8.1黄金还会涨吗？原油白银下周一行情走势预测及操作建议附解套

　　陈召锡文章摘要：2020.7month31investmentgoldWhy is it always losing money?7.31Is gold bullish or bearish in recent trends?7.31foreign exchangeHow to untie the gold long empty single quilt cover?7.31Does the rise and fall of the US dollar have an impact on gold?7.31goldcrude oilTrend analysis and operational suggestions?7.31Is gold still bullish today?7.31How to layout the golden medium and long term line?7.31金每天的支撑和压力位怎么看？7.31How can beginners operate gold without losing money?7.31What do you think of gold and crude oil being bullish today?7.31How to layout the gold market after opening?




　　本周的行情结束了，不论结果是盈利还是亏损，给自己放个假，不要忘记除了投资你还有家人要陪，还有生活要过，投资不是你生活的全部，如果你做投资有什么不懂或者一直处于亏损中你可以咨询我，毕竟无论你怎样纠结，周一开盘行情是涨是跌都不是我们可以左右的，与其这个周末痛苦的度过，影响到工作生活影响到你下周的投资，不如给自己的身心都放个假，陈召锡老师祝你周末愉快




　　现货黄金，伦敦金，黄金走势分析【添加陈召锡本人指导微信；1014611571】Daily crude oil operation advice, gold market, daily analysis of gold, latest strategies




Analysis of the trend of gold market;




Message surface analysis; Friday(7month31day)美元上涨，美元指数一度较日低回升逾100点，升至93.54，因在美元连续大跌后，投资者回补空头并获利了结；美元兑日元涨逾1%。现货黄金创历史新高至1983.36dollar/盎司，黄金本月涨近11%, recorded2012year1月以来最大单月涨幅，因美元近期疲软、利率下跌，全球刺激行动以及对经济复苏的担忧。油价涨超1%，数据显示，美国钻井商连续第五个月削减石油钻井平台。黄金周五走高，现货黄金创历史新高至1983.36dollar/盎司，截至收盘，黄金本周涨近11%, recorded2012year1月以来最大单月涨幅。陈召锡认为：“宏观环境仍然非常积极，黄金继续跟踪实际利率…美元的极度疲软帮助进一步提振了黄金。”眼下黄金成为了最能够避险的资产。市场对经济快速复苏的积极预期在消散，黄金或许很快就能触及2000dollar/盎司关口




　　技术面分析；黄金日线MACDGold fork, red can weaken somewhat,KDJThree lines are glued in supermarkets; The opening of the Bollinger belt is upward, and gold hovers below the upper track, indicating that the upward movement of gold has been suppressed to a certain extent. In the short term, it is necessary to be vigilant against the risk of fluctuations and falls;5Daily moving average1960.21It is the initial support below, further supporting the low point of the previous trading day1939.54附近，若下破，则削弱短线看涨信号；陈召锡整体来看，黄金短时间受到实物需求下降以及高位获利了结的影响，近期料波动加剧，但是全球宽松、美元走软、经济下行压力高企都将继续推动投资者买入黄金，这种趋势至少将持续到美国大选之后市场的不确定性消退，但是仍需警惕疫苗进展的乐观消息可能会对黄金造成打击，黄金周五再度收复1970The US dollar level is approaching1980USD; The moving average is still arranged in a bullish pattern, if gold persists5Above the daily moving average, there is still an opportunity for further upward movement, with attention from above2011The historical high point since 19491981.17Nearby resistance is suppressed, and if it breaks through this position, gold will further move towards2000美元大关发起冲击！，所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议低位做多为主，上方关注1980-1985One line of resistance, pay attention below1940-1945一线支撑；行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略，可直接添加本人一对一指导交流微信【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




Analysis of the trend of crude oil market;




　　消息面分析；原油价格在7月份走高。得益于美元稳步走弱和OPEC在产量方面的克制，石油输出国组织及其盟国的大幅减产帮助原油futures4月份跌至零水平下方之后反弹，但是前所未有的减产力度将在几天之内放松。OPEC+在减产大约10%之后，下个月的产量将会增加每天约150万桶。尽管如此，美国原油库存显示出收紧迹象，目前处于4月以来的最低水平。美元现货指数也创下了自2018year1月以来的最差月度表现，增强了以美元交易的大宗商品的吸引力。陈召锡表示：原油库存大幅下降，OPE和一些炼油厂在平衡市场方面做得很好。美元下跌也帮助支撑了原油”然而，由于冠状病毒大流行冲击力需求，原油期货价格一直处于狭窄的交易区间内。埃克森美孚表示，进入2021年相当长时间后，石油消费才有望恢复




　　技术面分析；原油日线MACDandKDJDeadfork signal continuation,5Daily moving average underpass10日均线初步死叉，原油下破布林带中轨，短线有进一步向下试探布林带下轨38.9附近支撑的趋势，该位置在7月中旬多次被测试，支撑相对较强，若下破则下行空间将被重新打开；强支撑在6month15Daily low point34.36Nearby, this position is from3月跳空低开以来被多次测试，参考性较强，陈召锡预计短期下破可能性不大。陈召锡认为整体来看，原油偏向于下行，因有迹象显示油市重新回归到期货溢价的模式，显示现货市场需求疲软，这和4月美原油一度跌至负值的市场结构一致。陈召锡预计美原油将结束连阳的走势。同时全球最大的独立原油储存公司警告因需求疲软，原油存储空间存在再度耗尽的风险。不过，由于布林带下轨目前仍为原油提供之前，且7月中旬多次试探均未能有效下破，若原油坚守该位置，则后市将仍然维持此前的窄幅震荡格局。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议反弹高空低多操作即可，上方关注41-41.5One line of resistance, pay attention below38.3-38.5一线支撑。行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略，可直接添加陈召锡一对一指导微信【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




　　陈召锡个人投资心得




In fact, many investors have a chance to turn around after losing money, but they have been hit too hard by their own psychology and find it difficult to accept at the moment. In fact, investment friends like this have a complete opportunity as long as they are strong enough in their hearts not to be overwhelmed by temporary difficulties. If they are not strong enough in their hearts, they may have to bear the pain of failure. After all, when investing, as an investor, whether it's a temporary loss or gain, we need to have a strong mentality and a high degree of vigilance. When investing, we also look at long-term returns. Today's profits do not mean you can also make profits tomorrow, and today's losses do not mean you will continue to lose tomorrow. Only by maintaining a sense of awe can we better control this investment.




　　你坚定的走在自己选择的投资之路之上，因为你一直坚信这是一条成功之路，但到底是什么阻碍你的顺利前行，又是什么让你怀才不遇！就算失败，也要做失败中典型的成功案例，我很喜欢这句话。一个人没有成就是因为受的苦还不够多，要想人前显贵，必要学会在人后受罪。其实在投资这条路上也是一样，赚钱的路上本不拥挤，只是有些人走错了方向，做投资和做传统生意都是一样的，同样一波行情，有人成就万世功，千秋业，有人却默默的离开。



Wen/Chen Zhaoxi