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美东时间周四,futures黄金收涨近1%,再创收盘历史新高。截止收盘,纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场交投最活跃的12Monthly gold futures price6Daily increase compared to the previous trading day20.1US dollars, closing at per ounce2069.4USD, up by0.98%。9月交割的白银期货价格上涨1.51US dollars, closing at per ounce28.4USD, up by5.62%。近期黄金的走势的确已偏离了技术分析的可行范畴,不乏交易员开始趋于谨慎。交易员普遍认为,黄金价格上冲模式已不在可使用数据预测的状态。
从美元指数和十年期国债收益率的水平来看,如果美元指数达到90且实际利率为-2%,预计黄金将涨至2500dollar/盎司。若美元指数为85且实际利率为-1.75%,或者美元指数为80且实际利率为-1.5%,对金价的预期也是2500dollar/ounce.
在最新的一次报告中,加拿大皇家银行称,今年以来,黄金比以往任何时候都更受欢迎,因其天然的避险属性,投资者们一时纷纷涌向黄金,从而使贵金属在今年夏天达到了前所未有的价格。 Technical aspects of Meijin:
日图布林带开口上行,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈金叉缓和朝上运行,K线于布林上轨一线交投于MA5Near the moving average,MACD快慢线交金叉继续上行红色动能表现充足,KDJ三线呈金叉继续向上发散,金价整体还是位于多头趋势内;4小时图上,布林带三轨朝上运行,均线呈多头排列向上发散,K线交投于布林中上轨之间MA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线交金叉良好上行红色动能有所放缓,KDJ三线初交金叉向上运行,金价短线还有进一步上行势能,日内操作上建议低多为主。上方初步阻力在2095Nearby, the resistance in the next step is2110; Preliminary support below2068Further support on2050; Daily trading strategy(12Contract):
1Above2095-2110Short selling nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each300Point;
2Below2068-2050Short term long trading nearby, stop loss each10US dollars, stop earning each200Point;
The content of the article is purely the author's remarks in the upcoming market(qsly1818)My personal opinion is that I do not recommend placing orders. The specific market situation is based on the intraday trend. There are risks in investing and caution is required when entering the market. writing/Market comments