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| Life is always about making choices and waiting for results. The road cannot always be smooth, there will always be obstacles, mediocrity is not the goal that everyone pursues. The investment market is also the same, it cannot be smooth sailing, and windfall profits are everyone's dream, but there are always various temptations and traps along the way. Accustomed to unilateral behavior, one is always stifled by shocks and washes, which is the law of the market. In the face of life, we are making choices. We can't make a detour, we can't make a river, we always have to resort to other methods. And the market, too, should not blindly pursue operation. Some markets may see profits, but they may not necessarily be able to earn profits. |
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| Tuesday8month4日,国际金价在纪录高点1988.40dollar/盎司下方附近持稳,新冠病例增加殃及全球经济的担忧抵消了美国经济数据激发的冒险意愿。世卫组织警告称,也许永远不会有一款完美的疫苗成为应对新冠肺炎的“灵丹妙药”。美国7monthISMmanufacturingPMI好于预期,创2019year3月以来新高。美国民主党国会领袖及白宫协商官员周一表示,他们就疫情救济新法案的谈判已取得进展。全球各国央行和政府已经采取了一系列措施,以减轻新冠肺炎大流行所造成的经济损失。由此引发的通胀和货币贬值预期,帮助黄金自年初以来累计暴涨逾30%。郭禹缘认为新冠问题将会伴随我们一段时间。看来全球经济在很长一段时间内都将非常脆弱。他们(经济体)将需要刺激措施、货币宽松以及降息来缓冲冲击。这些都利好黄金。 |

| Gold from4Hour chart and3小时图中,依然处于空中格斗格局当中,3小时图中轨线支撑处在1960,4小图上方区间压力1984,下方强支撑在1950。亚欧盘运行在3小时图中轨上方,目前依然处于强势整理阶段,亚欧盘操作性窄幅区间波动在7/8美元之间。美盘重点关注1984/1960区间震荡。周内强大支撑依然考验1950周线布林线中轨线接地气位。短线重点考虑1984/1960高空低多区间捕捉利润扩大点,上下各设止5/6个点,此处参与收获定有颇丰。 |
| Tuesday(8month4The price of crude oil in Shanghai fell. Main contract2009To281.3element/Bucket closing, down0.6Yuan, with a decrease of0.21%。随着新冠病例攀升,全球已知感染人数接近1800万,投资者继续担心经济复苏。更多的国家正在实施新的限制或扩大现有的限制措施,以努力控制疫情。供应过剩的前景也令油价承压,因OPEC及其包括俄罗斯在内的盟友准备降低减产规模,而美国页岩油产量开始增加。郭禹缘认为,由于疲弱的需求可能与不断上升的产量交织在一起,供应可能再度上升至纪录高位。当前,全球多国疫情前景仍然充满不确定性,但疫苗与新疗法的相关进展消息又不断予以投资者信心,同时市场的目光因此先行投向了美国库存数据,由此透露出的供需平衡新格局,将在一定程度上指引行情的下一步走向。 |
| 原油此前在高位盘整,上周跌破上涨趋势线的支撑,多空转换,现在支撑变压力,而趋势线的延伸压力位置就是在41附近,所以昨日行情虽然强势反弹,但是依然止步于此,而且上方也是受到此前高点连线依次降低,趋势线压制位置交合与41区域内。而且此前原油位置40.5-41.5区域内震荡,41上方也是压力集中区。 |
| 今日原油将依托此压力区域做空,反弹不是反转,仅仅是下跌前的诱多拉升,今日我们还是维持高空策略不变,反弹41.0区域附近后直接空,下方先看39.6位置的支撑,破位基本上可以确定跌势开启,加仓即可。综合来看,今日操作短线思路上郭禹缘个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调低多为主,上方短期重点关注41.2-42.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below39.5-39.0Frontline support. |
| 原油操作思路:原油41.0Short selling, protection41.6, Objective40.0-39.6 |
| 1They value "abundance" and "opportunity" |
| How to quickly lose your own funds? It's simple, trade with a desire mentality. "Desire" refers to your wholehearted desire to make a profit, and your wholehearted desire to make a quick profit. The more so, the harder it is for you to satisfy the transaction. Traders, on the contrary, trade with a mindset of "abundance". When the goal is no longer focused on money, their vision becomes broader, they can see more opportunities and imagine infinite possibilities. Let me give you some advice: "I'll wait until the profit opportunity is right in front of me, and I'll go pick it up. At the same time, I'm not doing anything. The person who lost money said, 'I just lost a sum, and now I have to do something to get it back. No, what they should do is just wait quietly for new opportunities to appear.'" |
| 2They value their performance in the market |
| 成功交易者和亏损交易者之间一个显著的区别是,前者总是在乎自己在市场中的表现如何,而后者更在乎自己的资金增长情况如何。当你想要提升自己的表现时,你会关注到更多关于交易、市场等方面,你发现自己需要改掉某些不良习惯,需要提升一些技巧。这些恰好也都是长期资金增长所必需的。作为成功交易者的目标,是做最好的交易者,把机缘心态放在第一。资金只排第二位。 |
| 3Valuing oneself and possessing skills |
| Self doubt only helps when doing anything. I know many traders have a habit of self doubt, such as being afraid to trade even when they notice a good signal (opportunity). They lack confidence in their trading abilities, which may be because they are not yet clear about their trading advantages. Overconfidence in trading can also cause significant harm. The confidence of a trader is to have confidence in oneself and one's own abilities, to not hesitate or doubt the courage to take action when encountering good opportunities. You must have collaborated with top traders and senior analysts who have conducted extensive market research from the beginning, and have been involved in blending and refining their trading methods. They constantly rehearse their thinking until they are confident that they can achieve their goals. At this point, you have both confidence and the necessary foundation to succeed. What traders think is half of your homework. And the other half of the homework is to study their behavior patterns in the market. Perhaps you all know their common characteristics mentioned below, but have you truly achieved them? |
| 4As true traders, they trade less than you do |
| Many successful traders like to use daily charts, waiting for the candlestick chart to form at the end of the day before judging market trends. There are not many high profit opportunities for you to trade in the market every day or every week. People who trade too much and cannot control risk are not suitable for intraday trading, as they are too prone to making wrong decisions. Waiting for departure; We should all remember: "One of the best rules about investing is to do nothing unless an opportunity arises. It's not that I'm better than most people, but that most people always want to do something. When they make a profit, they promote: Look, I'm so smart, my funds have tripled! These people will then do something else, they just can't sit quietly and wait for the next opportunity to come.". There are many such traders in the market! |
| 5Traders have cautious risk management |
| Controlling the size of a position is one of the key points for successful trading. Reasonable position management will have a positive impact on your trading mindset. The risk of each transaction is controlled within a certain range, and you know that even losses can be tolerated. This state can allow you to trade for a longer period of time without easily falling into "longing" and "despair". I always think about how much trading may lose, rather than how much profit it will make. Don't focus too much on profits, focus on how to protect your current funds. Do you often have to close your eyes and think about whether you have reached the trading state you want? Has stable profits, follows trading plans, and each transaction risk is within an acceptable range. In real trading, every time you look at a chart, you constantly recall these shots and imagine yourself as a successful trader in the eyes of the public. How would you trade now. The way of thinking will guide your behavior, then change your behavior, continuously improve your management and judgment abilities, and improve your logical awareness with half the effort! |
| 本文由郭禹缘官方指导热线:gyy7819分析师独家原创,本人一直热衷于黄金、原油市场,由于网络推送延迟性,以上内容属于个人建议,因网络发文有时效性,仅供参考,风险自担,转载请注明出处 |
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