Liang Qiandong7.31黄金解套、原油解套，黄金原油实时操盘建议指导

Investment, like game, is a wise choice to sacrifice some local gains and losses and seek subjective and advantageous advantages for the overall situation. When the point is already very low and only risks are seen but opportunities are not seen, or when the point is already very high and risks are not controlled, blindly pursuing profits can only gain small profits but lose the overall picture, gain local benefits but lose the overall picture. When your talent cannot support your ambition, you need to calm down and learn. When your ability cannot control your goals, you should sink down and experience. Only through learning, trading, and summarizing, can you understand that you are truly not unaccepted by the market, just unwilling to change in the past. There are two types of investment: physiological investment, which is to solve food and clothing, and spiritual investment, which is to realize the value of life and to compete and race against human greed and fear.

　　

　　goldMessage surface:
　　
　　美元指数尾盘下跌0.35%Report92.94，本月势将下跌4.5%左右，这将是2010year9月以来最糟糕的月度表现。由于冠状病毒在美国各州的持续传播给经济带来重压，美元已经历了一个月的大跌，并有可能录得10年来最糟糕的月度表现。推迟大选的言论扭转了美元早些时候的反弹走势。Western Union Business SolutionsSenior Market AnalystJoe Manimbo表示，美国任何形式的不确定性，无论是经济还是政治，都是卖出美元的借口。数据显示，美国经济在第二季度萎缩了32.9%，这是自大萧条以来的最大降幅。美国劳工部在另一份报告中称，7month25日止当周初请失业金人数经季节调整后增加1.210000 people to143.410000 people.Manimboexpress:“初请失业金人数数据告诉我们，复苏已经开始变得乏力。”
　　
Gold technology:
　　
　　小时昨日下探守住中轨继续冲高确认阻力。二次触碰前一日高点后有所压制，同时带动布林道上轨受压收口。开始转为高位震荡，美元短期的弱势下行放缓。低位阴跌但空间释放不大，一旦启稳反弹。黄金就会再次出现快速跳水修正。技术指标以及日线波段性浪形上涨末端，久涨之后的调整也是情理之中。附图MACD指标依旧高位死叉有待修正。昨日二次探高承压后，有做双高回落的可能。重点留意高点压制情况。当然后面不排除会有虚破的可能，但是冲高后收盘在1981下方，此阻力依旧是有效的。虚破大概率是洗盘，再构造双高回落。短线操作维持高空为主思路，看一波调整后再待重新上升。黄金今日操作思路上梁乾东个人建议以反弹高空为主；回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1968-1972Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1940-1945Frontline support.
　　
　　crude oilMessage surface:
　　
Thursday(7month30day)，国际油价下跌，因市场担忧全球感染病例激增，可能会破坏燃料需求复苏，而主要产油国还将提高产量。沙特可能调降针对亚洲客户的现货价格，美国总统力挺传统化石燃料产业。两大原油futuresPrice Wednesday(7month29day)上涨，因美国能源信息署(EIA)公布的上周原油库存创去年12月以来最大单周降幅，截至7month24日当周减少1061.1万桶。梁乾东认为“美国原油库存大幅下滑超过1000万桶之后，油价应该会有较好的表现，同时美元走弱也通常对油价有利，油市很有可能正在反映美国及其他地方的疫情导致经济下滑风险升高。”但EIAIncrease in gasoline inventory65.4万桶，分析师瓷器那预计减少119.6万桶；包括柴油和取暖油在内的馏分油库存也增加50.3万桶。这突显出燃料需求复苏参差不齐的情况。
　　
Technical aspects of crude oil:
　　
　　原油日线收盘小阳线，高点没有破前高，低价没有破前低，出现了冲高走势，奈何上涨无力，鸡肋行情，区间震荡，油价日线级别继续维持区间窄幅震荡中，长期横盘整理预示着后市大行情方向选择。如图所示，油价运行在一个三角整理上行趋势线是37.2、38.7这波上涨的延续，下降趋势线是42.33、41.9高点位置连线，进一步突破将出现新一轮趋势。就油价上行我们首先需要关注41.9Location, then42.33水平。在油价下行支撑，首先需要关注昨日尾盘震荡整理箱体支撑41.0水平位置，然后就是上升趋势线附近40.7水平位置支撑。综合来看梁乾东认为，在库存数据大幅利好的前景下油价有望得到支撑，今日交易上考虑回撤布局多单为主，上方关注40.7-41.5USD resistance, follow below39.0-38.7USD support.
　　
　　对于想学习现货知识的朋友，我很赞同。我个人认为投资朋友在投资的过程中提高自身能力，用自己所掌握的技术知识来分析及操作，并乐在其中，爱上这个投资而不是恐惧。恐惧是因为没有实力没有判断力。我比较崇尚那些在老师指导的过程中去慢慢学习掌握常用的技术指标（均线、MACD、KDJCombining fundamentals to analyze market trends and specific operating points, gradually improving one's comprehensive analysis ability and exercising one's mentality. Gradually grow up, after all, investing is a long-term process. So I, Liang Qiandong, and my investment friends also follow this principle: teaching fish is better than teaching it to fish. I will teach you to start from the most basic.