Changkong Hunting for Gold:8.13原油构筑双底看43美金破位，黄金过山车反弹谨慎开空

Changkong Hunting for Gold：crude oil构筑双底看43美金破位，gold过山车反弹谨慎开空

技术分析是一项交易的辅助手段，它是判别趋势和衡量时机的一种“定量化”的工具。任何的技术指标都有其各自的缺陷和局限性，比如MACD对震荡走势的盲区、KDJ对轧空单边式钝化的盲区、宝塔线对顶底的盲区、均线的压力支撑是否有效调整到位的盲区、换手率对吸货出货无法辨别的盲区等等。投资者只有深入了解技术分析，才能将其娴熟地运用到交易中。

Market Fundamentals

继周二创下7年最大单日跌幅后，周三，金市上演了极诡异的“多空双杀”行情。
周三亚盘，现货黄金一度连下四道关口，跌破1870美元，最低至1862.64dollar/盎司。盘中，现货黄金突然急剧回升，较日低大涨近80The US dollar, once approaching1950美元。期间出现多次短线暴拉、急挫行情，在1930关口附近来回拉锯。在美盘尾金价再度急跌，最终仅小幅收涨。

油市方面，受风险情绪提振，两油持续走高，美油突破42美元，日内一度涨超3%，WTIcrude oil9monthfutures创下了3月以来最高收盘价；布油也成功站稳在45美元上方，日内涨近2%。

US crude oil09

原油继续维持横盘整理，上方43美金依然是强压力位，下方也是运行在42美金上方，昨晚EIA库存数据对原油并没有形成突破行情，上方压力位依然在43一线，关注此位置突破情况，早盘回落先多，至43美金后不破再空。

原油区间震荡的够久了，43美金压力始终不破，下方41.5支撑依然强劲，若行情没有走出区间，原油还要震荡一会，在EIA、欧佩克相继公布了月度报告后，今日IEA月报也将会出炉。近期油价反弹很大程度上受到风险情绪驱动，即使IEA月报中透露悲观信号，对油价的打压可能也只是暂时性的。

日线上原油整体收阳，昨日再次测试43美金不破，日内继续关注上轨压力位43一线，此位置不破继续开空，从2小时上看布林带下轨强支撑就是近期来的支撑位41.5，中轨支撑位42.2，早盘先依托此位置开多，看涨43Around the US dollar.

今日早盘原油操作思路：
beautifulcrude oil42.2Multiple, stop loss41.7, Objective43.0Nearby, breakthrough43.0多单持有，不破反手再空。

Disclaimer: Investment carries risks, entering the marketneedBe cautious; The above is purely personal opinion and is for reference only; According to this operation, profit or loss will be borne by oneself


Beautiful Gold12

黄金昨日上演刺激的过山车行情，并且形成V型反转形态，昨日黄金多空都收获了不好利润，可谓是多空双杀，多头反弹形态还未结束，日内继续先看涨，回落1940一线先多。

黄金昨日跌破1990后行情形成V型反转，深夜再次跌至1920Near, under pressure above1960，黄金依然是运行在1900上方，早盘开盘下跌低位再次反弹，上方关注第一压力位1960，第二压力位看1970，行情没反弹到此区间位，不要轻易开空。

当前支撑黄金牛市的基本面因素并没有消失。夏季以来的金价上涨是受利率下跌、通胀预期稳步上升和美元下跌等因素的共同推动。目前来看，尽管实际利率触底反弹，但它依然处于历史低位。虽然黄金牛市格局可能没有变化，但短期内，围绕着疫苗的消息、财政刺激谈判进展、美元美债的波动等因素，黄金走势还存在很大的不确定性。今晚，美国将公布至8month8日当周初请失业金人数。若今晚报告显示失业人数大幅增加，美国政府的财政压力也就随之增大，对美元不利，那么对黄金将会起到一个促进作用。

今日早盘黄金Operational ideas:
Beautiful Gold1940Multiple, stop loss1930, Objective1955-1960。

Disclaimer: Investment carries risks, entering the marketneedBe cautious; The above is purely personal opinion and is for reference only; According to this operation, profit or loss will be borne by oneself

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