Guo Zhe Letter:8.5黄金走势分析，黄金为什么暴涨？空单怎么办？

　　Guo Zhe Letter:8.5gold走势分析，黄金为什么暴涨？空单怎么办？


　　对于昨日的大涨来说，完完全全就是一波突发行情，黄金遭遇巨额砸盘，二分钟内成交量达到4292手，总价值8.5亿美元，从而导致黄金拉升，当然，这也与消息面分不开一定的联系，昨日美参议院民主党表示刺激方案处于正确的方向，并自称对达成一致持有信心，并暗示有望通过并逆转了停发福利金的预期，这也意味着财政部需要筹集数万亿美元，这也给黄金带来了不小的支撑，在加上目前中/美局势存在进一步升级的风险，也使得黄金获得不小的避险提振，至于午夜那波大涨而言，也是因黄金首次破位2000大关，所迎来的避险买盘，因为一旦破位2000，就代表上涨空间打开，这也是昨日为何如此大涨的原因。
　　


Tuesday(8month4day)In the New York market, spot gold rose by more than30US dollar, reaching a historic high2009.48dollar/Ounces, spot silver up close7%, refreshing the highest point in the past week to25.977dollar/盎司；随着美国国债收益率创历史新低，负收益率债券开始在全球范围内蔓延。这一情况刺激了贵金属的投资需求；此外也得益于市场对美国国会刺激法案谈判取得进展的预期升高，如果刺激法案达成，可能进一步增加流动性，压低利率水平。
　　
　　最近，有关美联储将持续多年维持利率不变的预期是影响债券收益率的最大因素，尽管债券供应充足，美债收益率周二再次全线下跌，五年期国债收益率跌至0.2％以下，再创历史新低。根据芝加哥的futures业务员透露，国债上涨的因素包括一些亚洲央行，以及想要购买非对冲美国国债的日本投资者的需求，其认为，这种买盘将在下周把收益率推至更低水平
　　
Analysis of International Gold Price:
　　
　　黄金成功破位并站稳2000Pass, once again reaching a new historical high, reaching the highest point in history2022美元附近，黄金高位盘整后最终还是破位。黄金从技术指标来看：KDJ再超买区再次结成金叉，随机指标向上发散，MACDThe golden cross is upward, the red energy column is stable, and the moving average is arranged in a long head,5日均线给金价提供良好的支撑，布林带开口向上，指示黄金涨势得到进一步强化，接下来有望延续涨势，上方目前没有阻力。同时也谨防高位抛盘带来的风险，郭哲函整体来看黄金建议回调做多看涨为主。
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From the perspective of four hours of gold, it shows that the price has fluctuated and risen, breaking the Bollinger band and breaking the high fluctuation range. Currently, it is still a bullish form, and from the perspective of technical indicators:KDJThe golden cross is upward, and the random index diverges upwards,MACDAfter the dead cross, it forms a golden cross, and the red energy column begins to measure. The moving average also starts to align towards the upper bullish and provide short-term support for gold. Indicating that the upward trend of gold has been strengthened, and it is expected to continue to rise in the future. Pay attention to the short-term resistance line above2030One line, long line resistance2500Gateway. Supported below5Daily moving average1992First line, second line1980一线；操作思路上郭哲函认为非常简单，黄金建议回调支撑位去做多。为什么高位不追多？因为高位追对谨防回落带来触顶的风险。
　　
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　　以上是郭哲函独家撰写，郭哲函，各大财经平台特约撰稿人，精英分析师团队技术总监，指导微信：gzh2345Full guidance time: early6：00——In the early morning of the next day2：00