期市言论：国际金价跌逾1%Defeat1950美元关口，收于每盎司1949.8dollar

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美东时间周五，国际金价跌逾1%Defeat1950美元关口。截止收盘，纽约商品交易所黄金futuresThe most active market trading12Monthly gold futures price14日比前一交易日下跌20.6US dollars, closing at per ounce1949.8USD, with a decline of1.05%。9月交割的白银期货价格下跌1.629US dollars, closing at per ounce26.089USD, with a decline of5.88%。
今年以来黄金已经累计上涨35%At the same time, goldETF持仓增量仅上半年就超过了此前全年的记录水平。但是过快的涨势也意味着黄金存在着回调的风险。
本周因为美国经济数据改善，美元自逾两年低点反弹，美债收益率也有所回升，这对金价构成压力，因此黄金ETFPositions created this year3The largest daily reduction in holdings since the beginning of the month led to gold hitting a new high on Tuesday7The largest daily decline of the year, and fell to a three week low on Wednesday1863.16USD.
但是分析人士指出，俄罗斯疫苗只是给了市场一个抛售黄金的理由，从而对过于拥挤的仓位进行调整，因此黄金在触及三周低位后随后反弹100美元，收复近一半的跌幅。
总体而言，全球经济复苏依旧乏力，同时近期疫情反弹可能会进一步阻碍复苏前景，因此黄金下方支撑依旧明显。同时市场押注美联储还将继续扩大宽松，目前美联储已经将“平均通胀目标”纳入了考量的范围，这意味着如果通胀复苏乏力，美联储将扩大刺激以提振通胀。受此影响，美元本周初小幅反弹后，本周后三个交易日继续走低，周线录得8Despite being bearish, the market is still increasing its bearish bets on the US dollar.
此外美国两党在刺激方案谈判上陷入僵局，距离失业救助到期已经过期了两个星期，如果僵局持续可能会进一步打击经济前景，并加剧美联储的政策压力。
不过分析人士也指出，黄金此前的暴跌已经破坏了技术面，已经难以在短期内快速回升，需要进行数周的盘整，从而为进一步反弹奠定基调。本周黄金录得3月以来最大周线下跌。
下周美联储将公布7月决议的会议纪要。AxiCorp金服策略师Innes认为，随着美债收益率走高，下周黄金价格需要得到来自美联储鸽派声明的支撑，否则短时间仍面临压力，市场需保持关注。
Technical aspects of Meijin:
The Ritu Bolin Belt runs three tracks upwards,MA5Under the moving averageMA10The moving average runs in a dead cross downward direction,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACDThe fast and slow lines show a dead cross and gradually release green kinetic energy downwards,KDJThe three-line dead cross runs upwards and diverges, but the overall market is still operating in a downward trend;4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Belt runs downward with three tracks,MA5Mean Square andMA10Moving average cross dead cross downward,KLine intersection between tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACD快慢线呈金叉向上红色动能缩量，KDJ三线呈死叉向下运行，金价短线有一定的震荡下行势能，日内操作上建议高空为主。上方初步阻力在1967Nearby, the resistance in the next step is1982； Preliminary support below1935 Further support on1920；
Daily trading strategy（12Contract):
1Above1967-1982Short selling nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each300Point;
2Below1935-1920Short term long trading nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each200Point;
The content of the article is purely the author's remarks in the upcoming market（qsly1818）My personal opinion is that I do not recommend placing orders. The specific market situation is based on the intraday trend. There are risks in investing and caution is required when entering the market.
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