Chen Zhaoxi;7.31月线收官原油多头难保，黄金白银晚间分析策略建议

The investment market is constantly changing, with long and short positions constantly crossing. We cannot go long when we see an increase, nor should we go short when we see a decrease. Having found the right direction and following firmly, we can only make money in the market for a long time by implementing the trading plan we have made, regardless of profit or loss. The establishment of trading plans is usually done when we are very calm and rational, and the decisions and ideas we make when the market fluctuates slightly are determined by following the fluctuations of the market. Many operations are made in an irrational and calm manner, which is often an addiction that many people cannot quit, leading to the root cause of most people's losses, just like nowgoldAfter an upward trend and a pullback, many people may be afraid. The market will not stop because you are afraid of it. Trading is nothing more than buying up and buying down. From a simple probability perspective, each occupies its own share50%Whether you are afraid or not, you will choose a direction to go, and the trading decisions we make immediately due to market fluctuations generally have a winning rate of50%The following means that most unprofitable individuals have a probability of operating below half. If we want to make money in the market, we need to increase our probability of success. The simplest way is to calmly and rationally make the trading probability before trading, and strictly execute it. Even if you flip a coin, the probability is higher than what you make due to market fluctuations, so strictly executing your trading plan is very important.




　　现货黄金，伦敦金，黄金走势分析【添加陈召锡本人指导微信；1014611571】可获取每日crude oil操作建议，黄金市场，黄金每日分析，最新策略、




Analysis of the trend of crude oil market;




　　消息面分析；美国第二季国内生产总值(GDP)环比年率暴跌32.9%，这是政府自1947年开始记录数据以来的最大跌幅。此外，上周初请失业金人数上升，显示美国各地愈加严重的疫情正在对经济造成进一步冲击。美国死于新冠肺炎的人数目前已超过15万人，而巴西的确诊病例和死亡人数也创下了纪录。巴西是世界上疫情第二严重的国家。周四，澳大利亚的新感染病例创下历史新高。石油需求复苏面临潜在威胁之际，石油输出国组织(OPEC)及其盟友将在8Monthly increase in production, resulting in an increase in global daily production of approximately150万桶。关注工纵好“陈召锡”即可获得实时最新行情操作建议、中线布局计划一份！




　　技术面分析；原油眼下正面临三大利空的压力。首先，供需情况将再次恶化，因为需求复苏毋庸置疑地被恶化的疫情打断，而供应方面欧佩克将从8月开始压缩减产规模。其次是美元和风险偏好两方面，这两大因素在市场情绪乐观时能够为油价带来支持，因为市场乐观时美元将会偏弱而投资者做多原油等风险资产的意愿也强。但是，随着美国恐怖的GDP数据即将公布，市场情绪已经出现转向悲观的迹象，这两大因素将转化为利空打压油价。四小时图显示，原油早已经振荡下破看跌的楔形形态，而目前正下破短期关键支撑区域38.5-38，这将强化油价反转下跌的预期。预计短期跌破38.5-38区域支持后，原油将下行指向37关口，继续往下支撑在37.8as well as37.5等水平。而要扭转油价的下跌前景，除非反弹重回40上方。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议反弹做空为主，上方关注41.5-42One line of resistance, pay attention below38.3-38.5Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and it is necessary to obtain daily online real-time guidance on operation strategies and unpacking strategies. You can directly add your own one-on-one guidance for communication on WeChat【1014611571】I will try my best to help you solve your problems.




Analysis of the trend of gold market;




　　消息面分析；现货黄金小幅走高，现报1967.90USD, increase0.58%。周四现货黄金一度重返1980美元关口，但是因为黄金持续上行的走势引发部分获利抛盘，同时有关疫苗进展的消息也对黄金构成压力，因此周四黄金一度跌破1940美元关口。不过黄金仍保持韧性，日内再度收复1960The US dollar level is approaching1970美元。周四特朗普有关推迟大选的言论以及美国受疫情影响二季度GDP创大萧条以来最大水平，这使得美元持续受到压力。同时疫情反弹使得失业人数回升，打击了经济复苏前景，这可能会使得美联储在更长时间内维持宽松。同时美国国会尚未就刺激措施达成一致，随着失业救助到期，可能会打击市场的人气。尽管因为疫情的影响，黄金上半年实物消费不足，央行的购买也有所下降。但是创纪录的资金流入黄金ETF，这抵消了实物需求不足的影响。但是随着封锁措施逐渐的解除，以及上半年被压抑的实物需求将在下半年释放，同时全球持续宽松可能会使得各国央行重新买入黄金以作为本国货币的支撑，这或进一步支撑金价。




　　技术面分析；黄金昨日高位回落收阴修正，最高1971一线承压回落，最低触及1939.0dollar|盎司，尾盘由于美元极弱下跌再次破低，提振金价低位反弹收复部分失地。收盘在1955附近。日图暂时守住在5日线附近收盘。日图在连阳上涨之后，转阴K线高位修正。目前只是初步的修正当中，空间和形态还没有完全见顶。做成顶部还需要盘整或者空间的配合。或许要等到美元低位止跌震荡，黄金才能进行深度式的回落。目前受美元的弱势阴跌，黄金暂时处于高位震荡修正当中。反复摸高承压。四小时来看：黄金格再次达到1980大关，但未能突破该水平。目前的交易价格接近1961USD.MACD绿色动能柱小幅扩大，KDJ随机指标在超买水平形成死叉，表明黄金的看跌动能已经增加或进一步巩固。如果市场开始调整，那么市场最终将在1920-1980区域振荡，而在当前的下跌时期，将支撑1940区域的短期支撑，但在突破之后，它将继续下跌并最终落入1920-30地区。所以综合分析操作上陈召锡建议低位做多为主，上方关注1970-1975One line of resistance, pay attention below1940-1935一线支撑；行情千变万化，需要获取每日在线实时指导操作策略及解套策略，可直接添加本人一对一指导交流微信【1014611571】本人将尽量为您排忧解难。近期波动较大，再进场做单的时候，止损止盈点位注意设置好。




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　　寄语：因各平台点位差异，也因为网络发布的延时性，以上建议仅供参考，风险自担,具体点位私聊陈召锡!It's fate that we met. Actually, it doesn't matter which platform you choose. What matters is whether you have really chosen the right person and whether the teacher will really consider your position;Sincerely want to take you to make money;Instead of taking you to open an account without asking. Not here100An accurate order making plan and no zero risk investment plan, but there is a steady return method. Scan orders without fear, and a good mindset can achieve a good future, leading the appreciation of positions and achieving millions of wealth!If we achieve the ultimate profit, then we are the winners;I may not be the most successful analyst, but I will be the most hardworking analyst, treating people sincerely and doing things with dedication!Professionalism achieves quality, while strength builds reputation. The financial field is vast and profound, with constantly fluctuating market trends every day. All I can do is use my years of research experience to help everyone.



Wen/Chen Zhaoxi