Zhang Jucheng;8.17黄金走势策略分析，原油解析操作建议。

Don't always think that the market has let you down. In this market, no one lives easier than anyone else. Trading is simple but charming;Often, many market trends are like this, and when you deliberately pursue them, they will run very fast;When you abandon superficial mundane thoughts, focus on executing every market trend for strategy and planning, some profits can be easily obtained. Wherever your attention is, the results are there. The more you express, the less you lack. When your mindset and execution continue to improve, money is just a gift. Attitude determines hardship and joy, concept determines success and failure, and the simpler a person is, the more peaceful their trading becomes. Many times, you would rather be killed in battle against the tide than reflect on yourself. A drop of ink can stain a glass of water, but it is difficult to muddy a river because a generous heart can accommodate it;One sentence can ruin a temporary mood, but it is difficult to determine a person's life, because fate is in one's own hands;An accident can make your footsteps heavy and difficult to erode your persistent pursuit, because you are "alive" in the market, and because you are strong, the road is ahead. Don't easily stop walking.(See contact information at the end of the article)

　　

　　goldMessage interpretation:(8month14day)金价下跌，12Monthly goldfuturesClosing down1.05%Report1949.80dollar/盎司，本周累跌约3.9%, creating3月以来最差表现，因美债收益率上升，且美国旨在帮助遭受疫情打击的经济的刺激计划磋商陷入僵局，削弱了黄金的吸引力。继8month7日触及每盎司2075.47美元的纪录高位并在之前九周连涨后，北京时间周六(8month15day)before dawn3:30:现货黄金交投于1942美元附近，本周下跌4.6%。张钜诚认为：黄金市场之前呈抛物线状态，因此，当你看到刺激议案磋商陷入僵局，且国债收益率略有回升时，就会出现一点回调。金价涨势可能有点太过、太快了，我们认为市场需要稍作喘息，需要盘整，这正是我们所看到的。来自世界各地的糟糕经济数据，包括令人失望的美国零售销售数据，未能帮助避险黄金。从过去走势来看，这之后往往会跟随者长期的盘整阶段。那些过早入场逢低买入的投资者可能面临挑战。由于黄金市场整体极为看多的市场情绪，以及散户投资者的投机行为等，总体而言金价还有进一步回落的空间。
　　
Technical aspect of gold: From the perspective of the gold daily line, the gold is closing long with a cross star in the lower shadow, the daily line is closing negative, and the upper lead is extremely short, which is hindered by1950On the first line, after a strong decline, it eventually regained its lost ground but did not close positive. The intraday inertia fell and repeated, and the sentiment of long and short vying was not high, and the lowest position arrived1932Frontline and rapid rebound, blocked at yesterday's high above1966This indicates that the resistance at this point is very strong. Without breaking through the resistance at this point, it is still possible to test the low point again as the main trend is empty1865On the front line and at the daily level, a double bottom is formed, forming a periodic low point and continuing to rise. In terms of technical indicators,MACDThe green energy column of the indicator is increasing and the double line is still downward, without significant depletion,RSIThe indicator is flat, indicating that the bearish sentiment is not high. At present, the gold price has been in the lower part of the Bollinger Belt's middle track, indicating the establishment of a weak pattern that has not reversed. The pressure on the middle track is1966On the first line, after breaking through the medium track, establish a phased bottom and take advantage of the trend to be bullish. Looking at the hourly line, the Bollinger band is contracting, and the market is at the end of triangular convergence with decreasing amplitude, indicating a demand for breaking positions,5Daily moving average and10The daily moving average winds around,60The daily moving average continuously descends and passes through the Bollinger Belt to form the upper part of the track1954Short term resistance on the front line, looking at the market, there is significant downward demand1966Clear resistance is difficult to break through, and gold is likely to move downwards at that time.综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上张钜诚建议高空为主，低多为辅。上方关注1965-1970One line of resistance, pay attention below1920-1910Frontline support.

　　

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
　　原油消息面解读：越来越多的迹象显示原油需求复苏是支撑油价维持高位的关键因素，除了美原油库存持续下降外，有消息称美国的石油公司开始动用库存原油，而随着近期全球经济数据改善，也提振了原油需求前景。同时美元近期持续走弱也给了油价部分支撑。不过疫情的不确定性使得IEAandOPECShuangshuang has been lowered2020The outlook for annual demand, while countries such as Saudi Arabia have ended voluntary additional production reductions andOPEC+Will increase20010000 barrels/The daily production has exacerbated the difficulty of balancing supply and demand in the oil market. Considering that8month18The member countries of the Japan meeting will not make changes to the production reduction agreement, and the market is concerned about how the substandard oil producing countries led by Iraq will implement compensatory production reductions. It is reported that Iraq and Nigeria7The implementation rate of monthly compensatory production reduction is very low, but under pressure from Saudi Arabia and other countries, Iraq has promised additional production reduction4010000 barrels/Day, on8month18The Japanese government has further elaborated that the market needs to maintain attention. Overall, there have been mixed bullish and bearish factors in the near future, and unless there are clear signs of a turning point, the oil market will remain volatile.
　　
On the technical side of crude oil: Looking at the daily crude oil level, the Bollinger Bands are slightly upward in contraction,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average runs to the right with stickiness, and the long period moving average runs with multiple heads arranged below to form support,KThe line intersects between the upper tracks in Bolin,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located above the zero axis and run smoothly,KDJThe third line shows a gentle upward trend with a narrow golden fork, and the overall performance of the daily chart market is volatile and bullish; Crude oil in38.7After the position was supported, there was a wave of rise, with the highest43.5The position was obstructed and subsequently retreated, giving rise to a percentage increase in this wave50Retreat position41.0The position stops falling, further demonstrating the willingness of crude oil bulls to rise, if the oil price holds41-41.5位置支撑，大概率油价有望出现进一步上探的概率。综合来看，今日原油短线操作思路上张钜诚个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注43.5-44.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40.0-40.5Frontline support.
　　This article is provided by Zhang Jucheng. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Zhang Jucheng unloads online, returns losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat:zjc8393  Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.