Liang Qiandong7.31黄金原油短线操作建议，中线后市布局策略附空单解套

Profit and loss are like riding a roller coaster, with peaks and valleys, which means that whether it's good or bad right now, it's only temporary. Who is not hypocritical, who is not fickle, who is not who, why should we consider some gains and losses so important!The market is a big stage, not all market trends can be stated. People need some kind of belief to motivate and restrain them. People can be calm and stable after peace, and past fluctuations can only be beautiful with a smile after no regrets;The success or failure of a game depends on the smile after the harvest, making it more colorful;The ups and downs of funds are only exciting when they double and smile!Don't fantasize that every transaction is round and perfect, profit and loss need to be balanced, and gains and losses also need to be felt. Investing in the market is like traveling, always in a hurry, with so much confusion and confusion. Only by calming down can one dispel the clouds and mist that envelop one's eyes;Taste a cup of tea quietly, and you will realize that there are many opportunities in front of you.

　　

　　goldMessage surface:
　　
　　全球新冠肺炎流行的爆发进一步凸显了黄金作为对冲工具的作用，并促进了其价格表现的改善。2020年上半年，黄金格(dollar)Up17%,7月份继续上涨了10％。近期黄金的快速变化，加上对黄金消费的需求明显疲软，可能会导致短期内黄金的波动加剧。但是，我们认为新的王冠流行可能会导致资产配置发生结构性变化。此外，从长远来看，有足够的基本理由支持黄金投资。现货金保持坚挺，徘徊在历史高位附近。在这种流行病及其对经济损失的担忧的影响下，在负实际收益率和美元疲软的支撑下，黄金格急剧上涨。目前，黄金仍有很大的上升空间，因为已向经济中注入了大量刺激措施以应对全球流行病，为黄金创造了一系列有利条件。真正令人担忧的是美元储备货币的地位能持续多久。随着投资者寻求避风港，黄金正朝着十年来最大的年度增长迈进，两年内可能达到2500USD.
　　
Gold technology:
　　
　　黄金在创下历史新高后继续下跌，目前徘徊在1960Left and right. Despite a significant pullback in gold yesterday, it ultimately closed with a bullish candlestick, marking a continuous decline in gold8The sky rises higher. It is still a strong upward trend. From a temporal perspective, there is indeed an unstable demand. MACDThe red kinetic energy column has begun to stabilize, andKDJThe random indicators continue to trade within the overbought level, indicating that gold may consolidate at high levels. Corrected yesterday80After multiple dollars, gold once again presentedV形反转并收复了其大部分损失。梁乾东从趋势上看，昨日的调整只是上升过程中的回调，黄金的上升趋势并未改变，但当前需要动摇才能继续突破新高。今天美联储的利率决定非常重要。如果市场数据仍未能突破昨天的高点，那么黄金很可能在1930-80年区域中保持波动的趋势。在四小时内观察黄金：黄金价格已从高位急剧下跌，试图站稳脚跟，目前正在巩固。 MACDThe green kinetic energy column has first appeared,KDJThe random indicator has fallen from the overbought level and is currently basically unchanged, indicating that the gold price has shown bearish momentum or further pressure. The lower support area is1930-20. Despite hitting a low yesterday1900On the front line of the checkpoint, but the possibility of gold price breaking through again is extremely low, and it is more likely to maintain1922年历史高点的支撑，这是先前突破的确认。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上梁乾东个人建议以回调做多为主，上方短期重点关注1978-1980Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1935-1940Frontline support.
　　
　　crude oilMessage surface:
　　
　　美油跌逾2%，创一周半新低至40.16dollar/桶，供需没有更多利好驱动，油价高处不胜寒，开始回落，美国初请数据显示失业压力较大，经济也遭遇巨大冲击，油市需求存较大不确定性，而不大可能是稳步复苏。航运数据显示，由于北方运输量的增加，到目前为止，7月份伊拉克的石油出口总量增加了大约810000 barrels/日。尼日利亚石油部长预计尼日利亚在2020year5Month6Month and7月可达到欧佩克141.210000 barrels/日的产量配额。
　　
Technical aspects of crude oil:
　　
The daily Bollinger Bands tend to operate horizontally, and crude oil still oscillates narrowly between the mid and upper tracks;MACDDead fork but weak kinetic energy,KDJDead fork; Indicating that the overall kinetic energy of crude oil is weak and tends to fluctuate and decline in the short term; The lower support should first focus on the middle rail of the Bollinger belt40.36If it breaks below this position, a short-term bearish signal will be added, and crude oil will further step back on the Bollinger Line's track38.4Nearby support; Meanwhile,7Tested in mid month39也具有一定支撑性。梁乾东认为整体来看，原油仍交投于震荡区间内，因市场仍在评估疫情二次蔓延对于需求的影响，此前OPEC+减产使得油市短时间处于一个相对平衡的状态，而疫情二次蔓延是当前最大的不确定性因素。同时国际关系紧张情绪也会对原油构成打压。梁乾东预计，原油短期仍将维持窄幅震荡的格局，等待方向性突破，布林带中轨目前仍为原油提供良好支撑，若原油坚守该位置，则仍将维持目前小区间震荡的走势，综合来看，今日短线操作思路上梁乾东个人建议以反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注41.3-41.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below38.8-39.3Frontline support.
　　　　这个市场对某些人来说可能已经身心俱疲了，从满怀希望接触黄金投资，到损失惨重害怕入场，亏的连鼓励自己的信心都没有，或许真的不适合这个市场，无论从实力上，还是心态上，都不能做好，一度寻求一个可以帮助你的老师，也以亏损告终，继续待在黄金市场不开心，离开黄金市场不甘心，这或许是很多投资者面临的现状。即使现状多么不堪，但是请你记住，没有一条路走到黑的行情，更没有一直亏损的投资，行情反反复复，操作亏亏赚赚，没人赚的彻底，都是摸滚打爬，稳稳当当，步步为营的结果。在这个良莠不齐的市场，亏损的人不少，但是或多或少都存在交易中的大问题，无论是心态不好，还是犹豫不决，还是不带止损，或者说喜欢抗单，锁仓，亏损不是偶然，总会有大问题存在，做投资不是一朝一夕，唯有摒弃这些坏毛病，孜孜不倦的学习，掌控风险，稳健操作，必然是你涅槃重生的时候。

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