标持续向上触及超买水平，指示黄金看涨压力强化，短线或整固，从走势来看，黄金短线多空焦灼，走势料相对震荡。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上孙奕臣个人建议以反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注1960-1975Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1925-1930一线支撑。行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略，可直接添加本人指导交流微信【syc475】本人孙奕臣将尽量为您解决一切问题。


　　crude oilMarket trend analysis


　　油价连续第二周上涨，但贸易协定的不确定性以及对新冠疫情加重的担忧限制了价格涨幅。上周五纽约原油futuresfall0.5％，但一周累计上涨1.9％。由于新冠感染病例激增以及居高不下的失业率令经济复苏趋冷，零售销售的反弹势头在7月份急剧放缓。尽管如此，过去两周以来美国基准原油期货上涨超过4％，美国原油库存下降以及汽油消费量增加给油价带来了支持；一些数据显示出美国的经济前景中的亮点，比如7月份工业产值连续第三个月增加，也有利于油价走势。


　　原油技术面来看，原油从日线级别日线上看，布林带缩口略微向上运行，MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average runs to the right with stickiness, and the long period moving average runs with multiple heads arranged below to form support,KThe line intersects between the upper tracks in Bolin,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located above the zero axis and run smoothly,KDJ三线呈金叉窄口缓和上行，日图行情整体表现震荡偏多头趋势，但周五行情维持在42.90一带承压下行，整体符合日评给出的震荡区间，短期内暂时在43.0-41.0拉锯，上周又是一周震荡并没有突破的迹象，依旧是震荡收尾，而上方区间高点43.仍是压制点，但未突破前高43.50之前，震荡节奏不改。随后回撤给到了这波上涨的百分之50Retreat position41.0位置止跌，进一步表现了原油多头上涨意愿，若原油守住41-41.5位置支撑，大概率原油有望出现进一步上探的概率。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上孙奕臣建议以反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注43-43.2Frontline resistance, short-term focus below41-41.2一线支撑。行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略，可直接添加本人指导交流微信【syc475】本人孙奕臣将尽量为您解决一切问题。


　　骐骥一跃，不能十步，驽马十驾，功在不舍，黑暗不过就是为了让黎明更加绚烂，等待不过是让利润跑的更丰厚。蝉深埋十七年，只为一个盛夏，能够说服别人最好的方式，其实就是你坚持你原来在做的事情，抗日用了七年都胜利了，然而黄金我孙奕臣整整坚持了10年，有些事情不是看到希望才去坚持，而是坚持了才会看到希望。


Wen/孙奕臣
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