8.6黄金行情预测；现货黄金原油开盘趋势指导建议及走势分析

　　现货金鑫【文章摘要】8.6Investment Internationalgoldcrude oilHow to analyze the market situation?8.6What do you think of gold and crude oil being bullish today?2020.8.6How to recover losses from investing in spot gold?8.6How to operate gold and crude oil in the short term? What are the current gold resistance and support levels?8.6How should beginners make orders when investing in gold and crude oil? Will London gold prices continue to rise today? Will crude oil continue to decline?8.6What recent news will affect the trend of gold and crude oil? What is the impact of the rise and fall of the US dollar on gold?8.6Analysis of today's market trend of gold and crude oil and operational suggestions8.6Will spot gold continue to rise today? Will US crude oil continue to decline? How to operate international gold and crude oil today?8.6Why do you always set orders in your operations? How to solve the problem of gold and crude oil being set orders.Set? How to prevent warehouse explosions?

Gold Message:

Wednesday(8month5day)纽市盘，金价在2000美元上方再创新高，现货黄金一度涨1.81%, refresh historical highs to2055.78dollar/盎司；现货白银也大涨4.3%To per ounce27.138USD, for2013year4月以来最高；因美元走软和美债收益率下降促使投资者囤积贵金属。对于勇往无前的黄金多头而言，在这个除了高风险以外避险资产稀缺的世界，债券市场有数万亿美元正蓄势待发，准备扑向黄金，这或进一步助推金价。美国围绕一项新冠救援计划的磋商陷入僵局，导致美元走软。美元与黄金竞争避险地位。美元贬值也使黄金对持有其他货币买家来说更便宜。现货白银也大涨，盘中一度攀升4.3%To per ounce27.138USD, for2013year4月以来最高，今年迄今已飙升50%，升幅甚至超过了黄金。Melek说，白银上涨有三个因素，像黄金一样作为货币资产，随着从经济新冠危机中复苏和刺激举措，工业需求改善，以及供应方面的问题。

　　投资者担心，为应对疫情而出台的经济刺激措施，将引发通胀，导致其它资产贬值。美国国债的实际回报率已经大幅下降，使得无收益黄金更具吸引力。经通胀因素调整后的美国10年期国债收益率从年初的约0.1%Reduce to negative1.06%。理论上，在实际收益率创纪录低点、货币市场存在风险的情况下，资产配置者会准备开始抛弃部分政府债券。鉴于固定收益市场的规模，将金价推至新高是轻而易举的。金鑫看来，随着各国政府和中央银行通过大量刺激措施应对经济增长放缓，金价有望扩大涨幅。美元疲软以及漫长的经济复苏导致黄金吸引力增加。未来金价甚至会上涨至2300USD.

　　黄金技术面：黄金昨天是一个过山车的行情，从2055Directly fall all the way down to2030On the front line, a wave of pullback has caused many investment friends a headache, as many gold trading institutions have bought a large number of short orders and smashed the market5Billion US dollars, harvested a portion of leeks, analyzed from a technical perspective, gold4Breaking through the sorting interval during the hour1982-1985The high point forms a continuous positive release,MACDRaise the golden fork again. Short lineKThe line structure and indicators are still rising again. The short-term moving average forms a critical point for unilateral bulls.

　　4Hours do not close on10Below the unit moving average, it will continue to rise slowly in the short term.1Hour chart and30Due to the continuous surge of the minute chart,KD指标超买。短线或许会伴随回调修正。金鑫预计亚盘冲高后会形成停顿高位或者回落修正过渡至欧盘。美盘再惯性的走法。故亚盘高位依旧不追多，先择高位短线看空一波。回落启稳后再决定是否反手多，如若是直接快速下跌。则要避开高位急速扫单下挫行情。综合来看，黄金今日操作思路上现货金鑫个人建议回调做多为主，关注上方阻力2058-2060One line of resistance, pay attention below2028-2030Frontline support.

Gold Callback2028-2030Long nearby, stop loss5Points, target2045-2050Nearby, break down and take a look2055frontline;

Crude Oil Message:

Wednesday(8month5day)New York intraday, Beijing time22:30, USAEIAAccording to the published data, as of7month31日当周美国除却战略储备的商业原油库存降幅远超预期，但不及API预期，精炼油库存和汽油库存超预期。EIA数据公布后美国原油价格短线基本持稳于五个月高位。具体数据显示，美国截至7month31Day and WeekEIA原油库存变动实际公布减少737.30Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease230.9Ten thousand barrels, previous value decreased1061.1万桶。此外，美国截至7month31Day and WeekEIA汽油库存实际公布增加41.90Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease53.4Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value65.4Ten thousand barrels; As of7month31Day and WeekEIA精炼油库存实际公布增加159.10Ten thousand barrels, expected increase46.5Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value50.3万桶。美国上周原油出口减少39.210000 barrels/Solstice281.910000 barrels/日。上周美国国内原油产量减少1010000 barrels to110010000 barrels/日。美国从沙特进口的原油量降至1910000 barrels/Day, last year11月以来最低水平。美国原油产品四周平均供应量为1828.510000 barrels/Day, decreased compared to the same period last year13.5%。除却战略储备的商业原油上周进口60110000 barrels/Day, increased from the previous week86.410000 barrels/日。除却战略储备的商业原油库存减少737.310000 barrels to5.186100 million barrels, decrease1.4%。美国原油出口连续3周录得增长后本周录得下滑。美国国内原油产量创6month19Day and Week（7周）以来新低。美国俄克拉荷马州库欣原油库存变化值连续5周录得增长。美国精炼油库存变化值连续3周录得增长。美国EIA汽油库存连续2周录得增加。

Technical aspects of crude oil:

Looking at the daily crude oil lineK线昨日在EIA利多的推波助澜下打破40/41/42的区间横盘走势；触及上方43.50一线受阻日K以一根实体光脚阳线收；目前盘面来看5Daily moving average and10The daily moving average stabilizes at41.0短线双线平行上探。打破了之前横盘多空无力的状态。MACD来看双线交叉有上调迹象绿色能量柱震荡走完有转阳迹象四小时线来看K线冲高回落至42.0后筑底小幅反弹上涨；MA5AndMA10均线企稳于41.0后直线一路走高；呈现出的多头走势十分强势有力；技术面来看KDAndKDJ承压回落至80轴再度形成死叉下扬；RSI均线高位85轴承压形成超卖信号回调至55轴附近三线平行走势。从盘面来看原油呈现多弱多走势上方空间有限；日内操作金鑫建议高空低多为主。上方短期重点关注43.0-43.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below41.5-41.3Frontline support.

　　行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略，可直接添加本人一对一指导交流VX【xhjx226】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.VX工种浩：现货金鑫

Suggestions for crude oil operation:

　　1Suggestions41.5Frontline multiple entry, stop loss41.0frontline; Stop surplus43.0frontline;

　　2Suggestions43.5First line non breaking orders enter the market, stop loss44frontline; Stop surplus41.0frontline;

　　金鑫寄语：

　　多空的快速转换，总是让人措手不及，方向的转换往往只在那一瞬之间，多少人冒着风险成为了市场的炮灰。每一笔交易都是心中多空抗衡后的结果，入场前对于市场而言，多空似乎都有理有据，只是每个人看待问题的角度不同而已，而决定自己入场方向的理由需要首先说服自己，同时入场前首要考虑的应该是自己能够承受的风险而非利润，关键点位一旦失守需要果断离场斩断亏损的魄力！能接受亏损才能享受利润！这条路上心态很重要，失败并不可怕，可怕的是你不愿意总结，如果你始终是一成不变，那你才是真正的失败！不管你现在处于什么样的状态，金鑫老师都希望这些文字能给你带来一丝丝的帮助！如果你在投资路上遇到了困扰；找不到方向；长期处在亏损中，或许可以和我谈谈。能不能合作暂且不谈，能够解开你的心结，这才是最重要的。

　　本文作者为现货金鑫。（xhjx226）