Chen Dabin:8/1黄金开盘做多还做空？原油操作思路及行情分析

I know that every friend in the investment industry yearns for success all the way, and in fact, we analysts are the same. We hope that you can all make money so that we can realize our life value. However, why do many friends in the market always say, "I have successfully avoided every wave of profits," is your teacher really poor? Or do you lack confidence and can't even make money? We cannot make a long order at the lowest position and get the highest position, and no one knows how much it will rise. However, remember that the teacher has given you a clear idea, so it is still difficult for you to make steady profits with a good mindset? I am not the most skilled teacher in the market, but I definitely believe that I am an analytical teacher with good psychological qualities and clear thinking.

　　
　　crude oilnews flash:
　　
　　油价上涨，因美国5月石油减产幅度创纪录；油价周五上涨，并有望实现月线涨幅，因有消息称，美国5月石油减产幅度为有记录以来最大；布伦特原油连续第四个月上涨，美国原油连续第三个月上涨，美油和布油均从4月触及的低位回升，当时全球大部分地区因大流行而处于封锁状态；美国能源信息署(EIA)周五在月度报告中表示，美国5月原油产量骤降20010000 barrels/Day, to100010000 barrels/日，降幅创纪录；加cbbThe 8527 free guidance service and exclusive risk control plan will safeguard your investment journey.
　　
　　美元周五延续跌势，月线料创下10年来最大跌幅，此前周四发布的数据显示，第二季度，美国国内生产总值(GDP)环比年率骤降32.9%，是政府自1947年开始编制该数据以来的最大降幅；当美元走弱时，投资者通常会买入以美元计价的大宗商品避险；咨询公司执行长a称，全球刺激政策和美元疲软将继续支撑油价，因为从以往的经验看，石油被视为对冲通胀的工具；石油输出国组织(OPEC)和其盟友组成的OPEC+联盟计划从周六开始增加产量，这将使全球供应增加约15010000 barrels/Day.
　　
Analysis of International Crude Oil Prices:
　　
　　原油眼下正面临三大利空的压力。首先，供需情况将再次恶化，因为需求复苏毋庸置疑地被恶化的疫情打断，而供应方面欧佩克将从8月开始压缩减产规模。其次是美元和风险偏好两方面，这两大因素在市场情绪乐观时能够为油价带来支持，因为市场乐观时美元将会偏弱而投资者做多原油等风险资产的意愿也强。但是，随着美国恐怖的GDP数据即将公布，市场情绪已经出现转向悲观的迹象，这两大因素将转化为利空打压油价。四小时图显示，原油早已经振荡下破看跌的楔形形态，而目前正下破短期关键支撑区域38.5-38，这将强化油价反转下跌的预期。预计短期跌破38.5-38区域支持后，原油将下行指向37关口，继续往下支撑在37.8as well as37.5等水平。而要扭转油价的下跌前景，除非反弹重回40上方。综合分析。下周操作上陈大宾cbb8527建议反弹做空为主，上方关注41.5-42One line of resistance, pay attention below38.3-38.5Frontline support.
　　
　　goldnews flash:
　　
Friday(7month31day)纽市尾盘，金价徘徊在纪录高位附近，因美元近期疲软、利率下跌，全球刺激行动以及对经济复苏的担忧，COMEX期金收涨约1%，刷新收盘历史高位至1985.9dollar/盎司，并以超过10%的累计涨幅录得2012年以来最大单月涨幅。更多行情可以关注功重号陈大宾获取实时指导现货黄金周五一度涨逾1%, refresh historical highs to1983.36dollar/盎司。渣打银行分析师表示：“宏观环境仍然非常积极，金价继续跟踪实际利率，美元的极度疲软帮助进一步提振了金价。”
　　
　　首席市场分析师指出，眼下黄金成为了最能够避险的资产。市场对经济快速复苏的积极预期在消散，金价或许很快就能触及2000dollar/Ounce level. 美元指数有望创下近10年来最大月度跌幅。数据显示，受大流行影响，美国经济在第二季遭受了自大萧条以来最严重萎缩，同时投资者也为美国不确定的政治局势做准备。避险黄金今年迄今上涨了近30%，因全球实施低利率且各国央行的广泛刺激措施增加了对黄金的支撑，黄金被认为是对冲通胀和货币贬值的工具。
　　
Analysis of International Gold Price:
　　
　　从日线上看，黄金目前打破前1980一线，由于昨日的回撤收阴，今日一路震荡走高突破，致使多头动能再次得到释放，虽然新高1982The continuation of the first line is not significant, but it still proves that the geopolitical and overall economic recovery of the United States is not optimistic, so the bulls are once again dominant. From the perspective of indicators, the moving average is still in a long position,rsiThe passivation of the downward trend is gradually starting to shift towards bullish positions, which may lead to another increase in kinetic energy. Looking at the resistance above temporarily1990附近。从四小时线看，黄金震荡走高，布林带的再次向上开后，MADCThe green kinetic energy column gradually shrinks,kdjThe golden fork spreads upwards, and the bulls still dominate the market. From the short-term perspective of the hour line, due to the rapid breakthrough of gold to new highs, it continues to reach new highs2USD, withdrawal1959Nearby, currently rebounding1974Nearby oscillation, from the perspective of indicators:KDJForming a golden fork,macd再次形成放量，那么多头将持续反弹。下周操作上陈大宾cbb8527建议回调多为主，下方短线支撑看1965-1959frontline. Looking at the pressure above1985-1982Nearby, if you break through, take a look1990frontline.

　　
——Be a reliable person——
　　
　　所谓一个靠谱的人，凡事有交代，件件有着落，事事有回音。应用到黄金投资上就是开仓有把握，建仓有着落，持仓有风控，平仓有利润。陈大宾一直致力于市场，是金子总会发光，鱼龙混杂的市场，吹嘘得来的认可，总会原形毕露，唯有坚持写出对投资者有用的分析，能让投资者少走点弯路，学到技巧与知识，少错一单，那么我相信日久见人心。
　　
　　我还是那个一直走在市场一线的陈大宾，不论你曾经多么辉煌，不论你曾经多么失败，但那都将成为过去，一时失败应该是去找问题，而不是气馁，成功往往需要历练磨合，不论你是新手，还是老手，或者是常胜将军，我相信每个人都需要学习帮助，往往成功的人是虚心好学的，拿出你的姿态，去完善自己，这个市场想盈利不难，但是想持续盈利，我想需要花大量时间。
　　
I have been tirelessly persuading you in your job and career, hoping that you will avoid any detours and make fewer mistakes in this market. Even though I have tried my best, the path of investment still needs to be taken by myself. Learning is endless, and learning experience is your wealth. I really like a saying that Buddha Ferry has destined people. I hope to meet someone who has a tacit understanding who can walk with me along the way.
　　Chen Dabin (guidance)VLetter:cbb8527）Establish a fundamental change model to assess market sentiment changes and determine trends. More than ten years of technical analysis and judgment on short-term details. The central line is the main line, supplemented by the short line. I have in-depth and unique insights into major global financial markets such as the foreign exchange market, gold market, oil market, stock market, and bond market. This article is written by Chen Dabin, who carefully writes every analysis and conveys valuable investment concepts. I hope the price is worth it, and the value is worth it; Due to the delayed nature of the article strategy; Consultation with Chen Dabin Obtain the latest real-time market analysis.