孙奕臣；8.16下周开盘黄金白银预测是涨是跌，原油行情走势分析

　　听了很多大道理，可依然做不好交易，学习了很多理论知识，可仍然不能游刃有余，如果我们不贪婪，我们不会被打败，如果我们不恐惧，我们将获得胜利，有时候想证明给一万个人看，但发现最后能懂的只有自己，市场的生存法则就是弱肉强食，注定有一批人将被市场所淘汰，战争不会给军人解释的机会，大浪淘沙，沉者为金，我愿和您共同前行！


　　foreign exchangegold，伦敦金消息面解析：


Friday（8month14日），美元指数维持窄幅震荡，尽管回升93.00关口上方，但整体表现相对疲软，这增强了黄金对持有其他货币投资者的吸引力。现货黄金前一交易日从近三周低点反弹约2%，收复部分失地。美元疲软，增强了黄金对持有其他货币投资者的吸引力，同时美国劳动力市场复苏缓慢，凸显出疫情造成的经济损失。目前来看，因受到对经济复苏前景的担忧、以及央行和政府暗示将对经济提供进一步支持的影响，投资者在权衡金价再创历史新高的前景。


　　国际黄金，伦敦金行情分析：


　　黄金周五（8month14日）日内围绕在1960-40Between oscillations, that is, around1950Up and down competition, according to the current daily structure, the short-term market is in a state of competition5、20Daily line1950Up and down, the direction is still very uncertain. Currently, the closing price has closed1950Below, there may be a certain degree of inertia extension and rebound in the later stage of the market, but the space is still not very large. The emphasis above is still on paying attention1970一带压力测试，黄金日线在周五大涨后高位盘整，目前徘徊在20Near the daily moving average.MACDDead cross, green kinetic energy column remains stable,KDJDead cross, random indicator decline in50附近放缓，目前有勾头向上趋势，指示黄金看跌动能可能放缓。


Gold4From the hourly chart, it can be seen that the gold price is hitting a low point1862The US dollar rebounded and its upward trend stopped at100Mean Square1966Near.MACDGolden cross, the red kinetic energy column gradually expands,KDJ金叉，随机指标持续向上触及超买水平，指示黄金看涨压力强化，短线或整固，从走势来看，黄金短线多空焦灼，走势料相对震荡。综合来看，黄金下周一短线操作思路上孙奕臣个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1955-1960Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1935-1930一线支撑。行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略，可直接添加本人指导交流微信【syc475】本人孙奕臣将尽量为您解决一切问题。


Internationalcrude oil，futures原油消息面解析


　　消息面分析；美油继续高位震荡，盘中跌破42dollar/桶，国际能源署和OPEC本周都下调了原油需求预期，同时消息称俄罗斯能源部长诺瓦克认为下周将举行的OPEC+联合部长级监督委员会会议不会修改和调整减产协议，孙奕臣这限制油价进一步上涨的空间。同时美国刺激方案陷入僵局也打击了市场的乐观情绪。8month18dayOPEC+将举行会议，届时将对油市作出评估。美国银行在报告中说，如果欧佩克+遵守减产且疫情大流行缓和，布伦特原油价格将继续上涨，远期曲线将转为现货溢价。全球石油需求稳定复苏以及美国页岩油产量暴跌也提振了市场。预计布伦特原油价格料将在2021年上半年升至60dollar/桶。此外，如果第二波疫情能够避免，市场可能会专注在新供应投资的削减。


　　期货原油，国际原油行情分析


　　技术面分析；原油日线级别日线上看，布林带缩口略微向上运行，MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average runs to the right with stickiness, and the long period moving average runs with multiple heads arranged below to form support,KThe line intersects between the upper tracks in Bolin,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located above the zero axis and run smoothly,KDJThe third line shows a gentle upward trend with a narrow golden fork, and the overall performance of the daily chart market is volatile and bullish; Crude oil in38.7After the position was supported, there was a wave of rise, with the highest43.5The position was obstructed and subsequently retreated, giving rise to a percentage increase in this wave50Retreat position41.0The position stops falling, further demonstrating the willingness of crude oil bulls to rise, if the oil price holds41-41.5位置支撑，大概率油价有望出现进一步上探的概率。综合分析下周一操作上孙奕臣建议以回调做多为主，上方关注43.2-43.7One line of resistance, pay attention below41-41.5一线支撑。行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略，可直接添加本人指导交流微信【syc475】本人孙奕臣将尽量为您解决一切问题。


　　中国有句古话叫"Teaching people to fish is better than teaching them to fish"，说的是传授给人以知识，不如传授给人学习知识的方法。道理其实很简单，鱼是目的，钓鱼是手段，一条鱼能解一时之饥，却不能解长久之饥，如果想永远有鱼吃，那就要学会钓鱼的方法。同样的道理，在炒黄金的投资中是一样的！


Wen/孙奕臣
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