孙奕臣；8.17 黄金原油今日最新行情走势及策略布局

　　每天都是一个新的开始，不要带着昨天的悲伤来浪费今天的光阴，调整好心态来迎接崭新的一天！在这个市场上没有规划的投资无异于在大海上漂浮的一只小船，随时都有翻船的可能，孙奕臣认为投资并不会因为你是弱者而享受优先待遇，大浪淘沙，沉者为金，卷残风云，“剩”者为王，打有准备的仗我们才能存活下去。不要因一次盈利而忘乎所以，也不因一次失利而痛不欲生，投资看的是整体利益，不卑不亢，不急不躁，总会在市场上搏得属于自己的利润！


　　goldMessage interpretation:(8month14day)金价下跌，12Monthly goldfuturesClosing down1.05%Report1949.80dollar/盎司，本周累跌约3.9%, creating3月以来最差表现，因美债收益率上升，且美国旨在帮助遭受疫情打击的经济的刺激计划磋商陷入僵局，削弱了黄金的吸引力。继8month7日触及每盎司2075.47美元的纪录高位并在之前九周连涨后，北京时间周六(8month15day)before dawn3:30:现货黄金交投于1942美元附近，本周下跌4.6%。孙奕臣认为：黄金市场之前呈抛物线状态，因此，当你看到刺激议案磋商陷入僵局，且国债收益率略有回升时，就会出现一点回调。金价涨势可能有点太过、太快了，我们认为市场需要稍作喘息，需要盘整，这正是我们所看到的。来自世界各地的糟糕经济数据，包括令人失望的美国零售销售数据，未能帮助避险黄金。从过去走势来看，这之后往往会跟随者长期的盘整阶段。那些过早入场逢低买入的投资者可能面临挑战。由于黄金市场整体极为看多的市场情绪，以及散户投资者的投机行为等，总体而言金价还有进一步回落的空间。


Technical aspect of gold: From the perspective of the gold daily line, the gold is closing long with a cross star in the lower shadow, the daily line is closing negative, and the upper lead is extremely short, which is hindered by1950On the first line, after a strong decline, it eventually regained its lost ground but did not close positive. The intraday inertia fell and repeated, and the sentiment of long and short vying was not high, and the lowest position arrived1932Frontline and rapid rebound, blocked at yesterday's high above1966This indicates that the resistance at this point is very strong. Without breaking through the resistance at this point, it is still possible to test the low point again as the main trend is empty1865On the front line and at the daily level, a double bottom is formed, forming a periodic low point and continuing to rise. In terms of technical indicators,MACDThe green energy column of the indicator is increasing and the double line is still downward, without significant depletion,RSIThe indicator is flat, indicating that the bearish sentiment is not high. At present, the gold price has been in the lower part of the Bollinger Belt's middle track, indicating the establishment of a weak pattern that has not reversed. The pressure on the middle track is1966On the first line, after breaking through the medium track, establish a phased bottom and take advantage of the trend to be bullish. Looking at the hourly line, the Bollinger band is contracting, and the market is at the end of triangular convergence with decreasing amplitude, indicating a demand for breaking positions,5Daily moving average and10The daily moving average winds around,60The daily moving average continuously descends and passes through the Bollinger Belt to form the upper part of the track1954Short term resistance on the front line, looking at the market, there is significant downward demand1966Clear resistance is difficult to break through, and gold is likely to move downwards at that time.综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上孙奕臣建议高空为主，低多为辅。上方关注1965-1970One line of resistance, pay attention below1920-1910一线支撑。行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略，可直接添加本人指导交流微信【syc475】本人孙奕臣将尽量为您解决一切问题。


　　crude oilMarket trend analysis


　　原油消息面解读：越来越多的迹象显示原油需求复苏是支撑油价维持高位的关键因素，除了美原油库存持续下降外，有消息称美国的石油公司开始动用库存原油，而随着近期全球经济数据改善，也提振了原油需求前景。同时美元近期持续走弱也给了油价部分支撑。不过疫情的不确定性使得IEAandOPECShuangshuang has been lowered2020The outlook for annual demand, while countries such as Saudi Arabia have ended voluntary additional production reductions andOPEC+Will increase20010000 barrels/The daily production has exacerbated the difficulty of balancing supply and demand in the oil market. Considering that8month18The member countries of the Japan meeting will not make changes to the production reduction agreement, and the market is concerned about how the substandard oil producing countries led by Iraq will implement compensatory production reductions. It is reported that Iraq and Nigeria7The implementation rate of monthly compensatory production reduction is very low, but under pressure from Saudi Arabia and other countries, Iraq has promised additional production reduction4010000 barrels/Day, on8month18The Japanese government has further elaborated that the market needs to maintain attention. Overall, there have been mixed bullish and bearish factors in the near future, and unless there are clear signs of a turning point, the oil market will remain volatile.


On the technical side of crude oil: Looking at the daily crude oil level, the Bollinger Bands are slightly upward in contraction,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average runs to the right with stickiness, and the long period moving average runs with multiple heads arranged below to form support,KThe line intersects between the upper tracks in Bolin,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located above the zero axis and run smoothly,KDJThe third line shows a gentle upward trend with a narrow golden fork, and the overall performance of the daily chart market is volatile and bullish; Crude oil in38.7After the position was supported, there was a wave of rise, with the highest43.5The position was obstructed and subsequently retreated, giving rise to a percentage increase in this wave50Retreat position41.0The position stops falling, further demonstrating the willingness of crude oil bulls to rise, if the oil price holds41-41.5位置支撑，大概率油价有望出现进一步上探的概率。综合来看，今日原油短线操作思路上孙奕臣个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注43.5-44.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40.0-40.5一线支撑。行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略，可直接添加本人指导交流微信【syc475】本人孙奕臣将尽量为您解决一切问题。


　　有人说黄金投资极大考验人的心态，什么止损，控制仓位的大道理谁都懂，什么操作计划，什么风险控制，开始计划很好，但是到头来还是杂乱无章，投资犹如做人的道理一样，大道理一说谁都懂，但真正能做到的又有几人呢？这样说来似乎成功的人太少，那为什么还要去做？但是不知你有没有想过，你所经历的很多投资者也经历过包括我，谁还没在黄金投资市场交过学费呢？在这个黄金多空争夺的市场，你凭什么赚别人的钱，如果你没有比别人更努力，如果你没有别人有更好的心态，如果你没有别人更出色，你凭什么赚钱？所谓剩者为王，真正能坚持下来的，都将是市场的佼佼者，投资将是受用一生的赚钱工具。俗话说吃的苦中苦，方为人上人，天上没有掉馅饼的事，唯有坚持不懈的去学习，去完善自己，才能站在金字塔的端。“


Wen/孙奕臣
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