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一涨一跌引动市场风云,一阴一阳带起波澜壮阔,股市,汇市,gold,crude oilThe fate of the market is controlled by such a smallKIn the line graph, how many people are ecstatic or sad about its ups and downs, ups and downs? People outside the circle will never understand why such a small ghost like talisman is so magical, making people touch it like a drug and never want to give it up again. Because of its uncertainty, one yin and one yang are arranged randomly, and one rise and one fall are wayward. It is impossible to perfectly control every trend because of its imperfections, The bullish and bearish trend keeps shuttling, with one party happy and the other worried. After singing from multiple parties, the bearish side appears, presenting a variety of highlights. Perhaps this is why we are attracted by it and willing to put in effort for it. Even if we cannot obtain the desired profit, we are unwilling to give up or give up, right?
Returning to the original intention, you are only struggling in the market for a profit, but I am diligent in my work before the market because of a "fate". With fate, we can meet each other, but without fate, we can travel far and wide. If you travel thousands of miles, I will send you off, and if you come to my side, I will help you. The market profit is very high, and I am willing to do my best to score nine points for you alone. My strength gives me this confidence. Qinghai Changyun is a dark snow mountain, and if you don't break through Loulan, you will never return. June has already begun, and opportunities are fleeting. Let's take a look at today's trading strategy first
Interpretation of the latest gold market:
消息面分析:投资者关注美国刺激措施谈判以及定于周五公布的非农就业数据;随着债券实际收益率跌至负值,美元走软以及全球经济的不确定性,黄金价格再创历史新高至2069.78dollar/盎司;受投资和工业需求推动,现货白银大涨7%Breakthrough29dollar/盎司。油价小幅下跌,结束了此前连续四日上涨的行情,燃料需求低迷仍令投资者感到担忧。与此同时,黄金ETF资金持续流入的时间追平一年多以来的纪录。受投资和工业需求推动,现货白银盘中大涨7%, creating2013year3New high since the beginning of the month29.08dollar/盎司。由于债券实际收益率跌至负值,美元走软以及全球经济的不确定性,今年金价大涨了36%。市场观察人士预计,各国政府和央行进一步推出刺激措施将使债券收益率保持低位,并使金价保持高位。黄金的避险地位促使ETF投资者大量涌入,截至周三,资金持续流入的时间追平2019year1月以来的最长纪录。全球黄金ETF的持仓量自10月创下历史纪录以来,又增长了超过30%。梁乾东认为,随着需求激增,金价继续飞涨,ETF黄金需求达到历史最高水平后,金价的主要动力来自投资领域。
技术面分析:从盘面形态上来看,日线连阳走高低点及高点逐步上移,均线勾头向上布林带呈现开口向上状态多头格局。当然任何形态的延伸过程中都伴随着修正动作,特别是在当前行情较大波幅的情况下在修正幅度上力度也不会太小,即布局上主多的同时要去留意修正时间和放量时间点的转换。黄金在新一轮攀升中参考顶底转换位置作为分界支撑,每一次的加速冲刺都会有回踩借力的动作,回踩空间15-20Around the US dollar, it then rose to break through the high before charging in large quantities, while after breaking through the top and bottom conversion, it first turned into a correction for volatility, and then entered a sideways decision, breaking through the limit to release volume. In summary, gold volume rose above a new high before the US market last night, and then fell back and corrected to2050关口附近再反弹冲击破位新高,那么根据我们上面所讲的,黄金每一次的上涨破位都会伴随着回落修正,所以综合分析操作思路上梁乾东个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方关注2080-2085One line of resistance, pay attention below2050-2055Frontline support.
Interpretation of the latest crude oil market:
消息面分析:各国乐观的服务业PMI数据提振了市场对原油需求复苏的信心。美国7monthISMNon manufacturingPMIRecorded58.1, creating2019year2月以来新高;美国7monthMarkitService industryPMIFinal value recorded50,重回50荣枯线上方并创下今年1月以来的新高;英国7Monthly service industryPMIcreate2015year7月以来新高,欧元区7Monthly service industryPMI终值也创2018year9月以来新高。另外,美国上周EIA库存大减也支撑油价。EIA报告显示,美国上周原油库存大减737.3万桶,降幅远超市场预期的减少310万桶。此前API库存也录得大减860Ten thousand barrels.EIA报告分项数据显示,美国从沙特进口的原油量降至1910000 barrels/Day, last year11月以来最低水平,也是历史第二低水平。
技术面分析:原油日线收盘倒锤头线,高点破前高,低点没有破前低,出现出头走势,但是尾盘没有守住高价出现回落,进一步表明了油价多头不够坚决。布林带开口向右,出现走平迹象。均线系统运行在油价下方形成支撑,日线级别出现了四连阳,多头趋势线出现向上形成金叉延续迹象,整体表现了区间震荡中。如图所示,原油在触及38.717美元位置后出现了一波上涨给到41.210美元,随后调整后再次出现了上涨,最高给到了43.470美元,进一步接近了前期跳空缺口位置,完成了一波上涨三浪格局,若今日回踩不出现加速大概率将出现上涨的五浪概率。就油价下行支撑位首先关注41.9位置,然后是41.4美元支撑。综合来看梁乾东认为,今日操作上考虑回撤布局多单为主,上方关注43.5-44.2USD resistance, follow below41.9-41.4USD support.
Qian Dong's message: For friends who want to learn about spot knowledge, I strongly agree. I personally believe that investment friends should improve their abilities during the investment process, use their technical knowledge to analyze and operate, and enjoy it, falling in love with this investment rather than fear. Fear is due to lack of strength and judgment. I quite admire those who gradually learn and master commonly used technical indicators (moving averagesMACD、KDJCombining fundamentals to analyze market trends and specific operating points, gradually improving one's comprehensive analysis ability and exercising one's mentality. Gradually grow up, after all, investing is a long-term process. So I, Liang Qiandong, and my investment friends also follow this principle: teaching fish is better than teaching it to fish. I will teach you to start from the most basic.
本文由梁乾东供稿,本人解读世界经济要闻,解析全球大众商品、贵金属、现货黄金、futures原油等投资大趋势,对黄金、原油、foreign exchange有深入的研究,由于网络推送延迟性,以上内容属于个人建议,因网络发文有时效性,仅供参考,风险自担,转载请注明出处。 |
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