Chen Zhaoxi;8.5Suggestions for spot gold operation8.5白银原油期货行情走势分析

　　交易的过程是一个博弈的过程，长远而言，对博弈结果影响最大的不是资金大小、不是消息的多少甚至不是技术的高低，而是在确知自己心性特征前提下对群体心理的感悟、顺应和利用，商品是有其内在价值的，但由于未来的不确定性，外界的政策调整、时局变迁等市场外在环境就甚至能够在人们心中衍生出种种猜测、幻想和期盼，这些群体心理和市场思潮的波动在不断地、周期性地构造着市场的峰谷浪尖。于是，我们看到的是旖旎的自然景色、斑斓的社会风云和起伏的交易市场。




Spotgold，伦敦金，黄金走势分析【添加陈召锡本人指导微信；1014611571】可获取每日crude oil操作建议，黄金市场，黄金每日分析，最新策略、




Analysis of the trend of gold market;




　　消息面分析；随着股市情绪仍乐观、疫情持续反弹、央行维持宽松政策、美国两党继续磋商下一份经济纾困、中美地缘紧张不褪，交织的市场情绪继续左右金融市场资产走势。金价7月迎来无比辉煌的时刻，在极度超买的情形下，屡刷历史新高，多头8月首个交易日进一步追涨，一度攻至1984.66水平。在这样强烈的攻势下，过于延展的头寸之后展开调整，使得多空处于较高的交投区间内徘徊不前。尽管利涨金价的基本面背景仍一一可数，对于黄金后市是否很快攻上2000的质疑，却随着金价攻势的嘎然而止浮现出来。

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　　技术面分析；黄金成功突破该位置并牢固地站在2000关口，再次创出历史新高，截止发稿升至2026的最高价，并在金价高位盘整后最终突破该位置。从黄金的技术指标来看：KDJ的超买区域再次形成了金叉，随机指标向上偏离，MACD金叉向上，红色能量柱稳定，并且移动平均线在多头位置排列。1990of5天移动平均线为金价提供了良好的支撑。布林带向上打开，表明黄金涨势进一步加强，预计涨势将继续。目前尚无阻力。同时，要警惕高价抛售所带来的风险。总体而言，陈召锡建议黄金应调整并看涨。召锡认为从4小时来看：黄金震荡破位并上升，黄金突破布林带上限并强势上涨。仍然是一种看涨模式。从技术指标来看：KDJThe golden cross is upward, and the random index diverges upwards,MACD低位结成金叉，红色能量柱开始增加体积，移动平均线开始与较高多头并排，黄金的长期支持看涨。这表明黄金的涨势得到加强，并且有望继续上升。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议低位做多为主；上方关注2040-2045One line of resistance, pay attention below1990-1985Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




Analysis of the trend of crude oil market;




　　消息面分析；原油产量上升也令油价处于不利地位。OPECstay7月增加供应量，海湾国家结束了额外减产。机构综合各国官员、船舶跟踪数据及JBC能源等咨询机构的数据估计出，OPEC 7月产量增加约9010000 barrels/Solstice234310000 barrels/day;at presentOPEC及其合作伙伴正继续按照协议控制产量以应对需求下滑的不利影响;尽管沙特7Monthly increase9210000 barrels/日，但平均产量仍低于协议中84510000 barrels/日的产量上限;与此同时，包括伊拉克与尼日利亚没有展现出同等的自律，在履行减产方面未取得进展，也未落实承诺的弥补性额外减产。同时，OPEC+同意自5月起每日减产970万桶后，将从8Month to12月将减产规模削减至770Ten thousand barrels.




　　技术面分析；原油周线继续以高位十字KReporting and daily support40The pass presents an interaction of yin and yang, with the highest penetration during the week42.5The first line is under pressure and falls back, and the lower part is stepped down and explored3日均线企稳强势回升，陈召锡认为由于底部回升后指标还未完全拐头向上，使得周线处于中性位置中震荡蓄势，日图则延续星KLine consolidation, after breaking through the interval, returns to interval consolidation, and Blindo is tightly closing down. At the beginning of this week, it still saw narrow fluctuations within the interval. From a technical perspective39The support signal near the checkpoint is obvious, and there has been no effective breakthrough in both short and long periods. However, at present, the daily level major cycle is still in a fluctuating upward rhythm, with the moving average sticking high and paying attention below the short term39.0Regional support strength, this position is in the early stage4Support area at the neck line of the hour, while touching from above42.3-42.5区域出现明显承压信号，看震荡回落，短线延续高位震荡格局节奏是关键，重点看当日的震荡波幅。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议反弹高空低多操作即可。上方42.5-42.7One line of resistance, pay attention below39-39.2Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




　　陈召锡投资个人心得




Good fund management is the foundation for maintaining a stable trading mindset. Investors holding large positions are like pedestrians with heavy burdens on their shoulders, and a slight obstacle on the road is enough to make them fall. The fundamental reason is that his holdings have become a burden for him, exceeding his ability to bear it. So, why do investors engage in transactions beyond their ability?是因为获利的欲望令其不能正确的评判自己，他已经陷入利润的陷阱之中。在利润光环的诱惑下，他已看不见亏损的陷阱。亏损的陷阱一般都在暗处，而利润却光芒万丈，当投资者大持仓进场后他就会立即发现到处充满亏损的陷阱，进场前的良好愿望瞬间被市场的波动所击碎，他会发现市场远不是他想象的那样顺，此时，获利的欲望已经成为他的灾难，大量的持仓已经成为巨额负担，资金管理不当造成的心态问题开始暴露。资金管理仅仅是保持良好交易心态的基础，但远不是全部。召锡认为保持好的交易心态的关键是正确理解亏损，这才是最关键的。



Wen/Chen Zhaoxi