Zhang Jucheng;8.4黄金走势分析，原油操作建议。

　　行情总是在不经意间来临，而机会却总在恍惚中错过。行情天天有，你不一定能抓住每一波利润；机会不常有，但抓住一次就足够。把握眼前，你离成功就已不远。我有一语可辩市场形势，我有一计可解你tao单之急，我有一策可助你轻松盈利，我有一法可让你远离tao单亏损。就问你一句，被套的单子现在还要不要出局？想在心中，做在行动，你想要翻倍，想要回本，现在就给自己一个赚钱的机会。(See contact information at the end of the article)
　　
Spotgold、伦敦金行情走势资讯分析：
　　
GoldETFThe position exceeds the German reserve, which is only second to the US official gold reserve at present; Investors are so worried about the global outlook that global gold supports exchange traded funds(ETF)的持仓量在超过德国持仓量后仅次于美国官方的黄金储备量。由于新冠病毒大流行冲击经济增长，金价今年已上涨至创纪录水平，涨势受到大量资金流入黄金支持ETF的支持。多头担心对抗增长放缓的刺激浪潮可能会使纸币贬值并引发通货膨胀。他们还指出了地缘政治紧张局势缓和，政府债务负担增加以及较高的股票估值等因素。
　　
　　根据彭博汇编的初步数据，周一黄金支持ETF全球持仓量增至3365.6吨，今年增长了30.5％，比德国的储备量还高出数吨，目前仅次于美国，美国黄金储备超过8000吨。即使在futures价格突破每盎司2000美元之后，也有大量机构预测会进一步大幅上涨。其中，高盛称黄金可能攀升至2300美元，因为投资者“正在寻找新的储备货币”。认为涨至3000美元的可能性为40%.
　　
International Gold Technology Analysis: Yesterday, the gold market opened slightly higher in the morning session1979.1After the position, the market will first slightly increase and be given1985After reaching a new high, the market began to decline and reached its lowest point in the day1960.3The market is supported by the position of, and the daily line finally closed at1976.6After its position, the market closed in the form of a long starting star with a long shadow line. The US index slightly stopped falling and rebounded, and the upward momentum of gold began to weaken. However, there is still a lack of space to cooperate with the establishment of the top form, and at best, it is still under construction. With the depletion of multi head capacity, the high position should be appropriately combined with short air operation.
　　
Gold4Chronically increasing hourly highs, each time a new high is reached, it is accompanied by a prolonged pause in consolidation and correctionMACDThe indicator is unable to reach a new high, forming a top deviation.MACDThe deviation still needs to be digested,KThe line structure is still a strong correction in the bullish trend for the time being, and it will fall below in the future1940低点才能拐头加深调整空间，否则短期内还会持续这种反复摸高再承压回落，形成慢涨中多头量能衰竭的走法。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上张钜诚个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1985-1990Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1965-1960一线支撑。近期波动较大，再进场做单的时候，止损止盈点位注意设置好。如果你没有一个靠谱负责的指路人，请不要眼红这样的行情。
　　
Internationalcrude oil、美原油行情走势观点分析：
　　
Tuesday（8month4日）美原油债窄幅震荡。周一受助于美国、欧洲和亚洲经济数据利好，同时美国新一轮援助计划的磋商恢复也部分提振油价，美原油一度涨逾1%. In addition, Saudi Arabia continues to imply that it will maintain its oil exports8Month and7The month is at the same level, which partially alleviates the market's concerns aboutOPEC+Concerns about reducing the scale of production cuts. However, overall, the focus of the market remains on the balance between supply and demand in the oil market, and the continued spread of the epidemic continues to limit the increase in oil prices. Meanwhile, non compliant oil producing countries such as Iraq are7The basic failure to fulfill the compensatory production reduction in the month also partially dampened market optimismOPECThe estimate is that the scale of compensatory production reduction will exceed8010000 barrels/Day.
　　
　　据一份每月调查显示，在沙特，阿联酋和科威特于6月之后结束了其自愿的一个月额外减产之后，OPEC的产量在7月份飙升。根据调查，OPECstay7月份的平均产量为233210000 barrels/Day6The month has increased9710000 barrels/日，这是OPECsince1991年以来的最低产量。三个阿拉伯海湾盟国的7月份的石油产量略低于其配额， 6月集体下调10010000 barrels/日。俄罗斯也传达了类似的说法。值得一提的是，俄罗斯增加的凝析油产量是不用于出口的，同时也不会计算在俄罗斯产量中。沙特与俄罗斯都提到了原油出口量不增长的说法，这就相当于给市场吃了定心丸，意味着产油国可能自己的需求增长或者补库需求也对冲了一部分产量增长。对于市场来说，OPEC+整体的供应依然是偏紧，这可以看出沙特与俄罗斯政策首要目标是限产保价去库存而不是急于扩大市场份额。沙特能源大臣此前表示，OPEC+石油减产协议将持续到2022year4月，并且如果需要还可能会延长。准备必要时采取更多措施，以应对疫情对石油市场的影响。
　　
Technical Analysis of US Crude Oil: Crude Oil Weekly Continues to Cross HighKReporting and daily support40The pass presents an interaction of yin and yang, with the highest penetration during the week42.5The first line is under pressure and falls back, and the lower part is stepped down and explored3日均线企稳强势回升，钜诚认为由于底部回升后指标还未完全拐头向上，使得周线处于中性位置中震荡蓄势，日图则延续星KLine consolidation, after breaking through the interval, returns to interval consolidation, and Blindo is tightly closing down. At the beginning of this week, it still saw narrow fluctuations within the interval. From a technical perspective39The support signal near the checkpoint is obvious, and there has been no effective breakthrough in both short and long periods. However, at present, the daily level major cycle is still in a fluctuating upward rhythm, with the moving average sticking high and paying attention below the short term39.0Regional support strength, this position is in the early stage4Support area at the neck line of the hour, while touching from above42.3-42.5区域出现明显承压信号，看震荡回落，短线延续高位震荡格局节奏是关键，重点看当日的震荡波幅。综合来看，原油今日短线操作短线思路上张钜诚个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注41.5-42.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below40.0-39.5Frontline support.
　　　　本文由张钜诚供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究，技术总监张钜诚在线解套，亏损回本，一对一实时指导微信：zjc8393  Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.